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US30

Daily Market Comment – Big tech defies Ukraine crisis to stage massive turnaround

Posted on February 25, 2022 at 10:25 am GMT

Wall Street in sharp reversal as fears over Ukraine fallout ease a little Global equities also perk up, dollar retreats slightly, but oil extends gains Immediate focus back on inflation and Fed policy ahead of US data Russia moves in on Kyiv but markets steadier for now After a highly turbulent week, the mood brightened somewhat on Friday even as the tragedy unfolded in Ukraine. Stock markets around the world were rebounding from yesterday’s dramatic selloff when Russia invaded Ukraine, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Modest sanctions help soothe fears about Ukraine fallout

Posted on February 23, 2022 at 10:19 am GMT

S&P 500 enters correction territory as sanctions on Russia mount But nerves later steady as market impact seen limited, oil and gold slip Kiwi jumps on hawkish RBNZ, aussie outperforms too as dollar stays soft Markets wary but less worried about Ukraine conflict The market mood steadied on Wednesday, having wavered on Tuesday as the Ukraine crisis unfolded, with the United States and its allies slapping sanctions on Russia for ordering troops into Ukraine’s separatist regions. Washington has made it [..]

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US Open Note – FOMC minutes next on the radar; Canada CPI surprises

Posted on February 16, 2022 at 2:05 pm GMT

US retail sales beat estimates; FOMC minutes next on the agenda The minutes of the Federal Reserve’s last meeting are on investor’s radar today and will be looking for details on its plans to reduce its enormous balance sheet and raise interest rates in 2022, as well as its evolving outlook on inflation. At the meeting on January 25-26, policymakers agreed that raising the Fed’s benchmark overnight interest rate from near-zero would be “soon appropriate” and discussed the future of the $9 trillion in securities owned by the central bank. [..]

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US Open Note – As Russia-Ukraine tensions persist, the dollar strengthens

Posted on February 14, 2022 at 2:02 pm GMT

Ukraine tensions and FOMC minutes in focus; dollar rises As the United States fears that an invasion may be approaching, tensions over Russian forces stationed near Ukraine are entering what might be a pivotal week. The United States is warning of an imminent invasion, while President Vladimir Putin has accused America of failing to satisfy his demands. Russia has denied it is preparing to invade Ukraine, and Chancellor Olaf Scholz of Germany is travelling to Kyiv today, a day before visiting Moscow to calm the issue. This week’s focus is on the [..]

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Technical Analysis – US 30 index gains kept buoyant by flat 200-MA

Posted on February 10, 2022 at 3:48 pm GMT

The US 30 stock index (Cash) has managed to hold above the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) after today’s downside move was rejected by the mid-Bollinger band at 35,463. The 100-period SMA has started to build a minor positive incline, while the soaring 50-period SMA is looking for a bullish crossover of the horizontal 200-period SMA as well. This would signal that the bullish trend that evolved around the end of January could develop further. The short-term oscillators suggest the latest pullback [..]

Daily Market Comment – Higher yields start to bite but stocks fight back, dollar edges up

Posted on February 8, 2022 at 10:32 am GMT

Bond yields climb to fresh highs as inflation and tighter policy fears grip markets Equities nevertheless perk up globally but Wall Street on shaky ground Dollar regains front foot, oil prices pressured by optimism around US-Iran talks Sentiment improves despite surging yields Long-term borrowing costs continued to head north on Tuesday, rising in just about every territory on growing expectations that no country will be spared from the greatest inflation shock the world has faced in decades. As central banks [..]

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US Open Note – Market in a volatile day; dollar surges to more than 1 ½ -year high

Posted on January 28, 2022 at 1:55 pm GMT

PCE price index ticks up; Rates in US rise December’s PCE data came into focus today from investors. The core PCE price index rose from 4.8% to 4.9% year-on-year. Currently, it is the highest since September 1983 and well above the Fed’s 2% goal rate. Personal income and spending also came in at 0.3% and -0.6% m/m respectively. Because of the widespread distribution of the omicron variety, retail sales and consumption decreased in December of last year. Rates in the United States are rising, [..]

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Weekly Comment – Central bank fiesta, nonfarm payrolls, and economic data barrage

Posted on January 28, 2022 at 10:11 am GMT

The Fed adopted quite hawkish rhetoric in its latest FOMC minutes, triggering risk-off sentiment and causing a severe sell-off in risky assets. In the upcoming week, the latest US employment data alongside central bank meetings in the UK, Australia, and Europe will take center stage, while a raft of economic data releases will also hit the markets. The highlights: In America, nonfarm payrolls will be out on Friday, where a stronger-than-expected report might seal the deal for a more aggressive rate hike timeline, further boosting the USD. Moreover, employment data for [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar soars, stocks sink after Powell hints Fed will move faster on rates

Posted on January 27, 2022 at 10:35 am GMT

Powell makes a further hawkish pivot, signals end of era of highly accommodative policy Yields and dollar jump, but stocks are battered, upbeat earnings offer some support Kiwi biggest FX loser even as strong CPI fuels RBNZ rate hike bets Fed gets tough on inflation Fed Chair Jerome Powell left investors in no doubt that borrowing costs are set to rise in the coming months, leaving the door open to both a faster and steeper pace of rate increases. As [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar surges ahead of FOMC decision; stocks back in positive ground

Posted on January 26, 2022 at 1:54 pm GMT

Markets are gradually stabilizing, despite the fact that Russia-Ukraine tensions remain high. The two-day FOMC meeting concludes this afternoon. FOMC meeting ends today The Fed is widely expected to keep a hawkish stance as it prepares the market for a rate lift-off on March 15-16. This year’s three quarterly rate increases have already been factored into the market. In the absence of any new macro projections or Dot Plots, we expect Fed Chair Powell to make a very clear message [..]

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