XM 研究Neutral
Technical Analysis – USDZAR trades sideways after hitting new record
USDZAR reached a new record high back in June
However, pair has been trading sideways since then
Break above 19.92 or below 17.40 needed to signal direction
USDZAR hit a new record high of 19.92 back in early June. However, the pair subsequently retreated to post a lower low in late July, and has been trading without a clear direction since then. Hence, the near-term outlook appears neutral, while the longer-term picture remains positive. Momentum oscillators reflect the lack of clear direction in the pair. The RSI has just poked its nose above its 50 level, and although the MACD is rising above its red trigger line, it remains in negative territory. Should buyers remain in charge and manage to pierce above the 18.77 zone, their next target might be the 19.27 area, which halted several advances in recent months. Beyond that, the focus would turn to 19.64, where another bullish break would open the way towards the record peak of 19.92. On the downside, sellers could encounter their first obstacle near 18.12, a region fortified by an uptrend line drawn from the lows of April 2022. If that’s violated, the spotlight would shift to 17.70. Even lower, a bigger battle could take place around the July low of 17.40. In short, the pair remains in a longer-term uptrend. That said, a break above 19.92 is needed to signal a resumption of this trend, whereas a break below 17.40 could shift the outlook back to neutral.
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