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Technical Analysis – US dollar index buyers keep away but still present

US dollar index’s bullish gap still intact200-day SMA looks to be tough support lineTechnical oscillators appear positiveThe US dollar index declined considerably after the upward wave to the four-month peak of 105.30, but it failed to cover the gap that was created on Wednesday.The RSI is above its 50 neutral mark, although weaker, and the stochastic oscillator is keeping its footing to the upside, both reflecting that buyers are still active.Nevertheless, the pair has key levels underneath f
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Technical Analysis – Ethereum rally stops at key resistance level

Cryptocurrencies benefit from Trump’s winEthereum finds resistance at the 200-day SMAMomentum indicators confirm the bullish pressure Ethereum has been benefiting from the outcome of the US presidential election by recording strong gains and returning above the 2,810 area for the first time since early August. It managed to overcome some key levels on its way higher, including the key May 27, 2024 descending trendline, with the rally pausing at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
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Week Ahead – US CPI to shift market focus back to data after Trump shock

After Trump comeback, normality to return to markets with US CPIGDP data from UK and Japan to also be importantBut volatility to likely persist as markets assess impact of Trump 2.0US CPI eyed as rate cut bets fade after Trump winDonald Trump’s historic return to the White House was met with a euphoric response by the markets. Wall Street and Bitcoin rallied to record highs, while the US dollar skyrocketed to 4-month highs.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY fails to challenge 200.00 key level

GBPJPY retreats somewhat, but broader picture remains positiveMomentum oscillators suggest declinesGBPJPY retreats after several attempts to touch the 200.00 round number, but the short-term bias remains positive.From a technical perspective, there is a growing risk of a negative correction. The stochastic oscillator is pointing south, ready to post a bearish crossover, while the RSI is ticking down near the neutral threshold of 50.If GBPUSD extends its rally above the 199.70 resistance, the 200
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AUDCAD triggers buy orders near key support crossroadsRSI and MACD corroborate the positive momentum shiftA break above 0.9370 could allow extensions towards 0.9550A dip below 0.9015 could turn the outlook bearishAUDCAD rebounded on Wednesday, from near the crossroads of the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the uptrend line drawn from the low September 27. Although the pair is pulling back today, the technical picture suggests that the bulls could take charge again very soon.Both the
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Daily Comment – Fed delivers rate cut, stocks rally but dollar not impressed

Fed cuts rates and keeps door open to a December movePowell appears confident about the inflation outlookEquities’ euphoria continues, strongest weekly rally of 2024Yen manages to gain against the US dollarThe Fed announces a rate cutWith the markets still digesting Trump’s win, the Fed announced the much-anticipated rate cut. Unswayed by concerns that Trump’s second term might lead to extreme protectionism and thus keep inflation high, the FOMC cut rates by 25bps, with Chairman Powell app
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD retains bullish bias above 20-day SMA

USDCAD posts new 25-month high but currently stands beneath itStochastics and RSI show positive signsUSDCAD has been developing above the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) since the bounce off the 1.3815 support level and is trying to regain ground.Daily oscillators suggest that the upside momentum is still in place, reflecting the pullback in the market.
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Stocks’ euphoria might have legs – Stock Markets

Equity indices react positively to Trump’s winSmall capitalization stocks could benefit furtherEuropean stock indices remain the laggardsFed stance to support current sentiment despite high yieldsTrump’s win pushes stocks higherUS stock indices continue to dance to the tune of Trump’s return to the White House. The initial reaction was positive with the S&P 500 index climbing by around 2.5%, as the pre-election rhetoric about significant tax cuts contributed to the improved market sent
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Bitcoin hits new record high on Trump victory - Crypto News

Bitcoin skyrockets and hits fresh record at $76,500Crypto enthusiasts celebrate Trump’s crypto-friendly stanceFed decision eyed; risk of possible pullbackHowever, broader uptrend remains intactTrump’s return to Oval Office fuels BitcoinCrypto traders were among those celebrating Donald Trump’s return to the Oval Office. Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency began to gain on the day of the election, and skyrocketed on the first signs that Trump may be the next US president, hitting
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD bounces off 1.2840 after significant red day

GBPUSD holds beneath rising trend lineMomentum oscillators are mixedGBPUSD had an aggressive bearish movement yesterday, losing 1.7% from 1.3045 to 1.2840, breaking the long-term ascending trend line to the downside again.Currently, the price remains beneath the diagonal line, with the next strong support level coming from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.2820. If the price dives below this barrier, it could pave the way for steeper decreases up to the 1.2610-1.2670 range.Alternative
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Quick Brief – BoE cuts rates for the second time in 4 years

