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Daily Market Comment – Nasdaq rips higher ahead of Fed decision, dollar in agony

Posted on June 10, 2020 at 8:06 am GMT

No action expected from Fed today, but signals will determine whether the ‘risk party’ can keep going Dollar extends losses ahead of rate decision, Nasdaq hits new record high Sinking greenback raises all other boats – euro, pound, franc, and commodity currencies near highs We’ll also hear from key ECB and BoE officials, and the EU’s top Brexit negotiator Markets take a breather ahead of the Fed Risk appetite cooled a little on Tuesday in a move that generally looked [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks back in the black, dollar selling takes a breather

Posted on June 9, 2020 at 8:22 am GMT

S&P 500 recoups all its losses for the year, Nasdaq hits new record Optimism echoed in FX too, with dollar struggling as commodity currencies hit multi-month highs However, we are seeing a reversal of these moves today – some profit taking? Looking ahead, much will depend on what the Fed does and whether a second wave hits the US S&P turns flat for 2020, Nasdaq cruises to new highs Fear has given way to greed in an impressive way over [..]

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Technical Analysis – US 500 index maintains weak momentum; broader picture is bullish

Posted on June 1, 2020 at 12:46 pm GMT

The US 500 (cash) index is looking more neutral as prices have climbed towards the 12-week high of 3,069, remaining above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 2,765 to 3,069 at 2,998 and the 50-period simple moving average (SMA). The technical indicators seem to be in contrast as the MACD is moving below the trigger line in the positive zone, while the RSI, standing above 50 level, is pointing upwards. In case of an upside move, [..]

Have stocks ‘gotten over’ the virus? – Special Report

Posted on May 27, 2020 at 3:53 pm GMT

There’s been a lot of talk for a powerful V-shaped recovery, but that has only happened in the stock market, which is ignoring the rising economic and geopolitical risks and is instead plowing higher, powered by a tsunami of stimulus. Alas, at current levels equities imply a ‘painless’ recession, which is probably much too rosy. Overall, so much optimism has been priced back in, that it would almost take a miracle for reality to match the stellar expectations. There is [..]

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Technical Analysis – US 500 finds roof at 11-week high; holds above SMAs

Posted on May 25, 2020 at 9:35 am GMT

The US 500 index (Cash) has finally reversed to the upside last Friday after flirting with the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) around 2,906. The upward pattern started at the end of March, but the market needs to beat the immediate resistance at 2,980 for more significant increases. Above that the market could meet the 3,140 – 3,205 resistance, taken from the high on March 3 and the inside swing low from January 31. The momentum indicators in the four-hour chart though [..]

Daily Market Comment – Hong Kong leads global markets lower as tensions spike

Posted on May 22, 2020 at 8:34 am GMT

Risk aversion deepens as China announces new security laws in Hong Kong Dollar and yen edge higher, global stocks sell off on fears of US retaliation Range breakouts rejected across multiple charts – S&P 500, euro, aussie, loonie Hong Kong sparks worries of new chapter in US-China tensions Global risk appetite crumbled on Friday, after China announced plans to establish an ‘enforcement mechanism’ for ‘safeguarding national security’ in Hong Kong. The news came hot on the heels of legislation to [..]

Daily Market Comment – Nasdaq charges higher, pound feels heat of negative rates

Posted on May 21, 2020 at 8:23 am GMT

Stocks defy economic gravity; Nasdaq closes in on record highs But markets more cautious Thursday, after Trump’s twitter storm vs China Pound rebound falters as BoE Governor doesn’t rule out negative rates Dollar finds its footing ahead of speeches by Fed’s top echelon Nasdaq approaches all-time high, but futures retreat Close your eyes and you wouldn’t know we are in the middle of a deep recession. At least not by looking at the Nasdaq 100 (+2%), which closed less than [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks trapped in ‘no man’s land’, but yen slides

Posted on May 20, 2020 at 8:32 am GMT

Equities pull back as vaccine doubts set in, still stuck in a range Yet broader FX market in a ‘risk on’ mood, yen bruised by BoJ news Bank of England speakers in focus today ahead of Fed minutes Markets look for another catalyst as vaccine rally falters The vaccine-powered euphoria that propelled stocks higher at the start of the week gave way to skepticism on Tuesday, as reports blasted the lack of data in Moderna’s vaccine study, stressing that the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Vaccine hopes power markets higher, can Powell add more fuel?

Posted on May 19, 2020 at 8:28 am GMT

Vaccine headlines, Fed stimulus bets, and EU recovery package propel stocks higher Yen, dollar, and franc suffer as euro and commodity currencies cheer Fed chief testifies before US Senate today (14:00 GMT), can he keep the ‘party’ going? Perfect storm for stocks Risk appetite returned with a vengeance to global markets on Monday, with the S&P 500 (+3.15%) having its best day in weeks amid a perfect storm of news around a virus vaccine, more Fed stimulus, and a European [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks and gold climb as Fed hopes overpower trade fears

Posted on May 18, 2020 at 8:34 am GMT

US equities set to open higher, gold soars after Fed chief’s ‘whatever it takes’ moment But escalating US-China tensions & second wave fears lurking in the background Pound sinks as investors brace for Brexit talks to fall apart Powell turbocharges gold, lifts stocks Global markets are in a good mood on Monday, with commodity currencies recovering and Wall Street set for a ~1.5% higher open, following a ‘whatever it takes’ moment from Fed Chairman Powell. In remarks published over the [..]

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