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USDJPY

Week Ahead – Busy US calendar ahead of Thanksgiving; Q3 data eyed by aussie, kiwi and loonie

Posted on November 22, 2019 at 1:28 pm GMT

The coming week looks set to be unusually busy despite the US having a shorter week due to the Thanksgiving holiday. Nevertheless, the flurry of data may fail to generate much excitement. This could leave investors yet again exposed to the constantly changing sentiment on the trade outlook, especially if President Trump makes any references to the ongoing US-China talks in his Thanksgiving message. But in the absence of any fresh headlines on trade, the markets’ focus will mainly fall [..]

Daily Market Comment – Mixed trade signals leave currencies rangebound; euro jolted by flash PMIs

Posted on November 22, 2019 at 9:20 am GMT

Conflicting trade signals by China and the United States confuse markets Loonie surges after BoC’s Poloz dampens rate cut expectations; retail sales eyed next Euro spikes higher, then falls on flash Eurozone PMIs Major pairs set to end week little changed Markets were overcome by trade news fatigue on Friday as days of conflicting messages on the state of the US-China talks left most investors none the wiser about whether a partial trade deal was still possible. The dollar index, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks slide as trade deal doubts grow; yen holds firm

Posted on November 21, 2019 at 9:37 am GMT

Fears grow that a ‘phase one’ trade deal between the United States and China might be delayed Row over Hong Kong adds to complications in talks as China plays down disagreement Stocks under pressure, yen and gold extend gains Oil eases on trade woes following surge from US inventories and Russia output pledge   Reports of a delay in ‘phase one’ deal keeps risk aversion elevated Markets maintained a cautious mood on Thursday as conflicting reports about where the US-China [..]

Technical Analysis – USDJPY consolidates at 50.0% Fibonacci, squeezed by Bollinger bands

Posted on November 21, 2019 at 9:25 am GMT

USDJPY is currently resting at the 108.43 level, which is the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement of the down leg from 112.39 to 104.45. The pair appears to be adopting a short-term sideways move, something also reflected by the mostly flat 100-day simple moving average (SMA), the convergence of the 200- and 40-day SMAs and the price squeeze by the Bollinger bands. The technical oscillators suggest that upside momentum has dried up. The MACD remains in the positive zone below its red [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen and gold creep higher on trade nerves; Fed minutes eyed

Posted on November 20, 2019 at 9:30 am GMT

Increased caution on US-China trade talks gives rise to safe-haven demand Hong Kong tensions cast cloud over trade progress as US Senate bill angers China Pound pressured after Johnson-Corbyn televised debate Mixed signals on trade talks put a lid on risk appetite Risk sentiment soured slightly on Wednesday as investors grew wary about the possibility of the United States and China striking a partial trade deal in the coming weeks. The renewed caution comes amid growing tensions between the two [..]

Fed minutes: Letting the economy run hot? – Forex News Preview

Posted on November 19, 2019 at 2:15 pm GMT

The next market-moving release for the dollar will be on Wednesday at 19:00 GMT, when the Fed releases the minutes of its latest meeting, where rates were cut again but the central bank signaled that it will pause its easing cycle. Back then, Chairman Powell hinted that the Fed may be willing to let the economy ‘run hot’, a confirmation of which in the upcoming minutes may hurt the dollar somewhat. That said, the currency’s broader outlook still seems positive. [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trump teases negative rates, spooks dollar

Posted on November 19, 2019 at 9:04 am GMT

Dollar drops as Trump meets Powell to discuss interest rates and FX US stocks shrug off negative trade headlines, claim new record highs Aussie pulls back after RBA minutes, but recovers Dollar retreats as Trump discusses negative rates with Powell Fed Chairman Jay Powell met with President Donald Trump on Monday to discuss the economy. The latter then tweeted out that the conversation centered around how high US interest rates are relative to other advanced economies, the prospect of negative [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets stay in a risk-on mood; pound climbs

Posted on November 18, 2019 at 9:30 am GMT

Stock markets climb, safe havens drop as trade optimism lingers Sterling pushes higher as Brexit Party stands down – focus remains on election polls Dollar ticks down after mixed retail sales, but broader picture still promising US stocks to open at yet another record high; yen retreats Risk appetite remained firm at the end of last week, with all three of the major US stock indices closing at new records, after a high-ranking White House official played up the prospect [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks storm to new highs on more trade euphoria

Posted on November 15, 2019 at 9:12 am GMT

US equities claim new highs on trade hopes, but the FX market is doubtful Dollar braces for retail sales figures today Trump could announce his decision on EU car tariffs any moment US stocks to open at new records as Kudlow hypes ‘phase one’ deal Another day, another record high for US equity markets. Futures point to a notably higher open on Wall Street today, the S&P 500 expected to gain 0.45%, after Larry Kudlow – one of Trump’s closest [..]

Daily Market Comment – Germany dodges a recession, but euro remains skeptical

Posted on November 14, 2019 at 9:32 am GMT

Technical recession avoided in Germany, but outlook for euro still bleak American stock markets hit new records, ignoring gloomy trade news Lots of Fed-speak today, starring Powell, Clarida, and Williams – the Fed’s ‘top 3’ Germany dodges a recession, but euro can’t catch a break Europe’s largest economy narrowly escaped a technical recession in Q3, with GDP growth clocking in at 0.1% in quarterly terms, overcoming the consensus for a negative 0.1% print. It appears that the recession in the [..]

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