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European Open Preview – RBA chief jawbones aussie lower; pound slides

Posted on February 6, 2019 at 8:38 am GMT

Aussie plummets as RBA Governor changes tune, puts rate cut on table Pound dives after weak services PMI reinforces speculation for dovish BoE US stock markets cruise to fresh two-month highs RBA Governor reacquaints aussie with gravity The Australian dollar is in freefall early on Wednesday, losing more than a cent against its US counterpart, following some cautious-sounding remarks from RBA Governor Philip Lowe earlier. He backpedaled on some of the Bank’s prior rhetoric that the next move in interest [..]

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European Open Preview – Neutral RBA lifts aussie; Wall Street advances

Posted on February 5, 2019 at 8:42 am GMT

Stocks climb while haven assets tumble, without any fresh catalyst Aussie outperforms after RBA wasn’t as dovish as markets expected Today, services PMIs from both the UK and US will dictate the action Stocks advance, yen crumbles as “no news is good news” Global risk appetite returned on Monday, in the absence of any material news or fresh fundamental catalysts to speak of. US stock markets recorded decent gains, with the benchmark S&P 500 (+0.68%) closing at a two-month high, [..]

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European Open Preview – Dollar steady despite healthy US data; RBA in focus

Posted on February 4, 2019 at 8:51 am GMT

Dollar unable to rally even after US payrolls smash expectations Risk sentiment mostly in positive territory today amid trade optimism Aussie on the back foot ahead of RBA decision Dollar unimpressed by strong US data, as Fed casts shadow Nonfarm payrolls smashed expectations in January, clocking in at a robust 304k, much higher than the anticipated 165k – though last month’s print was revised down significantly, mitigating some of the good news. Wage growth held steady at 3.2% in annual [..]

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Technical analysis – US 30 index clears 200-day SMA, seems positive in immediate term

Posted on February 1, 2019 at 1:21 pm GMT

The US 30 index has continued to recover in recent sessions, managing to close above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on January 31. Combined with the fact that recent price action consists of higher highs and higher lows, the bias seems to have turned back to positive in the immediate term. The RSI, though, suggests that a pullback may be on the cards, as it appears to have met resistance near its overbought zone and turned lower. The MACD, [..]

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European Open Preview – Dollar suffers losses as Fed abandons hiking plans

Posted on January 31, 2019 at 8:45 am GMT

Fed removes guidance for more hikes; dollar crumbles, stocks soar Trade talks conclude today – any signs of progress crucial for markets Eurozone releases GDP data, risks seem skewed to the downside Dollar drops, stocks roar as Fed folds on further rate hikes While the Fed kept rates unchanged as expected yesterday, the meeting wasn’t short of surprises. Policymakers adopted an even more cautious tone, dropping the reference that further gradual rate hikes will be needed, instead reiterating the mantra [..]

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Special Report – US government shutdown impact, and the prospect for more

Posted on January 30, 2019 at 4:15 pm GMT

The US government shutdown has ended, for the next two weeks at least, leaving a trail of delayed economic data and lost economic output in its wake. Unless Republicans and Democrats can reach a compromise soon, the government will likely shut down again, or President Trump could declare a national emergency. Overall, the longer and the more frequent shutdowns become, the more political uncertainty rises – at a time when trade uncertainty is already elevated. The impact of the partial [..]

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European Open Preview – Brexit stays in limbo; Fed decision eyed

Posted on January 30, 2019 at 8:50 am GMT

Fed decides; Powell’s remarks on the balance sheet may be crucial Pound slides as Brexit uncertainty seems set to remain elevated US-China trade talks commence; plethora of earnings and data also due FOMC meeting – emphasis on Powell’s balance sheet remarks The main event today will be the Fed policy decision at 1900 GMT, which will be followed by a press conference from Chairman Powell – as will every meeting from now on. No change in policy is expected, and [..]

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European Open Preview – Companies sound warning on China; Brexit saga rumbles on

Posted on January 29, 2019 at 8:43 am GMT

Risk appetite stays fragile as key companies sound the alarm on Chinese growth In the UK, it may be a deciding day for Brexit as lawmakers vote on various plans Earnings season continues in full throttle today, little on economic calendar Corporate warnings on China rattle stocks, drag oil lower US equity markets closed in the red, after industrial bellwether Caterpillar (-9.1%) reported disappointing earnings and chipmaker Nvidia (-13.8%) slashed its revenue forecasts, both companies pointing the finger to weakening [..]

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European Open Preview – Dollar takes a hit on speculation for dovish Fed

Posted on January 28, 2019 at 8:58 am GMT

Reports the Fed may halt its balance sheet unwind hurt dollar, boost stocks Sterling marches higher ahead of decisive week for Brexit ECB President Draghi & BoE Governor Carney speak today Dollar slumps, equities advance on Fed reports & trade optimism It was a lively session for both currency and equity markets on Friday. The dollar slumped while stock indices climbed, amid renewed speculation that the Fed may turn even more dovish and the US-China talks could bear fruit soon. [..]

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Stock Market News – Caterpillar’s earnings could drive market sentiment

Posted on January 25, 2019 at 1:32 pm GMT

Caterpillar – which is seen as a bellwether for global economic activity – will announce its quarterly results on Monday, two hours ahead of Wall Street’s opening bell. Against the backdrop of slowing global growth and trade tensions, the guidance by management for 2019 could prove equally, if not more important than the actual earnings figures for the market reaction. The world’s largest manufacturer of heavy equipment is projected to report earnings per share (EPS) of $2.99 in the closing [..]

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