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USDJPY

Week Ahead – Fed, ECB and BoJ meet ahead of GDP data; can central banks do any more?

Posted on April 24, 2020 at 12:31 pm GMT

It’s been a hectic couple of months for central banks around the world as most have held at least one unscheduled meeting as the virus crisis unfolded. Hence, next week’s regular gatherings by the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan may not bring anything new, as aside from the interim meetings, policymakers have been keeping the communications channels wide open and so the possibility of major surprises appears slim. Nevertheless, markets may need the soothing words [..]

Daily Market Comment – Drug disappointment burns stocks; Euro crumbles

Posted on April 24, 2020 at 8:34 am GMT

Equities turn red after would-be miracle drug Remdesivir fails clinical trial Euro dives as EU drags feet on recovery fund, disagrees on debt sharing Yen pares gains on reports BoJ will ramp up stimulus next week Oil extends bounce, but rebound likely fragile  Virus-drug disappointment bites stocks A rally in global stock markets faltered yesterday, with the S&P 500 giving up early gains to close practically flat and futures pointing to more pain on Wall Street today, following headlines that [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trump threatens war with Iran, lifts oil

Posted on April 23, 2020 at 8:33 am GMT

Trump turns up the aggression with Iran, oil likes it But unlikely that this is a sustainable rebound Euro suffers after terrifying PMIs, awaits EU leaders meeting Stocks recover, yet safe havens thrive too Oil prices recover as Trump rattles sabers with Iran All the troubles in the oil market were magically resolved by a single tweet from the US President yesterday, who said that he instructed the US Navy to destroy any Iranian gunboats harassing American ships at sea. [..]

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US jobless claims, Markit PMIs and durable goods may not spook dollar – Forex News Preview

Posted on April 22, 2020 at 3:41 pm GMT

The US agenda is featuring initial jobless claims (12:30 GMT) and preliminary Markit PMI figures (13:45 GMT) on Thursday followed by durable goods (12:30 GMT) on Friday. Expectations, though, are for a neutral reaction in the US dollar.  Despite the shocking expansion of Covid-19 in the US, the greenback continued to overperform against a basket of major currencies year-to-date, remaining above the 100 level although it could not steal demand from the Japanese yen due to the currency’s stronger safe-haven feature. The fact that [..]

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Technical Analysis – USDJPY’s compass unclear of direction

Posted on April 22, 2020 at 2:26 pm GMT

USDJPY appears to have lost directional momentum bound between the 109.37 and 106.91 marks. The pair is presently consolidating around the 107.68 level, that being the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the up leg from 101.17 to 111.71. Confirming the flattened tone in price is the horizontal 100- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) as well as the mostly even MACD and RSI. The even RSI is just below its 50 level, while the MACD is hovering slightly below zero and [..]

Daily Market Comment – Oil carnage spreads to stocks

Posted on April 22, 2020 at 8:29 am GMT

Oil price collapse continues, sending shivers through stock markets Trump signals bailouts for US producers, but paradoxically, that could worsen oil’s plunge Dollar pares gains after Trump’s bailout talk, pound softens on Brexit comments Euro in focus as investors flee Italian bonds before tomorrow’s EU summit Trump hints at bailouts as oil crumbles Energy markets can’t catch a break, with Brent following WTI lower this time to touch a low last seen during the Gulf war, as the devastation in [..]

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Technical Analysis – USDJPY consolidates below SMAs and Ichimoku cloud

Posted on April 21, 2020 at 12:46 pm GMT

USDJPY has been consolidating since March 27 and has been stuck in a channel tilting slightly to the downside. The neutral to bearish picture in the short-term looks to last for a while longer after price slipped below the simple moving averages (SMAs) earlier this month. Resistance was met at around the 109.20 region, forcing the pair to reverse lower. The negative bias in the near term is supported by the deterioration in the momentum indicators. The %K line of [..]

Daily Market Comment – Oil trades negative as storage space runs out

Posted on April 21, 2020 at 8:34 am GMT

WTI oil price goes negative as physical storage space runs out Loonie and other oil-sensitive currencies retreat But little impact in other assets – mild risk aversion only Yen and dollar gain on defensive flows, stocks turn red, kiwi drops Oil price turns negative as energy market craters For the first time ever, the price on a barrel of WTI crude oil fell to zero yesterday and then traded negative, falling as low as -$40.32/barrel in a move so unprecedented [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Oil plummets, but stocks hold their ground

Posted on April 20, 2020 at 8:56 am GMT

Loonie drops as WTI crude oil plummets to two-decade low Yet, rest of the market still calm – stocks near recent highs, yen and gold retreat Are stocks exaggerating the V-shaped recovery, or is there nothing else to buy? Demand fears devastate oil prices The energy market is back under immense pressure, with WTI crude falling below $15 per barrel today for the first time since 1999 as investors increasingly realize that there’s so much excess supply that storage space [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Virus drug hopes, Trump reopening plan fuel optimism; dollar holds firm

Posted on April 17, 2020 at 8:28 am GMT

Risk appetite returns on promising coronavirus drug and hope of shutdowns ending soon Stocks re-energized, gold dips but dollar resilient China reports first ever drop in GDP, but markets stay positive Trump wants to reopen economy, markets like it The mid-week souring in risk sentiment is seeing a turnaround as optimism for a way out of this virus crisis returns to the markets. After a series of data showing a collapse in key US economic indicators, ranging from retail sales [..]

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