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US Open Note – Dollar tumbles after PCE data

Posted on June 25, 2021 at 1:07 pm GMT

Dollar moves south as US futures hold steady Markets drove the dollar even lower after the release of the PCE price index on Friday. During the last couple of days, the dollar index has remained steady just below 92.00. The greenback is falling after the jump above the 111.00 psychological level versus the Japanese yen. US futures are currently trading in green on Friday. The core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation indicator rose by 3.4% y/y, up from 3.1% in the previous month and was in line with expectations. It is the highest reading [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks log slight gains while greenback is unreactive

Posted on June 24, 2021 at 1:52 pm GMT

Stocks glow temporarily and dollar digests US GDP and jobless claims While stocks marginally pick up and the Nasdaq 100 index claims a new all-time high, the threat of rising inflation, associated with supply bottlenecks, continues to be somewhat downplayed. Furthermore, Fed-taper talks are said to be on the horizon, but a far ways down the road, with Fed Chair Powell highlighting that they will not act hastily towards higher interest rates. Today, the 10-year Treasury yield rose slightly to [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar unlocks new yearly high versus yen; oil posts new high

Posted on June 23, 2021 at 12:53 pm GMT

Dollar/yen flies above 111.00; US futures in red As markets wait for US Markit preliminary readings at 13:45 GMT, the dollar is edging higher. After two red days, the dollar index is practically unchanged below 92.00. The US dollar continues to rise versus the Japanese yen, creating new highs for the year, jumping above 111.00. Following Powell’s remarks, stocks rallied; however, US futures are currently trading flat on Wednesday. The single currency is heading above $1.19 but is still stuck [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks stabilize and dollar strength lingers

Posted on June 22, 2021 at 1:41 pm GMT

Stocks level as yields support dollar; eyes on Fed Chair’s testimony US major indices are currently poised after yesterday’s rally that recaptured the ground lost after the Fed’s hawkish shift and indication that tapering is on the horizon, along with two interest rate hikes in 2023. Higher dot plot predictions alongside revised inflation and economic projections have slightly jolted markets. In general markets are reacting to employment and inflation more than other market drivers and risk appetite today appears subdued, [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Fed aftershock deepens in equities but dollar pauses for breath

Posted on June 21, 2021 at 9:09 am GMT

Fed’s normally dovish Bullard sees 2022 rate hike, Wall Street crumbles Rout stretches on but dollar rally eases, gold catches a bid Markets dreading key Fed speakers this week including Powell US yield curve flattens, roils markets The US yield curve flattened further on Monday as investors continued to adjust their rate hike bets, steepening the short end of the curve while pushing long-term borrowing costs sharply lower. Markets are still coming to terms with last week’s FOMC bombshell when [..]

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US Open Note – Markets asleep but ready to decode inflation and FOMC for clues

Posted on June 16, 2021 at 1:40 pm GMT

Stocks ease a bit from highs and dollar remains composed The US major indices are treading water beneath yesterday’s fresh highs, with the Dow Jones Industrial index still lagging behind. Risk appetite seems to be immune to echoes of tapering, and market sentiment remains steady ahead of the upcoming FOMC decision, while US 10-year yields (1.47%) have temporarily eased concerns around inflation pressures. The dollar index is static around the 90.50 mark with the euro ranging around $1.2120 and the [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks keep modest advance, dollar mostly muted    

Posted on June 15, 2021 at 2:23 pm GMT

Stocks tick up, Retail Sales and PPI data mixed US major indices are perky, with the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq 100 tiptoeing to new highs and with the Dow Jones industrial index lagging slightly. Improved market mood and falling yields are not providing any assistance to the greenback. The US 10-year yield has pulled back to 1.44%. The dollar index is in the vicinity of its intra-day high of 90.60, and has recaptured minor strength across its forex [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks brush with highs, dollar flickers green and yields dip

Posted on June 11, 2021 at 1:51 pm GMT

Stocks and dollar climb a tad but market appetite appears muted    Major US indices are holding near their highs with the S&P 500 index nudging up towards yesterday’s intra-day record high as the vibe in markets remains subdued, looking unresponsive to inflation and saturated talk around early tapering. Echoes from yesterday’s ECB meeting and the stronger US inflation results for May (Core CPI at 0.7% m/m and 3.8% y/y) seem to have fallen on deaf ears as a relatively [..]

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US Open Note – US CPI surprise driving dollar higher; Lagarde comments hurt euro

Posted on June 10, 2021 at 1:10 pm GMT

US CPI spike higher than expected Consumer prices in the United States were closely watched today for any clues about a tapering timeline. The headline CPI rose by 5% year-on-year for May, driving the dollar higher. This figure is the highest number since August 2008 amid low base effects from last year. The annual core CPI accelerated to 3.8% from 3.0% while the monthly rate ticked slightly down to 0.7% versus 0.9% previously. The Fed is anticipated to take baby steps towards slowing its bond purchases and the [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar struggles ahead of key data; BoC awaited

Posted on June 9, 2021 at 12:56 pm GMT

Dollar waiting for tomorrow’s US CPI data The US dollar is weaker somewhat today, and Treasury yields were lower as traders wait for the US inflation announcement on Thursday as it may affect the timeline for Federal Reserve discussions on tapering bond purchases and may be a key catalyst for the bond market. Dollar/yen is continuing its selling interest, hovering near 109.37, while the US dollar index is experiencing some losses as well. S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures are signaling a positive open; however, Dow Jones futures are suggesting a negative open. Euro and pound take some positive steps The [..]

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