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USDJPY

Daily Market Comment – US-China tensions simmer but markets still betting on recovery

Posted on May 15, 2020 at 8:55 am GMT

Trump threatens to “cut off” relationship with China as row over virus spread escalates But market fallout limited as hopes of recovery and more stimulus prevail Dollar headed for weekly gains, eyes US retail sales data Trump continues attack on China President Trump stepped up his fierce criticism of China as he continued to blame the country for failing to stop the spread of the coronavirus. Speaking to Fox Business Network on Thursday, Trump cast doubt on future trade links [..]

US retail sales could be the worst ever, but dollar may not react – Forex News Preview

Posted on May 14, 2020 at 9:11 am GMT

Millions of Americans have been applying for unemployment benefits the past two months as the business pressure stemming from the Covid-19 crisis had led to massive layoffs, increasing concerns about how deep consumption, which accounts for two thirds of the US economy, could crash at some point this year. US retail sales due on Friday at 12:30 GMT are expected to reinforce those worries, reflecting the steepest monthly decline in spending. However, the data may not necessarily expose the dollar [..]

Daily Market Comment – Powell warns of lasting virus damage, empowers dollar but sinks stocks

Posted on May 14, 2020 at 8:49 am GMT

Fed Chair Powell delivers bleak assessment of US economy but rules out negative rates Dollar stands tall as Wall Street takes a dive, pulling global stocks with it Pound and kiwi slip to multi-week lows, aussie and loonie also on the backfoot Powell’s dire warnings kill hope of speedy recovery Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s much anticipated speech took centre stage on Wednesday as the head of the world’s most powerful central bank delivered a detailed but grim view of the [..]

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With interest rates at zero, what will drive FX now? – Special Report

Posted on May 13, 2020 at 3:08 pm GMT

Interest rate differentials have traditionally driven the FX market, but now that every major central bank has slashed rates to zero, what will guide currencies? In a nutshell, it might be a blend of how high the risk of future shutdowns is, relative growth performance coming out of the crisis, global risk sentiment, and politics. The defensive yen seems attractive in this brave new world as it no longer suffers from a severe yield disadvantage, while the dollar’s role as [..]

Technical Analysis – USDJPY struggles in descending mode; 20-day SMA next support

Posted on May 13, 2020 at 7:04 am GMT

USDJPY is heading lower, flirting with the 20-day simple moving average while the price has been remaining in a downward sloping channel since April 6. The flat 200-day SMA and the horizontal RSI indicator are endorsing the weak momentum on price. However, the MACD oscillator is creating a bullish crossover with its trigger line, suggesting a potential upside tendency in the near term. More negative pressures would send the price to check the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the up [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed talks down negative rates, dollar likes it

Posted on May 12, 2020 at 8:26 am GMT

Dollar jumps as Fed officials downplay prospect of negative rates in the US Stocks slip as growing fears of second wave of infections weigh on sentiment Central banks in focus: more Fed speakers on the way, RBNZ decision awaited US yields rise as negative rate expectations fade The US dollar held onto its gains on Tuesday after surging yesterday on the back of rising Treasury yields. The yield on two- and five-year Treasury notes hit record lows on Friday as [..]

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Technical Analysis – USDJPY touches upper boundary of descending channel above 107.00

Posted on May 11, 2020 at 9:15 am GMT

USDJPY has reversed back up again, above 107.00, after finding support at the eight-week low of 105.95 achieved last week. The price is in the process of penetrating the downward sloping channel to the upside, shifting the bearish structure to neutral. The price is ready to touch the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 111.70 to 105.95 at 107.33 and the 107.50 resistance, remaining above the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs). Furthermore, the technical indicators are confirming this view with the RSI approaching [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar and stocks crawl higher but markets on alert amid virus spike

Posted on May 11, 2020 at 8:33 am GMT

Dollar gains versus yen, stocks edge up as lockdown easing spurs bets of economic rebound But fears of second virus wave keep risk appetite in check, gold ticks higher Doubts about Trump’s commitment to US-China trade deal adds to subdued tone Safe-haven yen takes a tumble as more economies reopen The US dollar appeared to lose some of its safe-haven allure on Monday as signs of economic life in many parts of the world shifted the focus to the improving [..]

Week Ahead – RBNZ may increase QE; Aussie, UK and US data to deepen that sinking feeling

Posted on May 8, 2020 at 9:48 am GMT

There can be no hiding from the awful economic data that is now pouring in from all angles as we move well into the second quarter. Australian jobs, UK Q1 GDP, and US retail sales and inflation numbers will be the next key releases to showcase the virus turmoil. But amid growing optimism about the pandemic easing, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will likely err on the side of caution at its policy meeting, posing a downside risk for [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks soar ahead of worst NFP ever on bets Fed will go negative

Posted on May 8, 2020 at 8:04 am GMT

US nonfarm payrolls today will be a horror show, but will markets care? Stocks set for more gains on trade news and bets Fed will cut to negative Dollar and yen retreat amid risk-on mood, but losses limited Commodity currencies climb, loonie eyes its own jobs report Worst nonfarm payrolls ever, by far The disconnect between sanguine financial markets and an imploding real economy grows larger by the day, as bets for more and more stimulus are leading Wall Street [..]

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