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US Open Note – Market awaits FOMC meeting, keeps an eye on Ukraine crisis

Posted on January 25, 2022 at 1:52 pm GMT

FOMC minutes attract attention The two-day FOMC meeting begins today and concludes tomorrow with a decision as the global economy is feeling the pain of omicron variant. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to maintain its hawkish stance as it prepares the market for liftoff at its next meeting. Anyone hoping for some form of Fed Put this week will likely be disappointed. The Federal Reserve’s top aim right now is to keep inflation under control. Because the economy is on the verge of reaching full employment and inflation [..]

Daily Market Comment – Equities remain pressured as traders weigh Fed and geopolitical risks

Posted on January 24, 2022 at 10:21 am GMT

Stock market rout deepens amid Fed and Ukraine worries, but US futures point to rebound Dollar and gold edge up, euro see-saws on mixed PMIs Fed meeting and major earnings to likely dictate market sentiment Markets still jittery but selloff eases Wall Street just had its most bruising week since the onset of the pandemic in March 2020 and it could get even rockier for stocks in the coming days. The Federal Reserve is poised to give a formal nod [..]

Daily Market Comment – Sentiment up after Wall Street stages late comeback

Posted on January 11, 2022 at 10:12 am GMT

Nasdaq out of correction territory following late-session rally Asia mixed amid China lockdowns, but European stocks and US futures up Powell testimony eyed as March rate hike speculation intensifies Dip buyers return to save the day Equities were on a steadier footing on Tuesday as the selloff on Wall Street appeared to be cooling off following a miserable start to the New Year for the tech behemoths. The tech-dominated Nasdaq Composite briefly flirted with correction territory on Monday, plunging by [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar holds firm after mixed NFP report

Posted on January 7, 2022 at 2:24 pm GMT

Dollar unsurprised by NFP miss Despite the dollar’s initial pullback after the NFP report came short of expectations, delivering 199k job additions versus the 400k projection, the dollar quickly pared its losses as the US unemployment figure fell to 3.9% against the 4.1% expectation. This employment report seems solid enough for the Fed to proceed with its plan to both lift interest rates and reduce the size of its balance sheet at the same time. Commodity-linked currencies such as the [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar eases ahead of FOMC minutes

Posted on January 5, 2022 at 1:27 pm GMT

Investors are expecting the release of the FOMC minutes and, more crucially, the release of non-farm payrolls in the US later this week. Following a robust surge in government bond yields, the yen has remained the currency with the worst performance for the time being. The pound has managed to outperform the euro. Although the dollar is the second strongest currency, it is still stuck in a range, except against the yen. FX market view and FOMC minutes expectation The dollar is weakening ahead of the ADP employment [..]

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US Open Note – US stocks storm higher and dollar rebounds as 2022 kicks off

Posted on January 3, 2022 at 2:20 pm GMT

Dollar recoups losses; Euro and cyclicals retreat The dollar ticked higher against most of its major rivals today, supported by the surging US Treasury yields, despite the risk-on sentiment in the first trading session of 2022. However, no major moves are expected in the forex spectrum as London, Europe’s main forex trading market, is closed today. On the other hand, the euro is on the retreat after the final German PMI figure came out weaker-than-expected earlier in today’s session. Moreover, the spread of the Omicron variant in Europe seems likely to [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Wall Street hits another record but trading remains slow, dollar oscillates

Posted on December 30, 2021 at 10:16 am GMT

Stocks mixed after more US all-time highs as trading volumes thin out further Investor optimism put to the test amid surging Covid cases globally Dollar rebounds from lows as Treasury yields spike Surging virus cases put investors on edge Markets stuck to the mildly positive tone on Thursday as investors constantly reassessed the risks from the latest wave of Covid-19 cases that is gripping most nations around the world. The shrinking liquidity during this slow holiday week has brought about [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Santa Claus rally takes a breather, dollar firms

Posted on December 29, 2021 at 9:37 am GMT

Stocks mixed after Wall Street rally fizzles out, but futures point up Dollar inches higher, yen firms too amid some Omicron worries Oil extends gains, gold pulls back despite soft Treasury yields Wall Street falters but party not over Equity markets were feeling somewhat less joyous on Wednesday after the S&P 500 failed in its bid to close above the 4,800 level for the first time and as Chinese tech stocks came under renewed selling pressure. The S&P 500 ended [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar cools off, riskier currencies shine

Posted on December 22, 2021 at 2:33 pm GMT

Safe haven currencies slip amid waning Omicron jitters; cyclical currencies shine Overnight, President Joe Biden’s statement that there is a significant chance that he strikes a deal with Democrat Senator Joe Manchin to pass his $2 trillion stimulus package through Congress, has been the driving force behind the soaring risk-on sentiment in markets. In addition, optimistic news from the pandemic front alongside statements from major countries’ government officials ensuring that financing aid will be provided in case new Covid-19 restrictions are imposed, further [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar flattens after busy week; lira plummets

Posted on December 17, 2021 at 2:00 pm GMT

FX market in the spotlight After a very busy week with numerous central bank meetings, the week is ending with a bearish mode. The dollar index continues its sideways movement around 96, while dollar/yen is heading south approaching the 113.00 round number. The euro rally peaked near $1.1350 and is now trading near $1.1300, while sterling has given up much of its post-BoE gains and is trading below $1.33. US futures are suggesting a negative open today. Central banks sum up The Fed’s shift to a more hawkish stance [..]

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