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USDCAD

Daily Market Comment – Equities and dollar cool after ISM data, showtime for BoE

Posted on May 6, 2021 at 8:30 am GMT

· Euro/dollar trapped near $1.20 region, stocks drift after ISM survey · Huge day ahead for British pound, with BoE meeting and local elections · Markets quiet overall as investors mark time until nonfarm payrolls Searching for a narrative Global markets continue to trade without a concrete theme. The economic crisis is slowly fading into the rear-view mirror as the phenomenal government spending impulse meets successful vaccination programs, and central banks remain committed to keeping the financial system flush with [..]

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Weekly Comment – After dovish Fed, NFP unlikely to boost sagging dollar

Posted on April 30, 2021 at 2:10 pm GMT

The US dollar recouped some losses at the end of the week but couldn’t hide the bruises endured in April as the Fed dashed any remaining expectation that it will respond to any spike in inflation. The focus next week will be on the NFP numbers. But don’t expect the dollar to get excited.   Next week’s highlights:   The RBA meets on Tuesday and will update its view on the economy. Australia’s recovery remains strong but subdued inflation and [..]

Week Ahead – RBA to stand pat but BoE might taper; Can a bumper NFP excite after dovish Fed?

Posted on April 30, 2021 at 12:24 pm GMT

The central bank theme will continue over the next seven days with policy meetings by the Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of England. The RBA will probably maintain some caution after weak inflation figures but there is some speculation the BoE could start to taper its asset purchases as early as the May meeting. On the data front, the nonfarm payrolls report is due out of the United States. However, after the Fed once again dismissed talk of an [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar set for big monthly losses, stocks struggle for direction again

Posted on April 30, 2021 at 8:56 am GMT

Dollar steadier but month-long rout probably not over yet, yen firmer too S&P 500 closes at another record high but stocks slip today amid some jitters Copper soars past $10,000 a tonne, oil moderates after boost from upbeat US GDP Don’t fight the dovish Fed The US dollar is on track for its worst 4-week run since last July and looks set to end the month with losses of at least 2.5%. An uptick in the growth outlook for some [..]

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Technical Analysis – USDCAD plunges as descending channel highlights bearish bias

Posted on April 30, 2021 at 8:26 am GMT

USDCAD has navigated to a 37½-month low; however, the pair’s negative momentum seems to be losing pace, respecting the support zone existing between the barriers of 1.2255 and 1.2195. Nonetheless, the gliding simple moving averages (SMAs) are affirming the negative trajectory, and together with the Ichimoku cloud continue to counter price improvements, confining the pair to the vicinity of the bearish channel. The Ichimoku lines and the short-term oscillators are slightly skewed to the downside. That said, price’s negative momentum [..]

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US Open Note –Stocks strong around highs, yields receive boost, dollar on back foot

Posted on April 29, 2021 at 1:44 pm GMT

Stocks optimistic as yields rise, risk remains somewhat subdued, GDP data key Stocks maintain an upbeat tone with the S&P 500 index winning the race, currently at the 4,214 level. The dollar index has surrendered its latest gains to today’s high of 90.67, pulling slightly lower to 90.53. The stumble in the greenback has strengthened the euro to $1.2133 assisted by a slur of positive Eurozone data, which is outperforming the relatively subdued sterling at $1.3944. The Fed has somewhat [..]

Daily Market Comment – Powell sinks dollar but can’t keep yields down for long

Posted on April 29, 2021 at 9:19 am GMT

US dollar and yields tumble after Powell says not the time to talk about taper But yields bounce back ahead of expected surge in Q1 GDP data, weigh on equities Blowout tech earnings finally inject some life into Wall Street, futures up Powell as dovish as ever The Federal Reserve struck a more positive tone on the US economy on Wednesday as it kept monetary policy unchanged as widely expected. Policymakers acknowledged the progress on vaccinations and greater flow of [..]

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US Open Note – Fed decision in spotlight; dollar rises near 109 yen

Posted on April 28, 2021 at 1:11 pm GMT

FOMC meeting in focus; dollar heads higher The major highlight of the day is the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement at 18:00 GMT. Policymakers will likely recognize the fast economic recovery from the pandemic as the progressing vaccination program brightens the outlook for the economy.  Despite that, the central bank is expected to keep interest rates steady within the target range of 0-0.25% and its monthly bond purchases stable at $120 billion. Following the Bank of Canada’s bond tapering announcement, investors will be eaerly waiting to hear whether the Fed is also planning [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yields jump ahead of Fed decision; Biden also in the spotlight

Posted on April 28, 2021 at 9:11 am GMT

Treasury yields creep up again on rising inflation expectations but Fed to stay the course Biden to seek Congressional support for big spending in joint address Dollar recoups further lost ground but dovish Powell could torpedo it Equities modestly higher as soaring earnings fail to set Wall Street alight Fed meets amid fresh warning signs in bond markets Treasury yields headed higher and the US dollar recovered further from multi-week lows ahead of what may not turn out to be [..]

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US Open Note – Market in calm tone ahead of earnings and FOMC

Posted on April 27, 2021 at 12:57 pm GMT

Dollar and euro tick up The greenback is regaining some ground versus the Japanese yen, holding around 108.40 ahead of the Federal Reserve policy decision tomorrow, no changes are expected in policy settings. The dollar index is still moving with weak momentum near 91.00 and below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Jerome Powell will give hints on whether improving economic conditions justify a tapering of monetary easing. Euro/dollar is flattening, remaining below the two-month high at 1.2116 and pound/dollar is surpassing the 1.3900 number. In commodity [..]

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