Dollar lower after Powell, crypto climbs as investors eye Trump win
Updated at 3:13 p.m. ET/ 1913 GMT
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, July 15 (Reuters) -The dollar fell slightlyon Monday after comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, while cryptocurrencies rose on bets that an assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump lifted hisreelection chances.
Trump has presented himself as a staunch supporter for cryptocurrencies, although he has not offered specifics on his proposed crypto policy.
In the aftermath of the shooting, investors narrowed the odds of a Trump victory. Online betting site PredictIt showed bets of an election win for Trump at 67 cents, up from Friday's 60 cents, with Joe Biden at 27 cents.
The dollar tends to strengthen as part of what is known as the "Trump trade" of assets likely to perform well under a Trump presidency of a hawkish trade policy and looser regulation for certain industries.
But the initial reaction proved to be short-lived, with the greenback falling from its earlier highs.
The dollar also briefly fell sharply as Powell began his speech.He said the three U.S. inflation readings over the second quarter "add somewhat to confidence" that the pace of price increases is returning to the Fed's target in a sustainable fashion, indicating a move to cut interest rates may be coming soon.
"The market is feeling confident and they were feeling confident before (Powell) spoke about a September rate cut, so I don't think he really put it on the table, but it's clearly that it is on the table," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex in New York.
"Powell could have made a stronger case that we've achieved a soft landing and now let's avoid a hard landing. That's the kind of logic that is going to be unfolding now."
The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, fell 0.07% to 104.22 after rising as high as 104.31, with the euro EUR= down 0.09% at $1.0897. Sterling GBP= weakened 0.22% to $1.2964.
Markets are completely pricingin a rate cut of at least 25 basis points (bps) from the Fed in September, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, after data last week showed consumer prices fell on a monthly basis for the first time in four years in June.
Crypto prices jumped, with bitcoin BTC= last up more than 6% at $63,808 after reaching a three-week high of $63,838.86. Ether ETH= surged more than 7% to $3,417.20.
Against the Japanese yen JPY=, the dollar was unchanged at157.89. The greenback fell to 157.15 as Powell spoke, its lowest since June 17, before quickly rebounding.
TheBank of Japan (BoJ) is thought to have intervened in the market in another effort to buttress the Japanese currency last week after the cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation report. Data from the central bank suggests that authorities may have spent up to 3.57 trillion yen ($22.4 billion) to do so on Thursday.
"Anything that's going to give the Bank of Japan hope that the Fed might cut rates more or sooner than previously expected is going to give the yen a boost," said Helen Given, FX trader, at Monex USA in Washington. "It's all about interest rate differentials, so movement in Fed futures is going to sway yen a lot."
World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak, additional reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by Sharon Singleton and Richard Chang
免責聲明: XM Group提供線上交易平台的登入和執行服務，允許個人查看和/或使用網站所提供的內容，但不進行任何更改或擴展其服務和訪問權限，並受以下條款與條例約束：（i）條款與條例；（ii）風險提示；（iii）完全免責聲明。網站內部所提供的所有資訊，僅限於一般資訊用途。請注意，我們所有的線上交易平台內容並不構成，也不被視為進入金融市場交易的邀約或邀請 。金融市場交易會對您的投資帶來重大風險。
所有缐上交易平台所發佈的資料，僅適用於教育/資訊類用途，不包含也不應被視爲適用於金融、投資稅或交易相關諮詢和建議，或是交易價格紀錄，或是任何金融商品或非應邀途徑的金融相關優惠的交易邀約或邀請。
本網站的所有XM和第三方所提供的内容，包括意見、新聞、研究、分析、價格其他資訊和第三方網站鏈接，皆爲‘按原狀’，並作爲一般市場評論所提供，而非投資建議。請理解和接受，所有被歸類為投資研究範圍的相關内容，並非爲了促進投資研究獨立性，而根據法律要求所編寫，而是被視爲符合營銷傳播相關法律與法規所編寫的内容。請確保您已詳讀並完全理解我們的非獨立投資研究提示和風險提示資訊，相關詳情請點擊 這裡查看。
