Technical Analysis – US 500 index charts a double top pattern
US 500 index pauses record rally around 5,520
Technical indicators signal more weakness ahead
Sellers could take control below 5,395
The US 500 stock index (cash) opened on the negative side on Monday to test the 5,450 region, which seems to be the neckline of a bearish double top pattern.
The RSI and the MACD cannot discount the possibility of a bearish continuation as the former has changed course to the downside after peaking in the overbought zone and the latter is steadily losing ground below its red signal line. Meanwhile, the stochastic oscillator is set for another downturn too.
The 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) is within a short distance at 5,425 and might attempt to pause the bears ahead of the 5,395 territory, where the ascending line from April and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the latest upleg are located. A step below the latter could confirm a bearish trend reversal, and therefore could hurt market sentiment, causing a dramatic downfall towards the 50-day EMA and the 38.2% Fibonacci level of 5,300.
If the bulls manage to set a strong foothold above the 20-day EMA, the spotlight will shift again to the 5,520 ceiling. Breaching that bar and crawling above the resistance line drawn from July 2023 seen at 5,537, the index could next mark a new higher high near the 5,600 and 5,700 psychological numbers.
Summing up, the US 500 stock index might be preparing for its next bearish round after stabilizing its rally near fresh record highs. Traders, however, might stay wisely patient until the price clearly completes a negative trend reversal below 5,395.
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