Technical Analysis – CHFJPY struggles to beat its all-time high
The daily oscillators indicate a lack of, or little, directional momentum, which adds credence to the narrative of a neutral outlook. The RSI has turned down and appears ready to touch its equilibrium 50 line, while the MACD, although slightly positive, crossed below its trigger line and is pointing south as well.
For the prevailing longer-term uptrend to continue, a break above the record peak of 143.74 may be needed. This will take CHFJPY into uncharted territory, and with no prior highs or inside swing lows to mark potential new resistance zones, such a role may be played by the psychological number of 145.00 and the 146.00 area.
On the downside, a break below 138.65 may confirm the completion of a ‘triple top’ formation, and thereby signal a trend reversal. Initially, the bears could aim for the 137.10 level, marked by the low of August 2, the break of which could set the stage for larger declines, perhaps towards the 134.00/35 zone, defined by the lows of June 15 and 16 respectively.
To recap, CHFJPY bulls have repeatedly failed to overcome the pair’s record of 143.74, finding strong resistance at 143.20. That ceiling and the key support of 138.65 are forming a sideways range that’s been containing most of the price action since June 17.免責聲明: XM Group提供線上交易平台的登入和執行服務,允許個人查看和/或使用網站所提供的內容,但不進行任何更改或擴展其服務和訪問權限,並受以下條款與條例約束:(i)條款與條例;(ii)風險提示;(iii)完全免責聲明。網站內部所提供的所有資訊,僅限於一般資訊用途。請注意,我們所有的線上交易平台內容並不構成,也不被視為進入金融市場交易的邀約或邀請 。金融市場交易會對您的投資帶來重大風險。
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