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US500

Daily Market Comment – Fresh records for Wall Street; euro gets kicked by Lagarde again

Posted on November 19, 2021 at 10:20 am GMT

Optimism returns to equity markets as US stocks scale fresh all-time highs Rate hike expectations go into overdrive, dollar comes out the winner Dovish Lagarde deals another blow to battered euro Growth fears ease after solid data, buoy stocks After struggling a bit in the last couple of days, global stock markets look set to end the week firmly higher, led by another record close on Wall Street on Thursday. A robust set of economic indicators out of the United [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar and stocks turn red, euro steadier but lira tumbles

Posted on November 18, 2021 at 10:02 am GMT

Wall Street slips amid faster tapering fears as dollar rally pauses for breath Euro steadier, kiwi surges on rising inflation expectations but Turkish lira crumbles Oil slide deepens after US asks other countries to release strategic reserves Stocks hit by inflation woes Jitters about how further spikes in inflation might begin to hurt corporate earnings as well as spur the Federal Reserve to hasten its tapering timetable weighed on Wall Street on Wednesday. With signs that consumer spending in the [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar continues march higher after the US retail sales release

Posted on November 16, 2021 at 2:04 pm GMT

US retail sales ticks up US retail sales are the highlight of today. The figure climbed by 1.7% m/m for October as compared to 0.8% in the previous month, driving the greenback higher. Despite supply issues and delivery delays, there is a strong belief that customers will begin their holiday shopping earlier this year. Vice President Biden has made his selection for the position of Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Powell is the most qualified candidate, even though Brainard has [..]

Daily Market Comment – Higher yields cap Wall Street gains but lift dollar, pound catches a bid

Posted on November 16, 2021 at 10:10 am GMT

Inflation worries lift Treasury yields, holding back stocks; retailer earnings in focus Little to report from Biden-Xi summit but easing tensions boost yuan Euro and pound pulled in opposite directions by policymakers, dollar holds firm It’s still all about inflation Uncertainty about the persistence of higher inflation continues to dog investor sentiment amid ongoing speculation about the timing of interest rate hikes by the world’s major central banks. A stronger-than-expected jump in the New York Fed’s manufacturing gauge on Monday [..]

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US Open Note – Greenback slips as Fed tapering starts

Posted on November 15, 2021 at 2:04 pm GMT

Fed tapering begins According to the FOMC meeting of November 2-3, tapering will begin this week as planned. The New York Fed announced its modified bond-purchase schedule last week, confirming that tapering will start this month. Until June, the Federal Reserve intends to keep reducing its purchases by $15 billion each month. There is a possibility of a change in tapering speed, but the Fed has indicated that it will only do so if it is necessary. Futures for the Fed Funds rate are still pricing in a Q2 liftoff of roughly two-thirds, while [..]

Daily Market Comment – Cautious tone ahead of risk events, dollar softer

Posted on November 15, 2021 at 10:03 am GMT

Stocks are mixed, dollar eases ahead of Biden-Xi meeting, US data, Fed speakers Modest lift from upbeat Chinese data as worries about property sector linger Yield differentials in driving seat in FX market, gold holds near highs Subdued start to week amid caution It was a relatively subdued start to the week across financial markets on Monday as stocks, bonds and the dollar were still reeling from last week’s US CPI shock. The panic and fallout from the jump in [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar still holds in negative territory after US PPI

Posted on November 9, 2021 at 2:16 pm GMT

Calm day with US core PPI  Across the board, this week’s data has been strong but not so important. The market has instead been focused on central banks, with both the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England meeting last week. The FOMC voted to taper immediately in November, with a $15bn reduction per month in purchases, which implies asset purchases would end completely by June 2022. Markets are continuing to price in a Fed lift-off that occurs sooner than the Fed desires. Even though many Federal [..]

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Technical Analysis – US 500 index eyes uncharted heights as bullish bias sturdy

Posted on November 8, 2021 at 3:21 pm GMT

The US 500 stock index’s rally seems to gallop on unabated with imminent tapering on the horizon and a new infrastructure bill getting ready to be signed. The simple moving averages (SMAs) are sponsoring the robust uptrend in the index. The short-term oscillators are reflecting a pause in upside impetus prior to the fresh all-time high of 4,718. The MACD, deep in the positive region, is hovering beneath its flattening red trigger line, while the RSI is struggling to push [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar eases at the beginning of the week

Posted on November 8, 2021 at 2:01 pm GMT

FX arena remains calm As the new week gets underway, the outlook for the dollar is slightly negative. Having initially climbed on Friday, the dollar index later declined from the 94.62 high and has since remained negative. The euro, which has remained heavy following last week’s unsuccessful drop below the $1.1525 level, is still moving near $1.1570 with weak momentum. On Friday, the pound challenged the support near $1.3410, where it was unable to break through. A clean break below would set up a test of the December 2020 low of $1.3135, which would be a significant step forward. [..]

Daily Market Comment – BoE sinks pound, roils bond markets; All eyes now on NFP

Posted on November 5, 2021 at 9:57 am GMT

BoE shocks markets by not raising rates as expected, pound crashes below $1.35 Bond yields slump globally as central banks push back on investors’ rate hike pricings Dollar stands tall, Wall Street at a record ahead of October payrolls report BoE: the unreliable boyfriend strikes again The messaging was clear, or so everyone thought. Repeated signalling by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey that the Bank will need to act to keep a lid on surging inflation had led markets [..]

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