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Stocks, FX on track for weekly gains; Russia rate decision on tap



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Updated at 0935 GMT

Turkish end-2024 CPI seen at 43.14% - central bank survey

Polish lawmakers to start central bank boss probe this month

MSCI EM stock index climbs 0.6%, FX index up 0.5%

By Johann M Cherian

Sept 13 (Reuters) -Currencies and stocks across most developing economies crept up on Friday amid hopes of imminent U.S. monetary easing, while investors awaited a rate decision out of Russia and assessed Turkey's year-end inflation forecasts.

MSCI's index tracking emerging market equities rose 0.6% and was on track for weekly gains of around 0.6%, its biggest in three. The currencies index .MIEM00000CUS edged up 0.5% on Friday.

Data from Bank of America showed emerging market debt saw outflows for a seventh straight week, while stocks saw inflows for a 15th straight week, at $2.2 billion.

Investors assessed U.S. data through the week to gauge the outlook on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, that could determine the trajectory of the dollar. The world's most influential central bank is expected to cut interest rates next week.

Meanwhile, Russia's rouble RUB= depreciated 2% against the dollar ahead of a central bank policy decision that is expected to leave borrowing costs at 18%, as signs of a cooling economy emerge.

Trading in major currencies in Russia has shifted to the over-the-counter market, obscuring price data.

The yield on Turkey's short-term bonds TR2YT=RR rose 29 basis points, while rate-sensitive bank stocks .XBANK fell 0.6% as a survey showed expectations that inflation would slow to 43.14% by year-end, a rate that is still above the central bank's 36% target.

In central and eastern Europe, Poland's zloty EURPLN= was little changed after data confirmed an earlier reading that showed inflation in August stayed at 4.3%. The currency has outperformed peers in the region year-to-date as the central bank has left interest rates unchanged this year.

"The persistence of core inflation means that the (monetary policy committee) will not be in a hurry to start reducing interest rates, and the monetary policy easing cycle itself will be cautious and less aggressive than the market estimates," analysts led by chief economist, Rafał Benecki at ING Bank said.

Investors will monitor an investigation starting on September 24 into government accusations that central bank Governor Adam Glapinski may have broken the law.

In Africa, the rand ZAR= was flat, though up around 3% so far this year, ahead of inflation data and a central bank rate decision bank next week.

Yields on Sri Lankan hard currency bonds expiring in 2029 USY8137FAP37=TE slipped over 270 bps ahead of elections in the following week. A report said bondholders and the government were holding a fresh round of talks, as the island nation tries to emerge from a debt crisis.

Maldives' Islamic dollar bond US56113LAA70=TE rose for the fifth day - up by over 3 cents on the dollar - as the archipelago nation vowed to avoid a debt default.


For GRAPHIC on emerging market FX performance in 2024 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging index performance in 2024 https://tmsnrt.rs/2OusNdX


Reporting by Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru
Editing by Christina Fincher

For TOP NEWS across emerging markets nTOPEMRG
For CENTRAL EUROPE market report, see CEE/
For TURKISH market report, see .IS
For RUSSIAN market report, see RU/RUB
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