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India bond yields edge lower tracking US peers



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By Bhakti Tambe

MUMBAI, July 16 (Reuters) -Indian government bond yields ended lower on Tuesday, tracking a fall in U.S. yields on expectations that the Federal Reserve was likely to cut interest rates at its September meeting.

The benchmark 10-year yield IN071034G=CC ended at 6.9632%, having closed at 6.9767% in the previous session. The bond markets are closed on Wednesday for a local holiday.

The U.S. yields were lower on Tuesday and have been on a decline in the past two weeks on increasing expectations that the Fed will cut rates as soon as September, as the jobs market softens and inflation eases back closer to the U.S. central bank's 2% annual target.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Monday that the three U.S. inflation readings over the second quarter of this year do "add somewhat to confidence" that the pace of price increases is returning to the Fed's target sustainably.

Traders are also pricing in a second and possibly a third rate cut by December. FEDWATCH

Back home, the Reserve Bank of India is likely to be on a long pause and is likely to start cutting rates only after the developed market central banks start their rate-cutting cycle, Puneet Pal, fixed income head at PGIM India Mutual Fund said.

"We expect the 10-year benchmark yield to keep drifting lower gradually and converge with the policy repo rate before the start of the rate-cutting cycle," Pal added.

Bond market participants also await the final budget, which the government will announce on July 23, with major focus on the fiscal deficit target and gross borrowing figures.

India had announced gross borrowing of 14.13 trillion rupees ($169.12 billion) in the interim budget, with a fiscal deficit target of 5.1% of gross domestic product.


($1 = 83.5510 Indian rupees)



Reporting by Bhakti Tambe; Editing by Janane Venkatraman

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