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US recap: EUR/USD firms after post-CPI yen surge



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Dollar slammed vs yen, dovish US CPI backs September Fed cut

AUD/USD-US inflation fueled a bull run

July 11 (Reuters) -The dollar weakened against the majors on Thursday after an unexpected fall in headline U.S. CPI was reported, taking a particularly sharp tumble against the yen that is likely to draw comparisons to bouts of intervention by Japanese officials earlier this year.

Local Japanese television station Asahi, citing government sources, said officials intervened in the currency market.

Domestic news service Jiji cited top currency diplomat Masato Kanda as saying he could not comment on whether or not there was an intervention, but that recent moves in the yen were "not in line with fundamentals".

Whether the yen rise was intervention or just jittery markets following earlier bouts, the CPI report showed widening cracks in the dollar's armor as market bets on Fed rate cuts this year increased.

While July remains mostly out of the betting, the market is fully discounting a reduction in September and another Fed cut after that, while also factoring in the possibility of a third move this year.

Treasury yields were down 6-13bp on the day by New York afternoon, though slightly off the day's lows, with spreads generally moving against the dollar versus the euro, yen and sterling.

The S&P was down 0.77%, retreating from record highs and weighed by megacap stocks, as investors favored small-caps after the surprisingly soft inflation reading bolstered hopes that the U.S. central bank would cut interest rates in September.

WTI gained 0.83% on the increasing U.S. rate cut expectations.

Copper fell more than 2%, as poor demand prospects particularly in top consumer China and an oversupplied market were reinforced by further inventory rises in London Metal Exchange approved warehouses.

Gold rallied 1.87%, also helped by the burgeoning rate cut bets.

Heading toward the close: EUR/USD +0.33%, USD/JPY -1.79%, GBP/USD +0.49%, AUD/USD +0.21%, EUR/JPY -1.45%, GBP/JPY -1.34%, AUD/JPY -1.59%.

For more click on FXBUZ


(Burton Frierson)

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