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Technical Analysis – What’s next for Nike: trend reversal or continuation?



Nike stock traded sharply lower recently after it found strong resistance at the 116.00 territory, which stopped the bulls during the summer and offered strong support back in March. The stock has returned back below all three of the plotted moving averages this week, but it continues to trade above the prior downtrend line drawn from the high of November 22, 2021, and above the uptrend line taken from the low of October 3. All these mixed technical signals paint a neutral picture for now.

The daily oscillators are not clearing up the outlook either. The RSI has fallen below its equilibrium line of 50, while the MACD, although below its trigger line, is still holding above zero.

The move that could signal the completion of a bullish reversal may be a break above 116.00. It would confirm a higher high and investors may get encouraged to challenge the 124.00 territory marked by the highs of June 2 and 8. If they are not willing to liquidate there, they could decide to push the action all the way up to the 139.00 zone, which acted as a temporary ceiling between March 21 and April 21.

Alternatively, a drop below the round number of 100.00 could confirm the break below the uptrend line taken from the low of October 3. Market participants may allow the stock to fall to the 86.00 zone, or even to the two-and-a-half-year low of 82.00, hit on October 3.

To recap, Nike has fallen sharply lately, but it is still trading above a prior downtrend line and a newly drawn uptrend line. A break above 116.00 may complete a bullish reversal on the daily chart, while a dip below 100.00 could signal the continuation of the prevailing downtrend.

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