Riksbank's cautious approach will benefit the crown
June 21 Reuters -Following a 25-basis point rate cut in May, the Riksbank is expected to pause its easing cycle this month, which should bode well for the tentatively firmer SEK.
Versus the dollar and euro, the crown has been held within a consolidation range and further steady trading ahead of the June 27 Riksbank meeting is likely.
Market expectations are for the Swedish benchmark rate to be held at 3.75% next week and for the Riksbank to mark down its estimates for inflation and to lower its rate path. Such a conclusion could weigh on the SEK but a more transparent central bank and improving domestic fundamentals could limit any impact from a dovish central bank statement.
EUR/SEK is holding just above the June 12 11.1450 significant low and is currently trading tight above Thursday's 11.1820 low point. The underlying bias is down but a move above the June 17 11.3100 high could trigger a squeeze, providing better levels to join the SEK recovery from its April 11.7700 low.
For more click on FXBUZ
EUR/SEK daily candle chart: https://tmsnrt.rs/4cr33tE
(Peter Stoneham is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
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