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US Open Note – Stocks wane and dollar improves

Posted on September 16, 2021 at 2:16 pm GMT

US retail sales, jobless claims and Canadian ADP Non-Farm labour data take centre stage US major indices are slightly lower as the greenback continues its comeback. It seems consumption endured even as job growth remained burdened last month with August headline retail sales rising to 0.7%, beating July’s -1.8% figure and expectations of -0.8% m/m, while the core data soared to 1.8%, overshooting the -0.1% m/m estimation. Furthermore, the Philly Fed Manufacturing index came in at 30.7, eclipsing August’s and [..]

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US Open Note – Yen and oil surge as futures are steady

Posted on September 15, 2021 at 1:00 pm GMT

US inflation mildly affects dollar US inflation had a mild negative influence on the dollar, but yesterday’s fragile risk sentiment gave it a boost. This suggests that markets believe the Fed will delay tapering next week, which might lead to a range bound environment until the end of the week. In addition, China’s efforts to rein in private enterprises and the impact of the delta virus strain on economic development are among them. The US dollar index is heading south around the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks push up and dollar index slips below 92.44  

Posted on September 14, 2021 at 1:52 pm GMT

Markets and the greenback’s reaction connected to US CPI data Today’s pause on market volatility seems to have been hinged around market jitters prior to the release of the US CPI data, which is somewhat seen as the key that opens the taper door. The question is, has the rush to return to normality and subsequent supply bottlenecks been the main driver for inflation, suggesting it is temporary, or is there a deeper reason which the Fed is overlooking? These [..]

Daily Market Comment – Euro steady ahead of ECB but stocks hit by market jitters

Posted on September 9, 2021 at 9:23 am GMT

Euro holds above $1.18 ahead of expected ‘tapering’ by ECB Fresh China crackdowns and fears of slowing growth dent sentiment Stocks slip, dollar rebound eases but yen edges up ECB to taper but call it something else The European Central Bank will probably join the taper bandwagon when it announces the outcome of its policy meeting later today. However, with some way still to go for the Eurozone recovery and a sizeable degree of uncertainty about the outlook, policymakers will [..]

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US Open Note – Market sentiment picks up and dollar takes a step back

Posted on September 8, 2021 at 1:52 pm GMT

Markets prepare for Bank of Canada meeting and US Jolts The major US indices have bounced back to earlier Asian levels, while the greenback has given up a tad of its gains, which it extended from yesterday. Renewed lockdowns and travel restrictions are not aiding growth and the persistently roaming delta variant is nourishing uncertainty around global recoveries, interfering with supply chains, which is feeding higher inflation. This seems to be producing a gloomy mood in the markets. The dollar [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets turn cautious in wait for Powell

Posted on August 26, 2021 at 9:22 am GMT

Stocks slip as Delta strain and China crackdown fears resurface Dollar supported by higher yields but overall, lacks direction Markets gearing up for Jackson Hole but can Powell offer much clarity? Stocks turn red as optimism fades slightly Rising virus cases in Asia as well as lingering concerns about China’s punitive crackdown on its tech industry came back to haunt markets on Thursday, pulling regional stocks lower. European bourses also slipped at the open and US stock futures struggled too, [..]

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US Open Note – Markets calm down ahead of Jackson Hole

Posted on August 25, 2021 at 12:53 pm GMT

FOMC meeting and Jackson Hole attract attention There have been several confusing messages leading up to the summit (27 August). The Fed’s vice chair, Clarida, hinted at an early taper when he stated that rates could rise as early as 2022. In the US, the number of covid cases and deaths is on the rise. Especially after Kaplan’s comments on Friday, investors are increasingly focused on this factor in the run-up to the FOMC. This Thursday, the Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole Symposium gets underway, and it [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar finds footing as Jackson Hole awaited, stocks fly again

Posted on August 25, 2021 at 9:14 am GMT

Markets turn to Jackson Hole for direction amid uneasy optimism Dollar edges up after three-day slide, while Wall Street climbs to fresh records China cash injection, House infrastructure vote lift sentiment, but Delta still a worry Calm sets in before possible Fed storm After a volatile week, markets were in much steadier waters on Wednesday, with the US dollar halting its losing streak and equities holding onto their gains. Optimism that the global economic recovery from the pandemic will only [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks extend rebound, dollar tanks as Fed taper and Delta worries ease

Posted on August 24, 2021 at 9:12 am GMT

Risk sentiment continues to improve as Fed seen delaying taper signal Delta fears also subside as FDA’s full approval of Pfizer vaccine adds to optimism Wall Street flirts with record highs, dollar flounders as commodity currencies fight back Fed taper expectations pared back amid virus risks Growing signs that the Delta wave is proving to be a bigger headwind for the US economy than initially anticipated have cooled expectations that the Federal Reserve will commit to a tapering timeframe at [..]

Daily Market Comment – Equities perk up but Delta casts shadow over Jackson Hole

Posted on August 23, 2021 at 9:16 am GMT

Trading gets off to a somewhat more positive start as stocks and commodities rise, dollar slips But Delta surge forces Jackson Hole to go virtual again, taper clues in doubt Flash PMIs in focus amid recovery fears as Delta variant rages on Panic subsides but could be the Fed’s turn to get jittery After a tumultuous week, the market mood brightened somewhat on Monday after stocks on Wall Street extended their rebound on Friday. Bargain hunting appears to be reviving [..]

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