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US Open Note – Stocks laid back as dollar flickers some life despite dip in yields

Posted on June 8, 2021 at 2:41 pm GMT

Risk appetite vanishes; inflation and taper talk jitters persist Although the market outlook is largely optimistic, economies are emanating a lethargic vibe and seem to be searching for an assisting jolt to rekindle risk appetite. Investors may be looking aimlessly to the ECB and the Fed to provide markets with immediate booster jabs. Nonetheless, investors’ radars remain set around taper talks and price pressures and for sure the ECB’s and the Fed’s rhetoric around these issues will be cautious and [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets subdued as ECB, Fed, US spending and inflation outcomes awaited

Posted on June 8, 2021 at 9:03 am GMT

Traders are biding their time as ECB and Fed decisions loom along with US CPI data White House infrastructure talks also in focus as negotiations drag on Stocks hover near highs as dollar ticks up, but US yields slip again Dollar inches higher as ECB, Fed and inflation eyed Markets were mostly drifting sideways on Tuesday, awaiting fresh clues on stimulus plans in Europe and the United States as fears of central bank tapering and higher inflation continue to haunt [..]

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US Open Note – Risky currencies cheer on dollar weakness as stocks ease

Posted on June 7, 2021 at 12:54 pm GMT

Dollar fails to move up again after disappointing NFP The eagerly awaited NFP release for May on Friday was better than April’s figure, however, it disappointed investors. The unemployment rate fell to 5.8% but the greenback finished the day sharply lower. Today, dollar/yen is continuing the selling interest with weaker momentum, trading near 109.40, while the US dollar index is recovering some losses. US stock futures were slightly on the downside after a positive day on Friday. In Washington, the two main parties are sticking to their different approaches on [..]

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Technical Analysis – US 30 index consolidates near highs as bearish pressures fade

Posted on June 3, 2021 at 3:33 pm GMT

The US 30 stock index’s (Cash) latest positive drive seems to have slowed somewhat near its highs. That said the soaring simple moving averages (SMAs) are safeguarding the broader bullish uptrend. Moreover, the Ichimoku lines are endorsing a neutral-to-bullish bearing, while the short-term oscillators are conveying mixed signals in directional momentum. The MACD is standing a tad above its red trigger line, while the RSI is trying to improve in bullish territory. The negative charge in the stochastic oscillator is [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks muted near highs, dollar receives hawkish shot

Posted on June 2, 2021 at 2:44 pm GMT

Stocks risk appetite fades; dollar briefly gains an edge US major indices remained largely unchanged near their highs, while the dollar got a boost from the Fed tapering talk-jab, which saw the greenback regain the upper hand over some of its peers in the forex space. The dollar index extended yesterday’s price developments towards the 90.20 mark but the recent dollar strength may not prove so sustainable, especially as this week’s market sentiment is highlighted by NFP payrolls. The EUR/USD [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks improve after US holiday, dollar even ahead of US data

Posted on June 1, 2021 at 1:40 pm GMT

Stocks flash risk-on and dollar holds neutral; gold and oil hover near highs Risk-appetite seems to have accumulated after the US Memorial Day holiday with US major indices continuing to improve. The vulnerable dollar remains defenceless receiving no assistance from yields, with the 10-year yield at depressed levels around 1.55%. The dollar index is largely static around 89.85, underperforming against its forex peers. Although the US economy remains robust with rising consumption despite inflation picking up, the news today could [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar continue to rise after core PCE price data

Posted on May 28, 2021 at 1:07 pm GMT

Core PCE data boost dollar The spotlight of the day is the release of the US core PCE price data. The figure for April rose to 3.1% y/y from 2.9% that was the expectation and 1.8% in March. This is the highest since August 1992 and above the Fed’s 2% target for the first time since 2018. PCE is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation so traders watch it closely. Personal income increased to -13.1% from -20.9% previously, while personal [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yields rise ahead of US inflation data; pound jumps on rate hike hint

Posted on May 28, 2021 at 9:13 am GMT

Treasury yields advance on Biden’s $6 trillion budget plan; PCE inflation eyed next But modest gains for dollar as pound spikes after BoE’s Vlieghe hints at 2022 rate hike Stocks head for weekly gains, buoyed by US data and budget proposal, but tech lags Bond yields perk up as big spending back in focus US and global yields look set to end the week on a much firmer note than they started as the prospect of a massive federal budget [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks largely silent, dollar stumbles and yields provide no support

Posted on May 27, 2021 at 1:45 pm GMT

Stocks hint risk absence, dollar loses confidence, GDP and jobless claims draw focus The mood in markets seems to be subdued with major US indices remaining largely unchanged after today’s US GDP and weekly unemployment claims. The dollar seems to be playing defence as the 10-year yield dips to 1.53%. The dollar index is consolidating around the 90.00 mark. The pound has performed well, pivoting around $1.4100 and building strong traction on the dollar’s slight setback. The euro recouped earlier [..]

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US Open Note – Kiwi shines after RBNZ’s hawkish stance; Dollar remains below 109 yen

Posted on May 26, 2021 at 1:00 pm GMT

RBNZ less dovish message drives kiwi up Kiwi is the best performing currency today versus the US dollar, surpassing the 0.7300 handle and recording a fresh three-month high. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) projected a rate hike by September 2022, taking the economy closer to an exit from the pandemic situation. The bank signalled a less dovish message in May, while leaving monetary policy steady, as it revised up its forecasts for inflation higher but lowered them for unemployment. In other commodity [..]

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