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US500

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Technical Analysis – US 500 index edges sideways; uptrend still intact

Posted on April 28, 2021 at 6:15 am GMT

The US 500 stock index (Cash) is consolidating just beneath its fresh all-time high of 4,198 by sustaining some footing off the mid-Bollinger band around 4,173. Positive momentum is present after sellers failed on two occasions to overturn the bullish bias by steering beneath the 50-period simple moving average (SMA). However, currently, the necessary impetus to steer the index higher is frail. The bullish SMAs are defending the ascent, while the short-term oscillators are conveying mixed signals in directional momentum. [..]

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US Open Note – Market in calm tone ahead of earnings and FOMC

Posted on April 27, 2021 at 12:57 pm GMT

Dollar and euro tick up The greenback is regaining some ground versus the Japanese yen, holding around 108.40 ahead of the Federal Reserve policy decision tomorrow, no changes are expected in policy settings. The dollar index is still moving with weak momentum near 91.00 and below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Jerome Powell will give hints on whether improving economic conditions justify a tapering of monetary easing. Euro/dollar is flattening, remaining below the two-month high at 1.2116 and pound/dollar is surpassing the 1.3900 number. In commodity [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar pares losses, stocks muted in wait for Fed, earnings

Posted on April 27, 2021 at 9:10 am GMT

Firmer Treasury yields help dollar steady as traders look to Fed for the next cue US consumer confidence data, Treasury auction eyed as inflation worries persist Another record on Wall Street as earnings season heats up but overall mood subdued Dollar attempts rebound as Fed outcome awaited The US dollar was still licking its wounds on Tuesday as it clawed higher in lacklustre trading ahead of the FOMC decision on Wednesday. Although nothing new is anticipated by the Fed tomorrow [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar rebounds off new lows ahead of busy week

Posted on April 26, 2021 at 1:18 pm GMT

Dollar remains under pressure; big earnings are coming up The key event of the week is the FOMC meeting on Wednesday and a packed earnings schedule, starting with Tesla after the US market close. As US yields are still depressed, the US dollar index is drifting below the 91.00 crucial level, while dollar/yen is moving horizontally around the 108.00 round number after the pullback off the 13-month peak of 110.95. If there is a turnaround in US yields then there is an expectation of the dollar to regain some ground. US Durable [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar slump deepens, stocks quiet ahead of big earnings

Posted on April 26, 2021 at 8:51 am GMT

Dollar rout continues as Fed expected to repeat dovish message Euro capitalizes, climbs to 2-month top on renewed European optimism Stocks lack direction, await key earnings and barrage of US data releases Dollar stuck in the doldrums but yields firmer eyeing Fed It’s Fed week but the dollar can’t catch a break as the US currency extended its slide on Monday against its major peers amid a combination of a dovish Fed rate outlook and rising optimism in other parts [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks in the red, dollar barely heals, oil surrenders gains

Posted on April 20, 2021 at 1:31 pm GMT

Dollar nudges a tad higher with rising yields, major forex pairs capitalise Major stock markets eased off their recent highs while the dollar index managed to gather some footing around 90.82, prodding just above the 91.00 mark. The recovery narrative, with stimulus in the pipeline and rising yields – 10-year Treasuries advanced to 1.62% – seems to be very much alive, even though the Fed’s insistence that it won’t raise rates prematurely has cooled the dollar lately. Markets’ subdued demeanour [..]

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Technical Analysis – US 500 index ready to elevate all-time high

Posted on April 19, 2021 at 2:48 pm GMT

The US 500 stock index (Cash) is sustaining its bullish tone above the rising Ichimoku lines, which are nourishing the price’s attempts to steer higher. Additionally, the advancing simple moving averages (SMAs) are shielding the positive structure. The short-term oscillators are reflecting the resilience of the index to survive attempts to retrace to a certain degree. The MACD is keeping above its red trigger line in the positive region, while the RSI is sustaining its recent nudge into the overbought [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar remains under pressure; euro hits wall at $1.20

Posted on April 16, 2021 at 12:49 pm GMT

Quieter end to the week; Morgan Stanley releases earnings A calmer session in the forex and stock markets is on the cards today. The US dollar index is struggling around the 91.60 level and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), which is acting as a crucial level. Dollar/yen rebounded off the 40-day SMA and the 108.40 support, pointing marginally up today. The futures of the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones were pointing to a slightly positive open again after a new record high on Thursday. [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yields plunge, defy logic, after blowout data, but dollar steadies

Posted on April 16, 2021 at 9:06 am GMT

US economy firing on all cylinders as data keeps getting better But Treasury yields in surprise fall; dollar off lows as gold jumps to 7-week high Wall Street hits another record on upbeat earnings US recovery gathers steam but Treasuries in puzzling move The US economic outlook continued to brighten after retail sales surged almost 10% in March and jobless claims declined to a new post-pandemic low last week. The stellar data indicate America’s recovery is racing ahead of its [..]

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US Open Note – US retail sales surprises but dollar remains firm

Posted on April 15, 2021 at 1:11 pm GMT

US retail sales’ number stronger than expected The spotlight of the day is the US retail sales of March, which surprisingly increased to 9.8% m/m, surpassing the predictions of 5.9%, versus a contraction of 3% in February. The retail sales control group advanced to 6.9% from -3.4% before. Initial jobless claims came out too – filings for unemployment benefits – declining to 576k in the week ending April 10 from 769k before, the lowest level since the start of the coronavirus crisis in March 2020. The greenback [..]

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