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Technical Analysis – Citigroup stock under increasing bearish pressure



Citigroup is stuck in the middle of the 42.81-53.90 rectangle that has been dominating the price action since March 2022. It is currently below the February 2, 2023 downward sloping trendline and hovering around the various simple moving averages (SMAs) used, pointing to a delicate balance due to increased indecisiveness from market participants.

The bears have been more active, but their bearish breakouts have repeatedly failed. However, it looks like they will probably be given the chance for another sell-off as the momentum indicators are pointing to increased bearish pressure. More specifically, the Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) appears to have peaked, and it is now edging lower. More importantly, the stochastic oscillator has broken below its moving average, and it appears ready to move aggressively move downwards.

Should the bears decide to capitalize on these bearish tendencies, they would like to quickly overcome the support set at the 46.65-47.01 range populated by the January 16, 2015 low and the 50- and 200-day SMAs. Their next key target would be the lower boundary of the recent rectangle at 42.81. However, they must successfully clear the June 24, 2013 and July 14, 2022 lows of 45.04 and 43.34 respectively first.

On the other side, if the bulls finally decide to stage a rally, they will face resistance at the 47.80-48.39 range and the February 2, 2023 trendline respectively. The 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the March 8, 2021 – December 28, 2022 downtrend at 49.60 is unlikely to trouble the bulls as they attempt to push the stock towards the 53.55 area.

To sum up, Citigroup bears remain in control through a series of lower highs. With the overall technical picture turning in favour of them, another retest of the lower boundary of the rectangle appears to be firmly on the cards.

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