Technical Analysis – US 100 index rally continues
US 100 index climbs again, records new all-time high
Markets welcome the weaker US data prints
Momentum indicators bullish but could be toppy
The momentum indicators clearly reflect this bullish move. More specifically, the Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) is moving aggressively higher and thus signalling a strengthening bullish trend in the US 100 index. Interestingly, the RSI continues to climb higher, but it has yet to surpass its mid-June highs and thus potentially raising questions about the viability of the current rally. More importantly, the stochastic oscillator is trading at the top of its range, clearly above its moving average. It can stay in the overbought (OB) region for a while before signalling a possible loss of bullish momentum.
Should the bulls remain hungry, they could try to keep the US 100 index in the green and gradually target the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level of the November 22, 2021 – October 13, 2022 downtrend at 20,683. The 21,000 level could be the next plausible target for the bulls.
On the flip side, the bears are desperately trying to regain control and push the US 100 index towards the May 2, 2024 and the January 6, 2023 ascending trendlines, and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 19,064. If successful, they could then have a go at testing the support set by the 18,491-18,500 region, which is populated by the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level and the 100-day SMA.
To sum up, the US 100 index is enjoying another strong upleg on the back of increased expectations for a Fed rate cut soon.
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