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US Open Note – Quiet day ahead of raft of central bank meetings

Posted on December 13, 2021 at 2:02 pm GMT

It’s a relatively quiet start to the week before the expected onslaught of central bank meetings that will take place this week. On Monday, US futures gained along with European stocks as traders braced for a week of central bank decisions amid fears about inflation and the omicron virus. Fed, ECB and BoE meetings in the spotlight this week The Federal Reserve is anticipated to accelerate its stimulus withdrawal on Wednesday and could pave the way for quicker interest rate hikes in 2022 if price pressures remain around a [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar steady ahead of US CPI; stock rally fizzles out

Posted on December 10, 2021 at 9:57 am GMT

US CPI data in focus ahead of Fed decision next week, dollar flat Stocks pare weekly gains as Evergrande default unnerves markets Pound holds near lows after GDP miss, euro reverses back down Spotlight on US inflation After making a strong recovery this week, risk appetite is being tested as the all-important inflation test looms for the markets. The US consumer price index is due at 13:30 GMT and the forecasts are pointing to another big jump in November. If [..]

Daily Market Comment – Equities stay cheery but dollar creeps up, pound hits new low

Posted on December 9, 2021 at 10:11 am GMT

Stock market party continues as virus risks sidestepped, though US futures dip slightly But Omicron begins to bite as UK’s Johnson brings in Covid Plan B, pound takes a knock Loonie also slips as BoC cites Omicron danger; all eyes now on US inflation data Stocks remain optimistic but rally cools There were few signs of worry about the Omicron outbreak in equity markets as traders remained hopeful that the economic disruption from this new variant will be kept to [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks soar as markets look past Omicron; BoC meeting eyed

Posted on December 8, 2021 at 9:55 am GMT

Optimism prevails as investors see glass half full over Omicron threat Asia lifted by Wall Street jump but futures point to some easing in rally FX markets mostly steady, loonie at 2-week high ahead of BoC decision Fading Omicron risks boost sentiment Pre-Christmas cheer came early for equity markets as investors celebrated the growing view that the newly discovered Omicron variant is not more dangerous than the Delta strain. Early evidence suggests that Omicron causes less severe illness than the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks rally, dollar slips as Omicron fears subside, China eases policy

Posted on December 7, 2021 at 9:58 am GMT

Wall Street bounces back as investors shrug off inflation and Omicron concerns US yields also rebound but dollar pressured by improved sentiment Aussie climbs on upbeat RBA, oil rally lifts loonie, BoE uncertainty caps pound’s gains Risk appetite returns as Omicron gloom recedes further Equity markets were in a buoyant mood on Tuesday following a strong rebound on Wall Street yesterday. US stocks staged an impressive rally, with the Dow Jones gaining 1.9% and the S&P 500 1.2%, recouping last [..]

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Technical Analysis – US 500 index attempts to push higher

Posted on December 6, 2021 at 4:24 pm GMT

The US 500 stock index (Cash) is trying to recoup previously lost ground from the decline off the 4,720 level until the one-and-a-half month low of 4,494. The bearish 50- and 100-period simple moving averages (SMAs) are endorsing the pullback, and a downward crossover of the 200-period SMA by the approaching 100-period SMA could boost the negative trajectory. That said, the Ichimoku lines are suggesting downward forces are taking a breather, while the short-term oscillators are signalling that buyers may [..]

Daily Market Comment – Equities perk up as Omicron panic eases; Fed liftoff in focus

Posted on December 6, 2021 at 10:00 am GMT

Positive start for US and European stock futures, Asia mixed as mood brightens But still plenty of caution amid Omicron unknowns and central bank policy shifts Busy week lined up – US CPI the highlight; dollar edges higher Is the Omicron scare over? After a gruesome two weeks, US equities may be at a turning point as markets digest the growing expectation that the Fed will remove stimulus at a faster pace and amid encouraging signs that the Omicron variant [..]

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US Open Note – Markets dive as new Covid variant identified

Posted on November 26, 2021 at 1:57 pm GMT

FX market is bleeding due to new variant; yen shines After the discovery of a new and possibly vaccine-resistant coronavirus variant in South Africa, Botswana, and Hong Kong, the FX market is posting strong losses and US stock futures are indicating a negative open. Flights from South Africa and other nearby countries have already been temporarily banned by Britain, which was followed by Israel and Singapore, and could lead to similar bans in other countries. The introduction of the new variant comes at a time when different European countries are coping [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar shines again as gold and lira prints losses

Posted on November 23, 2021 at 2:10 pm GMT

Biden’s Fed picks drives dollar up The Fed nomination decision caused some tremors in the financial markets on Monday. In the decision’s wake, futures markets have firmed up expectations for a rate hike in June, which had previously been biased towards July. Governor Brainard has been selected to replace Clarida as Vice Chair at the end of January next year. The US dollar index is extending its gains towards a fresh 16½-month high of 96.59, while dollar/yen is hovering slightly below the four-and-a-half year high of 115.15 that it posted earlier in [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed’s No. 2 hints at faster taper; dollar up but stocks stay calm

Posted on November 22, 2021 at 9:57 am GMT

Fed’s Clarida open to quicker tapering, but no panic yet in bond and equity markets Dollar eyes fresh highs as euro and pound keep bleeding; commodity dollars steadier Flash PMIs and RBNZ may spark some fireworks before Thanksgiving holiday Markets in positive spirits despite Fed and virus worries The Fed’s second in command may have just opened the door to a faster pace of tapering, but stocks nevertheless edged higher at the start of the week as there appeared to [..]

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