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Daily Market Comment – Dollar back under fire as risk appetite ramps up

Posted on September 15, 2020 at 8:12 am GMT

Equity markets stay green as Chinese data keep the positive mood going Dollar back on the chopping block, other currencies rejoice Sterling barely reacts to Parliament vote, but lots of drama ahead Is the correction over already? Global markets continue to dance to a risk-on beat, with US stock indices riding the vaccine hype train higher and the defensive dollar staying under fire. The positive mood was reinforced by the latest batch of data out of China overnight, which showed [..]

Daily Market Comment – Another dose of vaccine optimism calms market nerves

Posted on September 14, 2020 at 8:35 am GMT

Positive vaccine headlines bolster global risk sentiment Suga set to become Japan’s new leader – general election imminent? Sterling recovers amid calmer market tones, looks to Parliament Vaccine news breathes life back into stocks, dollar sleepy Wall Street hit a rough patch last week, as investors finally paused to assess the utopian valuations in the tech sector. Vanishing hopes for a new relief package out of Washington D.C. and news that some coronavirus vaccines might be delayed because of safety [..]

Week Ahead – Fed, BoE, and BoJ decisions eyed as Japan picks new leader

Posted on September 11, 2020 at 11:42 am GMT

It’s an action-packed week, with three major central bank meetings, the election over who will become Japan’s next leader, and an overload of key economic data. The Fed decision will be crucial. Will the central bank reinforce its new inflation regime by signaling imminent stimulus, or will it sit back until the US election has passed? Neither the Bank of England nor the Bank of Japan is likely to act. Instead, those currencies may be driven mostly by how the [..]

US elections: A simple guide and market implications – Special Report

Posted on September 4, 2020 at 11:50 am GMT

The 3rd of November is the day that American citizens will decide who will lead their country for the next four years. Opinion polls suggest Biden will win, but Trump is quickly closing that polling gap in key battleground states and betting markets imply that the race is too close to call. In this piece, we examine how the complex US voting system works, what makes it different from other countries, and how markets might react ahead and after the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street rediscovers gravity ahead of US jobs report

Posted on September 4, 2020 at 8:06 am GMT

Stock markets tank as investors dump their tech darlings Yet, there is no sense of panic in the market, especially among currencies US jobs report today might decide if this correction still has some mileage in it Risk aversion makes a rare appearance After cruising higher without any significant corrections for three months now, the US equity market finally suffered a meaningful setback on Thursday. The S&P 500 lost 3.5% and the Nasdaq was down 5% as investors dumped tech [..]

Daily Market Comment – ECB fires another salvo at the euro

Posted on September 3, 2020 at 8:19 am GMT

Euro/dollar extends correction lower after ECB officials raise the FX alarm Wall Street goes on a rampage as US government hypes a vaccine breakthrough Today: ISM non-manufacturing PMI, jobless claims, and central bank speakers ECB: The dollar’s unlikely hero The world’s most traded currency pair continues to drift lower, after the European Central Bank fired another verbal barrage to shoot the high-flying euro down. The latest media reports suggest “several” ECB officials are concerned that if the euro continues to [..]

Daily Market Comment – Manufacturing data revive dollar, ECB wary of euro

Posted on September 2, 2020 at 8:14 am GMT

Encouraging ISM data bring dollar back to life, Wall Street sets new records Europe enters deflation, ECB chief economist throws first jab at the euro Today: ADP jobs report and lots of central bank speakers    US manufacturing data give dollar the kiss of life A strong batch of US manufacturing numbers resurrected the dollar from the ranks of the dead and propelled Wall Street to another record high yesterday. The ISM manufacturing index jumped to its highest level in [..]

Daily Market Comment – Sinking dollar lifts all FX boats

Posted on September 1, 2020 at 8:16 am GMT

Dollar breaks down across multiple charts, without a clear trigger Other major currencies climb alongside gold, Nasdaq hits new records Today: European inflation, US manufacturing, and Fed’s Brainard Dollar: The pain train rolls on There is no shortage of volatility in the FX arena. The world’s reserve currency continues to break down, in fear that the Fed’s new regime shift may succeed in driving inflation higher and diminish the greenback’s future purchasing power. The dollar index sank to a fresh [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed’s paradigm shift ripples through markets

Posted on August 31, 2020 at 8:39 am GMT

Dollar steadies after Powell’s torpedo, support regions hold on most charts Equities sail higher as investors look for a hedge against future inflation Coming up: speech by Fed Vice Chairman and RBA policy decision Dollar hit on all sides, but still standing The implications of the Fed’s latest paradigm shift continue to reverberate through global markets. Investors seem to have taken the signal that inflation will be allowed to ‘run hot’ as credible, judging by the spike higher in market-based [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar gets a second wind after bleak Eurozone PMIs

Posted on August 21, 2020 at 8:15 am GMT

Vaccine news from Pfizer boost sentiment, more records for Nasdaq Dollar can’t find much love amid risk-taking mood But how long can the market ignore Europe’s second wave? Perhaps not long, as the Eurozone’s PMIs provide a reality check Dollar feels the ‘risk on’ blues There’s no love for the US dollar out there. The reserve currency remained on the back foot on Thursday, surrendering some of the gains it posted after the FOMC minutes played down the prospect of [..]

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