Nvidia gets vertigo, dollar builds steam
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
Nvidia, the Nasdaq and the S&P500 got dizzy at record highs on Thursday as world markets start to take stock of a bumper 2024 as we near the half-year point next week - but with the dollar .DXY back on the march regardless.
The latest U.S. economic readouts showing some cooling of activity through May and June, but the trigger for the megacap recoil was less than clear - not least with the Atlanta Federal Reserve's "GDPNow" real-time estimate still showing a brisk 3% growth for the quarter.
The scale of recent tech gains may just have been too fast as midyear accounting prompts a breather - and perhaps investors are now bracing for a bumpier second half into November's U.S. election. Next Thursday's presidential TV debate may sound the klaxon for that.
Either way, Nvidia's NVDA.O 3.5% drop on the day meant it surrendered its brief role as the most valued company to Microsoft MSFT.O again and the tech-heavy Nasdaq .IXIC ended a seven-day streak of record closing highs.
The wider equity complex was more mixed, however, with the blue-chip Dow Jones .DJI gaining 0.7% and the small-cap Russell 2000 .RUT flat on the day.
Despite another softening of Treasury yields US10YT=RR after misses on housing starts and jobless claims, the dollar continued to build a head of steam.
And greenback gains were pretty broad-based - against the European currencies where central bank rate cuts and easing bets are mounting, but also against Japan's yen JPY= and China's yuan CNH= in Asia. The DXY index touched its highest in almost two months.
Foreign money is exiting China again - amid rising global trade tensions and little sign of an end to the deepening housing bust there, Chinese stocks .CSI300, .HSI and the yuan had another poor end to a dour week.
About 33 billion yuan ($4.54 billion) left the mainland this month via the Northbound leg of the Stock Connect Scheme - following four months of net inflows.
With one eye on the Chinese Communist Party's central committee plenum next month, G7 countries upping pressure on Chinese electric vehicle exports and Beijing considering retaliation, the yuan slipped to its weakest this year on Friday.
China's commerce ministry said on Friday the European Union has continued to escalate trade friction, which "may trigger a trade war."
Japan's yen is weakening rapidly again too - with doubts about the timing of Bank of Japan tightening reinforced by below-forecast inflation numbers that saw consumer price growth excluding energy and fresh food falling to just 2.1% last month.
That has sent dollar/yen back above 159 for the first time since late April, when the BoJ last intervened to cap it, and elicited another series of warnings from Japanese officials.
With the Swiss National Bank's second interest rate cut of the year on Thursday ringing in the background, the dollar climbed against European currencies too.
Sterling GBP= fell to its lowest level in over a month even after the Bank of England left its policy rates steady ahead of the July 4 UK election, as bets on an August rate cut there rose when the BoE indicated that its 7-2 policy-maker split in favour of holding the line was "finely balanced".
News of a rebound in British retail sales last month after a weather-related bust in April did little to shift the dial.
And the euro EUR= sank back to the lows it hit last week on France's political upheaval, with June business surveys for the euro zone showing a sharper slowdown in activity there than forecast.
The currency bloc's services industry showed signs of weakening while a downturn in manufacturing took a turn for the worse.
Back on Wall Street, equivalent S&P Global surveys for the United States are due out later on Friday.
S&P500 ESM24 futures were marginally in the red ahead of the bell.
Elsewhere, China imposed countermeasures on Lockheed Martin's LMT.N relevant entities and senior executives on Friday over the United States' arms sales to Taiwan.
And Britain's financial technology firm Revolut could be valued at north of $40 billion in a share sale, even as it still awaits a UK banking licence, according to people familiar with the situation.
Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S. markets later on Friday:
* US Flash June business surveys from S&P Global, May existing home sales; Canada April retail sales
* San Francisco President Federal Reserve President Mary Daly speaks
* German Economy Minister Robert Habeck speaks in Beijing
* ECOFIN meeting of European Union finance ministers in Luxembourg, with European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos attending
* US corporate earnings: Carmax, Factset
Nvidia's results expected to keep rising at more modest rates https://reut.rs/49n1T1j
US housing starts and permits ebb https://reut.rs/3xuCNjh
US continuing jobless claims keep rising https://reut.rs/3VFvT2W
Polls tighten between Biden and Trump https://reut.rs/3xs1UTS
Japan's demand-led inflation slows https://reut.rs/3VQyc49
By Mike Dolan, editing by Mark Heinrich mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com
İlgili varlıklar
En son haberler
Bildirim: XM Group şirketlerinin her biri yalnızca gerçekleştirme hizmeti ve online yatırım platformumuza erişim sağlar. Herhangi bir kişinin web sitesinde bulunan veya web sitesi üzerinden sağlanan içeriği görüntülemesine ve/veya kullanmasına izin vermek, bu hizmeti değiştirmek veya genişletmek amaçlı değildir ve bu hizmeti ne değiştirir ne de genişletir. Bu tür erişim ve kullanım her zaman şunlara tabidir: (i) Şartlar ve Koşullar; (ii) Risk Uyarıları ve (iii) Tam Bildirim. Bu nedenle bu tür içerikler yalnızca genel bilgi amacıyla sağlanır. Özellikle, online yatırım platformumuzun içeriklerinin finans piyasalarında herhangi bir işleme girmek için bir teşvik veya bir teklif olmadığını lütfen dikkate alın. Herhangi bir finans piyasasında yatırım yapmak sermayeniz için önemli düzeyde risk taşır.
Online yatırım platformumuzda yayınlanan tüm materyaller yalnızca eğitim/bilgilendirme amaçlıdır ve finansal tavsiye, yatırım vergisi veya yatırım tavsiyesi ve önerileri ya da yatırım fiyatlarımızın kaydı veya herhangi bir finansal enstrümanda işlem yapılması için bir teklif veya teşvik ya da talep edilmemiş finansal promosyonları içermez ve içerdiği şeklinde bir değerlendirme yapılmamalıdır.
Görüşler, haberler, araştırma, analizler, fiyatlar, diğer bilgiler veya bu web sitesinde bulunan üçüncü taraf sitelere verilen bağlantılar gibi her türlü üçüncü taraf içeriğin yanı sıra XM tarafından hazırlanan içerik de “olduğu gibi” esasına göre, genel piyasa yorumu olarak sağlanır ve bir yatırım tavsiyesi oluşturmaz. Herhangi bir içeriğin yatırım araştırması olarak yorumlanmasıyla ilgili olarak, içeriğin bağımsız yatırım araştırmasını desteklemek üzere tasarlanmış yasal gerekliliklere uygun hazırlanmadığını ve bu amacın güdülmediğini, aynı şekilde ilgili yasalar ve mevzuatlar kapsamında pazarlama iletişimi olarak değerlendirileceğini dikkate almalı ve kabul etmelisiniz. Buradan erişebileceğiniz Bağımsız Olmayan Yatırım Araştırması Bildirimimizi ve yukarıdaki bilgilerle ilgili Risk Uyarımızı okuduğunuzdan ve anladığınızdan emin olun.
