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US30

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European Open Preview – Euro softens as ECB ends QE, but turns cautious

Posted on December 14, 2018 at 8:38 am GMT

Euro ticks down as ECB ends QE, but downgrades balance of risks Aussie and kiwi fall sharply after key Chinese data disappoint EU refuses to renegotiate Brexit deal; sterling rallies may remain short-lived US retail sales data due out today Euro inches lower despite Draghi trying his best not to seem dovish The European Central Bank (ECB) officially announced the end of its crisis-era QE program yesterday, as expected. The Bank revised down its growth and inflation forecasts, though that [..]

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European Open Preview – Pound advances as May survives; ECB meeting eyed

Posted on December 13, 2018 at 8:27 am GMT

Sterling advances as PM May survives leadership contest, but sustained rally unlikely ECB meets today; Draghi’s tone will be crucial for the euro SNB meets as well, likely to maintain a dovish stance Meanwhile, reports China may open its economy boost risk sentiment Pound soars as May survives, but odds of a sustained rally slim Sterling surged on Wednesday, as it became increasingly clear throughout the session that PM May would survive the no-confidence motion, amid a plethora of Tory [..]

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European Open Preview – Pound under pressure as Tories trigger leadership contest

Posted on December 12, 2018 at 8:52 am GMT

Sterling near 20-month lows as Conservative lawmakers trigger no-confidence vote in Theresa May; ballot to be held today Risk appetite recovers as Trump and China stoke hopes for a deal Euro remains on the back foot ahead of tomorrow’s ECB meeting US inflation data on tap Sterling crumbles as Tories trigger leadership challenge The British pound sank to a fresh 20-month low versus the dollar on Tuesday, following reports that “rebels” within Theresa May’s Conservative party nearly have the numbers [..]

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Technical Analysis – US 30 index cautiously negative in short run, neutral overall

Posted on December 7, 2018 at 10:49 am GMT

The US 30 index remains on the back foot, having crossed back below its 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) in recent sessions. The price structure of lower highs on the daily chart suggests the bias is negative at the moment, but not clearly so, as the SMAs are converging; an indication the longer-term picture is turning more neutral. Short-term oscillators support the case. The RSI – although below its neutral 50 line – seems to be flattening, while [..]

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European Open Preview – Risk sentiment sours; OPEC summit front and center

Posted on December 6, 2018 at 8:30 am GMT

Risk appetite crumbles as US arrests Huawei CFO, generating worries of re-escalation in the trade conflict Today, all eyes are on OPEC’s meeting (1200 GMT); expectations for a production cut are elevated Loonie nosedives to a 1½-year low as BoC shifts to a more cautious stance Risk appetite falters on fears of “trade war” re-escalation After a relatively calm Wednesday, risk appetite deteriorated once more during the Asian session on Thursday, following news that the CFO of the Chinese tech [..]

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European Open Preview – Stocks sink amid trade woes; BoC decision eyed

Posted on December 5, 2018 at 8:46 am GMT

Trump’s trade posturing sinks stock markets Bank of Canada to stand pat (1500 GMT), but may appear a touch more cautious Dollar rebounds after Fed’s Williams reiterates “gradual hikes” Sterling remains turbulent as Parliamentary debate kicks off Equities sink on Trump’s trade posturing Wall Street plunged, with the S&P 500 falling by a whopping 3.24% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite nosediving by 3.80%. Meanwhile, defensive assets like the Japanese yen outperformed. The mood was already sour before the US markets [..]

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European Open Preview – Markets retrace as trade optimism wanes

Posted on December 4, 2018 at 8:45 am GMT

Trade optimism fades as markets digest the agreement Dollar extends recent pullback Oil continues to recover amid speculation for an OPEC cut RBA slightly more upbeat, but no policy change in sight Stocks edge higher on trade relief, but optimism wanes The boost to global risk appetite following the US-China trade “ceasefire” seems to have been short-lived. Even though US stock markets closed higher, they did surrender a decent part of their gains late in the session, and futures tracking [..]

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European Open Preview – All eyes on the Trump-Xi meeting

Posted on November 30, 2018 at 8:40 am GMT

The Trump-Xi meeting is due tomorrow; whether a “ceasefire” is agreed may determine the near-term direction of the dollar and equities Market reaction to FOMC minutes was muted. Attention turns to a speech by NY Fed President Williams today at 1400 GMT Oil rebounds after posting fresh one-year lows, eyes next week’s OPEC meeting Trump and Xi to meet, outcome may shape risk appetite Movements in the FX market were largely subdued, with investors increasingly turning their attention to the [..]

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European Open Preview – Powell sinks dollar, but mind the Fed minutes

Posted on November 29, 2018 at 8:38 am GMT

Dollar drops as Powell appears “dovish”. However, markets may have overreacted, hence today’s Fed minutes (1900 GMT) could be crucial Equities and commodity-linked currencies lifted by Powell’s remarks Pound capitalizes on dollar’s pullback and signs voters may support May’s deal Dollar drops as Powell appears “cautious”, but Fed minutes crucial Fed Chair Powell’s speech yesterday was widely perceived as dovish. The comment that grabbed most attention was that rates “remain just below the broad range of estimates that would be [..]

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European Open Preview – Greenback eyes Fed Chair Powell’s speech

Posted on November 28, 2018 at 8:41 am GMT

Dollar flirts with 1½-year highs as Fed’s Clarida “sticks to script” on hikes; remarks by Fed Chair Powell today at 1700 GMT will be key Stocks briefly slip on rumors of car tariffs but recover on Kudlow’s optimism Pound remains under pressure as political uncertainty reigns Dollar firms after Clarida’s remarks, and amid whispers of car tariffs The greenback shined bright once again on Tuesday, with the dollar index soaring to come within breathing distance of its recent 1½-year highs. [..]

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