FX Daily Outlook| 01-09-16
Posted on September 1, 2016 at 9:14 am GMT[..]
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USDCAD maintains the bullish bias in the short term after bouncing from 1.2762 on August 18. Prices rose to a high of 1.3144 on Wednesday but have found resistance in this area.The market is also currently at an important psychological level at 1.3100, which is just below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (1.3112) of the upleg from 1.2653 to 1.3252. (June 8 – July 27 rise). These levels act as barriers to the upside. The market’s upside momentum was quite [..]
USDCAD was on a sharp downward trajectory since early August, falling from above $1.31 down to 1.2762 on Thursday. There was a reversal this morning but there are no clear signals yet if this move up can be sustained. The overall picture is quite bearish and RSI is below 50 in bearish territory. Also, the market is below the 200-day moving average (this support the bearish view). USDCAD was on the rise from the June low of 1.2653 to the [..]
USDCAD remains bullish in the short term but upside pressure has weakened. The recent rally from the 1.27 area was curbed at 1.3241. Momentum has not turned negative yet and RSI is still in bullish territory above 50, while MACD is above zero. There is scope for prices to rise towards the 200-day moving average at 1.3307. This would be seen a strong resistance area though. Downside moves should find support in the 1.30 area and at the 50-day moving [..]
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USDCAD extended losses for a fourth day on Wednesday, further retracing the upleg from 1.2460 to 1.3187. The market is now testing the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.2738. This is an important support level which if broken to the downside, would accelerate a further decline towards the key 1.2600 level. RSI is trending down and is in bearish territory below 50, suggesting there is risk of further downside. If the pair continues on its downside below 1.2600, there is [..]
USDCAD rose to a fresh 7-week high early on Tuesday at 1.3176. RSI is trending upwards and has not entered overbought territory yet, so there is room for further upside. The market is close to the April 4 high of 1.3217. If it is surpassed, there is scope to target 1.3310, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the downleg from 1.4689-1.2460. From here, the aim will be the 200-day moving average at 1.3355. Alternatively, if the market reverses [..]
USDCAD continues to fall in a descending channel. The outlook remains bearish especially after prices fell below a key level on Monday, breaking below 1.3000 and $1.2900 to reach $1.2884. A daily close below $1.2900 could see a continuation of the bearish trend that started from the multi-year peak of 1.4689 in January (the highest in more than 12 years). RSI is below 50 in bearish territory, supporting the downside momentum. The 50-day moving average is falling sharply and approaching [..]
USDCAD has been declining ever since hitting 1.4689 in January – a more-than 12-year high. After failing to break above the key 1.4700 level, prices consequently fell to reach the 50% Fibonacci level of the upleg from 1.2831 to 1.4689 (October 2015 to January 2016 rise). Prices are now testing this level at 1.3760. Immediate support is being provided by the 100-day moving average around 1.3673. If the market makes a sustained advance higher above the 50-day moving average then [..]
USDCAD moved another leg higher after breaching the key level of 1.4000 last week. On Monday the pair hit a new 11-year high of 1.4187. The technical indicators on the daily chart are bullish, with positively aligned tenkan and kijun lines and a rising Ichimoku cloud. Also the market is above the 200-day moving average. The RSI is in bullish territory but it has reached overbought levels above 70 which suggests there could be some consolidation in the near term. [..]
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