Technical Analysis – Have USDJPY bulls lost the game?
- USDJPY finds support near 158.00 after rapid downfall
- Short-term risk remains in the bearish zone; eyes on 155.00 level
- US retail sales due for release at 12:30 GMT
USDJPY set a strong foothold near its 50-day simple moving average at 157.90 after last week’s brutal exit out of the 161.00 territory. Note that the pair made a double top pattern near its 38-year high of 161.94 before descending, which typically indicates a bearish continuation.
Despite the recent crash in the price, the series of higher lows is still consistent in the medium-term picture and only a decisive close below the 155.00 mark would shift the outlook to bearish and squeeze the price to 153.60. In the meantime, the 156.53 region, where a former descending trendline is located, could delay any continuation lower.
Technically, the RSI and the MACD are not in favor of the bulls. The former hit a new low below its 50 neutral mark despite showing some recovery today, while the latter continues to lose momentum below its red signal line. Likewise, the stochastic oscillator remains negatively charged, though it’s a short distance from its 20 oversold level, suggesting that selling forces might soon lose steam.
In the bullish scenario, if the pair closes above 158.77, buying appetite could grow towards the 20-day SMA, which is currently flattening around April’s peak of 160.20. Then, the pair should pierce through the 160.85-161.94 constraining zone to reach the 164.43 caution region.
In summary, USDJPY could continue to face bearish pressure after its significant drop, but there is potential for bullish activity if the price remains above 155.00.免責聲明: XM Group提供線上交易平台的登入和執行服務,允許個人查看和/或使用網站所提供的內容,但不進行任何更改或擴展其服務和訪問權限,並受以下條款與條例約束:(i)條款與條例;(ii)風險提示;(iii)完全免責聲明。網站內部所提供的所有資訊,僅限於一般資訊用途。請注意,我們所有的線上交易平台內容並不構成,也不被視為進入金融市場交易的邀約或邀請 。金融市場交易會對您的投資帶來重大風險。
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