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US Open Note – Stocks dip from record highs and dollar soars after CPI beat

Posted on July 13, 2021 at 1:50 pm GMT

Markets digest key US inflation data Market composure and the subdued volatility in the forex arena quickly faded as today’s US CPI data beat expectations. US major indices dived from their tops as much stronger inflation figures jolted markets, causing jitters in the currency markets as well, shaping into dollar-driven volatility throughout the forex arena. It will be interesting to see the rhetoric in Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony in the coming days relating to the recovery, price pressures and [..]

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street hits record before earnings kickoff, dollar holds firm

Posted on July 13, 2021 at 9:14 am GMT

Earnings optimism drives US equities to fresh record highs ahead of bank results Risk appetite still shaky in FX markets, dollar and yen resist deeper selloff US inflation data and Powell testimony will be key in directing sentiment Wall Street rallies as reopening boost eyed It’s the start of the second quarter earnings season and optimism is running high that the reopening of the US economy will power corporate earnings to new peaks. The new season will properly kick off [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar soars ahead of busy week; commodities ease

Posted on July 12, 2021 at 12:35 pm GMT

Dollar’s strong move drives euro lower Ahead of a busy week, the dollar is moving higher against a basket of currencies. Dollar/yen is holding above the 110.00 handle, developing within the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs), while US futures are mixed before the market opens. Euro/dollar is slipping below the 1.1850 level as ECB President Lagarde warned investors to expect new monetary stimulus guidelines in the next ten days and hinted that more measures to help the euro-area economy may [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks remain upbeat and dollar stabilizes

Posted on July 7, 2021 at 1:52 pm GMT

Softened market mood prepares for US job openings and Fed minutes The Nasdaq 100 remains comfortably at its highs, while the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Index have largely recouped the minor setback related to yesterday’s ISM PMI data. Markets have calmed and the dollar index is consolidating around 92.50, following its latest gains. The minor cooling of the US economy along with 10-year yields dropping to 1.30% have barely hurt the dollar. That said, four straight months [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks tread water around highs and dollar ticks up

Posted on July 6, 2021 at 2:31 pm GMT

Markets process June ISM services PMI Markets seem somewhat muted around their highs after Friday’s mixed payrolls report but the greenback’s demeanour has strengthened slightly. Although global recoveries are on the right path, markets continue to try and clearly decipher the plans or approaching plans of central banks gradually ending accommodative policy. The dollar index has improved to 92.40, while the euro and sterling faded from their intraday highs but held above the $1.1800 and $1.3800 borders. Spikes in infections [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar slips as NFP report is mixed

Posted on July 2, 2021 at 1:04 pm GMT

Dollar dives after NFP report; unemployment rate advances to 5.9% The US payrolls figure has stolen the attention of traders today as has taken the markets by surprise. The dollar lost some ground after the publication of the non-farm payrolls report, falling near 111.30 against the yen after a strong bullish start towards 111.70 earlier in the day. The US dollar index is moving lower after it topped at 92.74 during the release, while S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 futures and Dow Jones are recording new [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks near highs; dollar’s radar locked on payrolls          

Posted on July 1, 2021 at 1:56 pm GMT

Markets tense prior to US Manufacturing PMI and ahead of NFP payrolls Yesterday’s stronger ADP employment numbers floated the dollar index up, reaching an intra-day high of 92.50 and now investors’ focus is locked on Friday’s NFP payrolls report, to underpin the greenback. Currently, the 10-year yields are at 1.43%, not aiding the dollar much. It remains to be seen if the US ISM Manufacturing PMI will also beat forecasts of 61.0 for June, which could help the dollar counter [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar continues to move north after ADP release

Posted on June 30, 2021 at 1:03 pm GMT

The dollar held on to recent gains as virus concerns arose in a market already on edge before the NFP report on Friday that is considered as critical to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook. Any clues about labor market strength might put more worries on the Fed to move faster on interest rate hikes, potentially lifting the dollar, while data that falls short of expectations could put the currency at risk. In June, private businesses in the US recruited 692,000 workers, down from 978 [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks near highs and dollar flickers green on hawkish Fed rhetoric

Posted on June 29, 2021 at 1:52 pm GMT

Markets prepare to digest Lagarde’s speech and US consumer confidence data After Friday’s weaker than expected PCE inflation, and expected tapering talk over the summer, not to mention yesterday’s confident tone from Fed officials around their inflation goal, the main focus will turn to Friday’s payrolls report for clues in the labour sector. 10-year yields are at 1.48% and the dollar index is prodding above the 92.00 mark as the greenback’s reach is being felt across the forex arena, subduing [..]

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US Open Note – Markets are calm ahead of data exposure later this week

Posted on June 28, 2021 at 12:41 pm GMT

Dollar flirts with 111 yen; euro retreats near $1.19 as greenback gains ground It’s been a quiet start to the week as the greenback is trying to improve its long-term structure with all the attention turning on the NFP report on Friday. The dollar is heading north just below 111.00 versus the Japanese yen, while the dollar index is finding a restrictive support at the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) near 91.50. The euro is holding near $1.19 for the fourth day in a row but [..]

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