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Sustained oil drop may put USD under big pressure

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sustained oil drop may put USD under big pressure Oct 15 (Reuters) - A sustained drop in the price of oil which could lead U.S. interest rates down faster or further than currently expected could put the dollar under great pressure. There is good reason to expect oil to slide, as crude prices have been underpinned for several years mainly by restrictions to supply and producers are planning to increase output.
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Norway's crown still too weak for the Norges Bank

BUZZ-COMMENT-Norway's crown still too weak for the Norges Bank Oct 10 (Reuters) - The latest inflation data out of Norway could trigger a downward revision to analyst rate path expectations but the crown remains too weak and taken in isolation could prevent the Norges Bank from adjusting its policy outlook. September core inflation fell to 3.1% year-on-year from 3.2% in August and compares favourably with the central bank's 3.3% estimate.
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Norway's September core inflation lower than expected

UPDATE 2-Norway's September core inflation lower than expected Adds headline inflation, detail in paragraphs 3, 6, updates currency OSLO, Oct 10 (Reuters) - Norway's annual core inflation rate eased unexpectedly in September, Statistics Norway (SSB) data showed on Thursday, supporting the central bank's view that interest rates may start to decline in the early part of next year.
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US recap: EUR/USD holds firm as oil slides, shares gain

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD holds firm as oil slides, shares gain Oct 8 (Reuters) - The dollar index was little changed Tuesday as U.S. shares surged amid slumping oil prices and lower Treasury 2-year yields ahead of consumer inflation data Thursday. The Norwegian krone lagged its G-10 counterparts as crude prices sank 4% after a Hezbollah leader signaled support for a negotiated ceasefire.
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Charts flashing pullback risk for the Viking cross

BUZZ-COMMENT-Charts flashing pullback risk for the Viking cross Oct 8 (Reuters) - The NOK/SEK cross may have put in a top at 0.9758, Monday's high point, and the daily chart is indicating downside risk following a cloud breach failure. Long upper candlestick shadows combined with a false Ichimoku cloud break suggest the demand side of the cross has weakened and that a corrective pullback could take hold.
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Dollar bears eye shifts in global yields, growth to play further weakness

ANALYSIS-Dollar bears eye shifts in global yields, growth to play further weakness Fed's rate cuts and global central banks' actions impact dollar's performance Economic data and U.S. presidential election add uncertainty to dollar's outlook Investors eye currencies like yen, krone, and real for potential gains Yen has rallied from 2024 lows as central bank policies diverge Still-strong U.S.
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Dollar bears eye shifts in global yields, growth to play weakening US currency

ANALYSIS-Dollar bears eye shifts in global yields, growth to play weakening US currency Fed's rate cuts and global central banks' actions impact dollar's performance Economic data and U.S. presidential election add uncertainty to dollar's outlook Investors eye currencies like yen, krone, and real for potential gains Yen has rallied from 2024 lows as central bank policies diverge Still-strong U.S.
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NOK remains too cheap for the Norges Bank

BUZZ-COMMENT-NOK remains too cheap for the Norges Bank Sept 30 (Reuters) - Despite forward guidance from Norway's Norges Bank suggesting the possibility of a rate cut in December, expectations are for a "no change" decision and the main reason will be the weakness of the crown. The NOK is too cheap and even with the central bank's hawkish stance EUR/NOK and NOK/SEK look poised to move further against the crown.
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US recap: EUR/USD gains post-Fed, but yen losses bolster dollar

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD gains post-Fed, but yen losses bolster dollar Sept 19 (Reuters) - The yen fell against the dollar and other G-10 peers as the risk tone improved following Wednesday’s Fed Reserve rate cut and a series of central bank policy meetings Thursday. The pound rose in high turnover after the Bank of England left its policy rate at 5.0%, as expected, saying it would be careful about future cuts.
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Norway's interest rate path may ease, but NOK a key factor

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Norway's interest rate path may ease, but NOK a key factor Repeats with changes to first line Sept 19 (Reuters) - Norway's central bank meeting at 0800GMT Thursday and there could be scope to lower the interest rate path and possibly hint at a December cut, but despite a slight improvement the weak NOK will continue to underpin a hawkish Norges Bank stance.
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Norway's interest rate path may ease, but NOK a key factor

