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US Open Note – Dollar fizzles despite tapering hints; European stocks at fresh record highs

Posted on August 3, 2021 at 1:08 pm GMT

Delta fears  The rest of the day will be quiet in terms of data releases but there are enough things happening globally to keep investors busy in the next sessions. The delta outbreak has stretched to China, which has been out of the Covid headlines for a while, forcing authorities to halt flights and other public transports towards Beijing. With the second biggest economy of the world teaming up with other Asian economies to fight against the troubling new Covid [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yield meltdown boosts yen, RBA holds the line

Posted on August 3, 2021 at 8:29 am GMT

Yen shines, stock markets erase gains as bond yields slide  Fed Governor Waller opens door for September tapering RBA sticks to tightening plan despite lockdowns, aussie jumps Bond market nerves lift yen The sense of nervousness that haunted the bond market in recent months has returned, putting investors across every asset class on red alert. Yields on government bonds continue to melt down, indicating spectacular demand for safe assets even despite their negative real returns.  The question is whether the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar stabilizes, stocks recover ahead of busy week

Posted on August 2, 2021 at 8:03 am GMT

Dollar trades quietly as traders brace for nonfarm payrolls week Wall Street powers higher, oil takes a hit after soft Chinese PMI ISM manufacturing index and RBA rate decision coming up  Dollar stabilizes as Fed aftershocks fade The world’s reserve currency took a hit last week after the Fed chief reassured investors that rate increases were still far away and that the labor market still hasn’t recovered properly. Markets interpreted Powell’s patient tone as diminishing the chances for a tapering [..]

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US Open Note – Stock indices to claim monthly gains despite jitters; dollar on the backfoot

Posted on July 30, 2021 at 1:18 pm GMT

Stock indices head for a monthly gain The month of July started with the impression that plans of monetary tightening could get more into fashion, adding a solid footing under currencies, while the earnings season could further brighten the outlook for stocks despite the inflaming virus numbers. Although the above backdrop has not entirely faded yet, the last week of the month found investors having second thoughts about how soon the Fed would wrap up its bond tapering plans as [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks to close the week unharmed as the focus turns to the Fed

Posted on July 23, 2021 at 1:16 pm GMT

Stocks flirt with record highs Despite a choppy week, which spurred pandemic fears before putting them back to rest again, global stocks bound up their wounds as investors cheered on robust corporate profits and assessed that fiscal and monetary policy could still protect economies from covid breakouts. Industrials, basic materials, and consumer cyclicals drove gains in the pan-European STOXX 600 today, pushing the index closer to its recent record highs, while upbeat earnings in telecommunications and autos underpinned sectoral advances. Wall [..]

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Weekly Comment – Fed meeting and a barrage of data coming up

Posted on July 23, 2021 at 11:42 am GMT

The week started with investors losing their cool over a slowdown in global growth as the Delta variant continued to rampage, but the panic soon faded and stock markets returned to record highs. Meanwhile, the EUR took some fire after the ECB locked itself into negative rates for longer. The coming week will be action-packed too, featuring a Fed meeting, earnings from the biggest tech firms, and a ton of crucial data.  The highlights: The main event will be the [..]

Daily Market Comment – ECB to commit to negative rates

Posted on July 22, 2021 at 8:43 am GMT

ECB meets, likely to lock itself into cheap money for longer  Wall Street approaches record highs again as Delta scare fades Dollar pulls back, commodity FX recovers, gold can’t catch a break ECB to strengthen forward guidance The main event today will be the European Central Bank meeting, which should be interesting after President Lagarde promised to deliver new policy signals. The central bank recently raised its inflation target and it wants to demonstrate that it is serious about hitting [..]

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street bounces back, dollar powers higher

Posted on July 21, 2021 at 8:37 am GMT

Stock markets claw back losses as dip buyers return Dollar cruises higher with a little help from recovering yields But commodity currencies remain under pressure Dip buyers win again Wall Street staged a fierce comeback on Tuesday, without any particular catalyst behind this impressive recovery. Markets have been grappling with virus concerns lately, the fear being that new variants might be an endless phenomenon that doesn’t allow the world economy and especially developing economies to go back to normal.  Nothing [..]

Daily Market Comment – Economic growth worries torment stocks and oil

Posted on July 20, 2021 at 8:45 am GMT

Economic slowdown concerns hit stocks, oil gets demolished  Commodity currencies struggle too, dollar and yen shine  But the panic could fade soon, as stimulus hopes return Pandemic blues hit markets Worries that the rampaging Delta variant will hamstring the global recovery took a bite out of riskier assets on Monday. Markets seem to be coming to the realization that the vaccines won’t be enough to completely obliterate the virus, as the mutations keep getting more resilient.  Many governments are also [..]

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US Open Note – Pandemic anxiety spurs risk aversion; Wall street futures in the red

Posted on July 19, 2021 at 1:02 pm GMT

Pandemic uncertainty resurfaces The cocktail of a contagious Covid delta variant and the stabilization in vaccinations revived memories of lockdown restrictions and amplified inflation fears at a time when investors were confident that the summer months could boost economic growth, especially in the hardest-hit tourism sector. The major concern is how the pandemic will evolve when the flu activity resurfaces in the last quarter of the year and whether governments will reimpose strict curbs or let herd immunity do its [..]

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