RBC trims PTs on European, U.S. energy majors, cuts Aker BP to 'underperform'
** "A time for reflection," RBC says on European and U.S. energy majors as itsees earnings drivers normalising after a nearly three-year period of exceptional growth
** It prefers upstream-heavycompanies such as Shell SHEL.L, Eni ENI.MI, Chevron CVX.N, Galp Energia GALP.LS over "downstream" ones, in light of weaker product demand
** It expects share buybackscuts across most companies, with the most significant reductions into 2025 from BP BP.L and Repsol REP.MC
** The broker's updated sector earnings estimates sit 8-15% below consensus on average in 2024-25, with greater downside for companies exposed to weaker refining margins like Exxon Mobil XOM.N, Repsol, Galp Energia
** It cuts Aker BP AKRBP.OL to "underperform" from "sector perform" on high capex, declining production in its largest field Johan Sverdrup from Q1 2025 onwards
** It notes Aker BP's ambition to grow dividend by 5% yearly, but expects it to remain unchanged as debt moves marginally higher
COMPANY | NEW RATING | OLD RATING | NEW PT | OLD PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aker BP | underperform | sector perform | NOK 220 | NOK 330 |
BP | sector perform | no change | GBP 525 | GBP 550 |
Totalenergies | sector perform | no change | EUR 75 | EUR 70 |
Repsol | sector perform | no change | EUR 14 | EUR 16 |
Equinor | sector perform | no change | NOK 270 | NOK 300 |
Exxon Mobil | sector perform | no change | $120 | $135 |
Neste | sector perform | no change | EUR 21 | no change |
Saudi Aramco | sector perform | no change | SAR 32 | SAR 36 |
Shell | outperform | no change | GBP 3,500 | GBP 3,400 |
Eni | outperform | no change | EUR 18 | no change |
Galp Energia | outperform | no change | EUR 25 | no change |
Chevron | outperform | no change | $170 | $180 |
Var energi | outperform | no change | NOK 44 | NOK 53 |
Reporting by Anna Chaberska
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