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USDJPY

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Japan to escape GDP crash in Q2 but virus spike clouds outlook – Forex News Preview

Posted on August 14, 2020 at 12:21 pm GMT

Japan looks set to enjoy a rare feat of being at the top of the G10 growth league in the second quarter when it reports its GDP estimate on Monday (Sunday, 23:50 GMT). But the achievement will hardly be celebratory as Japan had already entered recession in Q1. Moreover, despite having initial success in containing the coronavirus outbreak, the country is now facing a second wave of infections that dwarfs the first one. Nonetheless, the data is not expected to [..]

Week Ahead – Vaccine hopes torment yen, all eyes on Congress

Posted on August 14, 2020 at 11:47 am GMT

It’s a relatively quiet week, with the main highlights being the Eurozone’s PMIs and the latest FOMC minutes. In the political arena, American and Chinese negotiators will meet over the weekend to review the ‘phase one’ trade deal. For markets though, the most crucial drivers will be whether US lawmakers can break the deadlock in the stimulus negotiations, and whether enthusiasm around a vaccine will keep pushing global yields higher, crushing the yen. Will markets have to scream first, before [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar slips as no stimulus deal in sight yet; Gold pares losses

Posted on August 13, 2020 at 8:34 am GMT

US Treasury yields fall back as Washington no closer to reaching stimulus deal Dollar retreats, helping gold recover some losses; stocks subdued US data, China trade talks on markets’ radar for the next few days Talks on virus relief bill stumble again The Trump administration and Democrats appear no closer to finding a compromise deal on a new virus relief package as the latest efforts to kick start the negotiations prove fruitless. Talks between the two sides have been at [..]

Daily Market Comment – Vaccine fever shakes markets, RBNZ shoots kiwi down

Posted on August 12, 2020 at 8:13 am GMT

Vaccine news catapult global yields higher, push stocks lower Gold falls without a parachute – has it peaked? Dollar inches higher amidst the turbulence, but Fed speakers are a risk RBNZ expands QE and opens door to negative rates, kiwi stumbles   Putin says Russia has developed the first vaccine President Vladimir Putin unleashed mayhem in financial markets on Tuesday, after he announced to the world that Russia has developed the first successful coronavirus vaccine. Global bond yields erupted higher [..]

Technical Analysis – USDJPY next upside target at 107.70; short-term bias bullish

Posted on August 12, 2020 at 7:24 am GMT

USDJPY gained stronger positive traction this week, gearing above the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) on Tuesday to close successfully above the 106.00 level, which was a struggle last week. The price is currently facing the 50% Fibonacci of the 112.21-101.17 downleg at 106.70 and the 50-day SMA, a break of which is required to boost momentum towards the 107.52- 108.00 resistance zone. The positive slope in the RSI, which has crossed above its 50-neutral mark, and the rebound in [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks flirt with record highs, gold retraces

Posted on August 11, 2020 at 8:21 am GMT

S&P 500 cruises towards all-time high as Trump floats capital gains tax cut Markets also take heart from ‘soft’ Chinese retaliation against US Gold pulls back as dollar and bond yields recover RBNZ meets overnight, might ‘talk down’ the kiwi more forcefully Wall Street sets its sights on new records Financial markets seem to have concluded that better days lie ahead for the global economy, with most asset classes trading in a buoyant manner this week. The S&P 500 is [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar gets a second wind after US payrolls, can it last?

Posted on August 10, 2020 at 8:01 am GMT

Decent US jobs report triggers a short squeeze in the dollar Is the reversing trend in European/American virus cases going to show up in euro/dollar? Trump signs executive orders to bypass Congress and provide more stimulus Muted market reaction to this – does it imply less stimulus overall? Dollar shorts get squeezed after payrolls The world’s reserve currency got a second wind on Friday, recovering some lost ground after a decent US employment report saw traders cover or trim some [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trump fans the geopolitical flames ahead of NFP

Posted on August 7, 2020 at 8:10 am GMT

Nonfarm payrolls to set the tone for markets, along with stimulus negotiations Trump fires another salvo at Beijing, bans transactions with Tencent, moves to delist Chinese firms Geopolitical worries keep dollar alive, Wall Street set to snap 5-day winning streak Nonfarm payrolls: A most uncertain one The main event today will be the US employment report for July. The consensus is for the US economy to have added another 1.6 million jobs, pushing the unemployment rate down to 10.5%, from [..]

Daily Market Comment – Bank of England lifts sterling; dollar battered but still standing

Posted on August 6, 2020 at 8:25 am GMT

Sterling jumps after BoE seems reluctant towards negative rates, upgrades forecasts Stocks climb, dollar resumes downfall as markets keep betting Congress will deliver Dollar testing a crucial support area again – tomorrow’s NFP may be pivotal Otherwise, the spotlight remains on whether Congress will reach a deal soon BoE strikes a more cheerful tone, pound listens The Bank of England (BoE) unanimously voted to keep its policy unchanged today and struck a fairly optimistic tone. Even though it acknowledged the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar comeback falters as yields sink, gold sparkles

Posted on August 5, 2020 at 8:39 am GMT

Greenback attempts comeback, but fails as bond yields plummet Gold salutes crumbling dollar and yields, hits new record above $2000 Stocks crawl higher as stimulus negotiations ‘move in the right direction’ Overall, bond market is saying something’s wrong, but stocks don’t mind Falling bond yields stop dollar rebound in its tracks Those hoping for a summer lull in financial markets come August have likely been left disappointed, as there has been absolutely no shortage of volatility so far this week. [..]

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