Baader's European chemicals picks for H2 as sector faces gradual recovery
** Baader Helvea sees a gradual recovery ahead for the European chemicals sector, and says it favours speciality and special situations chemical companies over diversified ones
** Diversified and higher volume chemical stocks underwent a price correction during Q2, while more specialised chemicals held up well, it says
** It prefers "buy"-rated Clariant CLN.S and KWS Saat KWSG.DE over the medium term, saying their structural portfolio organisation should lead to higher margins and stronger FCF generation
** It upgrades Wacker Chemie WCHG.DE to "buy" from "reduce", citing tailwinds from the Polysilicon and Biosolutions businesses that should boost its earnings in 2025
** It expects Germany's BASF BASFn.DE ("add") to beat Q2 consensus estimates by around 1% and report a Q/Q improvement in cracker margins
** But it's cautious on BASF's mid-term earnings potential, saying global cracker overcapacities will affect its upstream capacity utilisation at least until 2026/27
BAADER'S RATING AND PT CHANGES:
COMPANY | RATING | OLD RATING | PT | OLD PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
BASF | Add | n/a | EUR 50 | EUR 53 |
Fuchs FPEn.DE | Add | n/a | EUR 48 | EUR 42 |
Givaudan GIVN.S | Reduce | n/a | CHF 4,050 | CHF 3,950 |
Wacker Chemie | Buy | Reduce | EUR 122 | EUR 109 |
Reporting by Tristan Veyet
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