JPM puts Carl Zeiss on negative Catalyst Watch on downside risks to earnings
** J.P.Morgan places Carl Zeiss Meditec AFXG.DE on negative Catalyst Watch, citing downside risks to 2024 guidance and 2025 consensus
** The German medical technology firm's stock is down 2.85%
** JPM says a cut to 2024 outlook (potentially at Q3) is "well flagged" although the magnitude of guidance downgrade remains the key uncertainty
** It predicts 2024 adjusted EBIT and EPS to be 9% and 10% below consensus respectively, adding the risks to 2025 numbers are "underappreciated"
** Consensus foresees EPS growth of 26% for 2025 based on 2024 earnings, which JPM says "are too high"
** The brokerage points to an earnings downgrade cycle through 2023 and 2024, flagging further downside risk to estimates
** Although the stock is traded broadly in-line with ophthalmology peers, it is located in the bottom quartile in terms of earnings growth, it adds
** Recent outperformance from peers may signal market share losses for Carl Zeiss, it says
Reporting by Amir Orusov
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