BoE lowers rates to 4.75% as inflation drops to 1.7%Pound holds in a range in short-termAt its meeting today, the Bank of England (BoE) lowered its main interest ratesby 25 basis points (bps) to 4.75% from 5.00%, following a hold in September and a quarter-point cut in August. The Monetary Policy Committee voted 8-1 to reduce interest rates versus the anticipated 7-2 majority indicated in a Reuters poll and the split vote of 5-4 in August, suggesting a slight dovish tilt.The economic dat
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Daily Comment – Dollar pauses rally ahead of Fed, BoE meets as well

Dollar traders take a breather as Fed decision loomsFocus to fall on how likely a pause is in coming monthsBoE expected to cut, could take the sidelines in DecemberWall Street continues to celebrate Trump’s winWill the US election outcome impact Fed policy?After hitting a four-month high on the heels of Donald Trump’s return to the White House, the dollar is pulling back today, as traders may have decided to lock some profits after the sharp rally and ahead of the Fed decision later today.Wi
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD in the red for six weeks

GBPUSD hits a new two-month low as Trump wins White HouseShort-term outlook remains bearish; focus on 200-SMA for potential supportBank of England, Fed announce their rate decisions today GBPUSD took a sharp dive to a two-month low of 1.2833 on Tuesday as the return of Trumponomics gave fresh impetus to the greenback.On Wednesday, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the April-September rally came to support the market ahead of the BoE and Fed rate decisions, but with the price failing to hol
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EURCHF trades in a tight rangeThe medium-term bearish trend is still validMomentum indicators prepare for the next leg EURCHF is edging higher today, testing the resistance set by both the 0.9394-0.9403 area and the May 27, 2024 downward slopping trendline. EURCHF has been trading in a tight range over the past few sessions, inside the developing contracting triangle pattern, as the bulls have failed to materially benefit from a barrage of positive euro area data.This reduced volatility is ref
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Quick Brief – What’s next for the markets after Trump’s victory?

Trump is back in the White House; dollar becomes king againSelection of cabinet members is the next taskGold is the worst performer; melts below $2,700 It's no longer in question, Donald Trump made a remarkable comeback to the White House with 279 electoral seats at the time of writing compared to Kamala Harris’ of 224 despite 34 felony count convictions, two assassination attempts, and a stormy campaign battle with Kamala Harris. This is not the only victory for Trump.
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Could markets relive the 2016 post-election day performance?

Euro/dollar could suffer if 2016 repeats itselfUS stocks could further benefit from Trump’s winGold and bitcoin might move in opposite directionEuro/dollar volatility could rise furtherTrump wins a second termFormer President Trump has won the 2024 presidential election, achieving a noticeable comeback following the 2020 defeat. The market reaction has been mostly within expectations, with the dollar gaining across the board, gold suffering and bitcoin enjoying strong gains.While market partic
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Technical Analysis - USDJPY unlocks 3-month high above 154.00

USDJPY makes strong gains after Trump’s winTechnical oscillators turn northUSDJPY is experiencing an aggressive bullish rally today due to Trump’s victory, adding more than 2% after the strong bounce off the bullish crossover within the 20- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) at 151.66. The pair jumped above the 154.00 round level, reco
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Technical Analysis – Gold prices post bearish spike towards 3-week low

Gold loses ground but bullish phase intactMACD and RSI head southGold prices tumbled to a fresh almost three-week low of 2,701 but are currently recouping some losses, flirting with the 2,725 support level. A closing session beneath the 2,710-2,716 region could find strong support at the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) at 2,685. Steeper decreases may open the way for a bearish tendency in the short term, hitting the 2,673 bar.In the positive scenario, a return to the upside may take the b
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AUDUSD is well in the red todayStrong resistance set by the 200-day SMAMomentum indicators are mostly bearishAUDUSD is trading lower today, reacting to the news that former president Trump has probably secured a second term in the White House, with today’s price action almost entirely canceling out Tuesday’s upleg, which was caused by the hawkish RBA meeting.
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Daily Comment – Dollar and stocks surge on Trump victory bets

Donald Trump secures key battleground statesDollar rallies as his policies are seen as inflationaryStocks celebrate prospect of tax cuts and deregulationBitcoin hits fresh record high, oil retreatsTrump knocks the White House doorThe dollar skyrocketed during the Asian session today, and it appears to be headed for its biggest one-day gain since March 2020.Following the closing of the election ballots in the US, early signs that former president Donald Trump is likely to return to the White Hous
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