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Norway's interest rate path may ease, but NOK a key factor Repeats with changes to first line Sept 19 (Reuters) - Norway's central bank meeting at 0800GMT Thursday and there could be scope to lower the interest rate path and possibly hint at a December cut, but despite a slight improvement the weak NOK will continue to underpin a hawkish Norges Bank stance.
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A fragile reversal for Norway's crown

BUZZ-COMMENT-A fragile reversal for Norway's crown Sept 17 (Reuters) - A direction change is underway for NOK/SEK but the bullish reversal from the key 0.9500 support point lacks conviction and the market reaction to this Thursday's Norges Bank meeting could be pivotal. Not a classic trend reversal but back-to-back doji candles, Sept. 10-11, set the stage for a move higher and from a 0.9539 one-month low the Viking cross has removed a minimum correction level at 0.9606 and climbed above the 10-d
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Norway's interest rate path may ease, but NOK a key factor

BUZZ-COMMENT-Norway's interest rate path may ease, but NOK a key factor Sept 16 (Reuters) - Norway's central bank meets this week and there could be scope to lower the interest rate path and possibly hint at a December cut, but despite a slight improvement the weak NOK will continue to underpin a hawkish Norges Bank stance. Falling interest rates at the European central bank and Bank of England and an expected rate cut from the U.S.
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Looking for value in the Viking cross

BUZZ-COMMENT-Looking for value in the Viking cross Sept 13 (Reuters) - The decline in NOK/SEK since May's 2024 high of 1.0125 is nearing a key support point and, with interest rate differentials still favouring the NOK, a bullish opportunity may present itself in the coming sessions. Apart from a brief dip below the support level in December 2023, the 0.9500 support point has held the market since November 2020. A drop to 0.9505 in early August found bids and the subsequent rebound took the Viki
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Norway companies see growth, but wide differences, central bank survey shows

UPDATE 1-Norway companies see growth, but wide differences, central bank survey shows Adds quote, currency, detail in paragraphs 3-6 OSLO, Sept 12 (Reuters) - Norwegian companies expect overall economic activity to increase somewhat in the second half of 2024 but expectations for the third quarter have been revised down slightly since June, a central bank business survey showed on Thursday.
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US dollar mixed after inflation report supports smaller Fed rate cut

FOREX-US dollar mixed after inflation report supports smaller Fed rate cut US core inflation rises 0.3% in August US dollar hits three-week high versus Swiss franc Dollar falls to lowest level since late December Fed funds futures lower odds of 50-basis-point cut this month Updates as of 3:27 p.m. ET/1927 GMT By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Chibuike Oguh NEW YORK, Sept 11 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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NOK bears could re-group ahead of the Norges Bank meet

BUZZ-COMMENT-NOK bears could re-group ahead of the Norges Bank meet Sept 11 (Reuters) - The Norwegian crown hit a new short-term trend low point versus the euro on Tuesday, but the subsequent recovery from 11.9940 to 11.9440 into the close could be the precursor to a deeper pullback in EUR/NOK. Widening interest rate differentials, in the NOK's favour, have done little to improve the currency's position, and a 3.25% depreciation since Aug.
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Far less inflation to influence currencies in future

BUZZ-COMMENT-Far less inflation to influence currencies in future Sept 10 (Reuters) - There is less inflation to influence currencies in the future which will allow central banks to embark on much anticipated easing cycles. It will also relieve pressure on many currencies of nations dependent on energy imports that were severely impacted by the surge of inflation that resulted in a global tightening cycle.
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Norway's August core inflation eases to 3.2% as expected

UPDATE 1-Norway's August core inflation eases to 3.2% as expected Adds detail on currency, background in paragraphs 3-6 COPENHAGEN, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Norway's annual core inflation rate eased in line with market forecasts in August, Statistics Norway (SSB) data showed on Tuesday, supporting expectations that interest rates may begin to decline later this year or early in 2025. Core inflation, which strips out changing energy prices and taxes, stood at 3.2% year on year, down from 3.3% in July
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A dollar on the defensive brings relief to policymakers globally

RPT-GRAPHIC-A dollar on the defensive brings relief to policymakers globally Repeats story published on Monday with no changes to text By Alun John and Karin Strohecker LONDON, Sept 2 (Reuters) - The dollar fell more than 2% against other major currencies in August, marking its biggest monthly drop this year and providing some relief to economies that have suffered under the weight of dollar strength.
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