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Technical Analysis – USDCAD tumbles towards 200-day SMA



  • USDCAD falls beneath uptrend line within trading range

  • RSI and MACD tick down

USDCAD is plunging well below the long-term descending trend line, with immediate strong support coming from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) near the 1.3590 level. The RSI indicator is falling beneath the 50 level with strong momentum; however, the MACD oscillator is moving beneath its trigger and zero lines, losing some steam.

If the pair dives beneath the 200-day SMA, then it may change the outlook to bearish, heading towards the 1.3455 support.

Alternatively, a climb back above the downtrend line could take traders within the consolidation area, meeting the next resistance area of 1.3755–1.3785. Above this level, the previous high of 1.3845 and the 13-month high of 1.3900 could switch the bias to strongly bullish.

All in all, USDCAD has been in a trading range since mid-April, but the current significant dive may take the market to bearish mode.

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