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US Open Note – Stocks muted near highs, dollar firms

Posted on July 28, 2021 at 1:16 pm GMT

Markets prepare for FOMC release Yesterday’s consumer confidence for July ticked only marginally higher from June confirming optimism in the US, however, the dollar index weakened slightly, before stabilizing around the 92.50 level ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Expectations are that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will once again be watchful of his rhetoric towards tapering of asset purchases and the timeline and commencement of such actions. Markets will also be ready to digest any clues from [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks drift at record highs and dollar loses some resilience

Posted on July 27, 2021 at 1:35 pm GMT

Markets freeze as Fed meeting underway; US Consumer Confidence ahead It seems continued selling in Chinese tech giants has somewhat hampered risk appetite, which has been further muted as investors hold a cautious stance awaiting the conclusion of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting tomorrow. The Fed is faced with a slightly more difficult task in this meeting as it will have to expand on the delta variant’s impact over bond yields as opposed to the outlook on rising prices, not [..]

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US Open Note – Calm day ahead of busy week; US futures are flat

Posted on July 26, 2021 at 12:58 pm GMT

Quiet day ahead of Fed meeting this week The US dollar has a negative momentum ahead of the FOMC meeting this current week. US 10-year treasury yields declined to a record low of 1.13% before recovering to 1.20 driving the dollar index down to 92.70. Dollar/yen is holding near 110.30 and is currently red, while US futures are neutral. The Fed meeting will focus on the concerns about the economy and the expectation is to tread carefully on the path [..]

Daily Market Comment – US equities shine ahead of Fed but caution prevails elsewhere

Posted on July 26, 2021 at 8:57 am GMT

Wall Street rallies on strong earnings even as US Covid hospitalizations surge Caution is the order of the day elsewhere as Delta and growth fears linger Dollar starts Fed week on steady note but yen and gold inch higher, yields slip again US stocks ride high; can anything spoil the fun? Wall Street ended Friday in a euphoric mood as Q2 earnings continued to beat expectations, but trading has gotten off to a much more cautious start on Monday, with [..]

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US Open Note – Markets recoup and dollar stays upbeat

Posted on July 21, 2021 at 1:44 pm GMT

Markets retain buoyancy as forex arena looks to ECB decision The domino effect from the latest delta variant shock around infection spikes seems to have been short lived as US major indices today continued to recoup recently surrendered ground. Concerns after the initial jolt to markets around the virus rhetoric seem to have subsided somewhat. The US dollar index seems cemented around its recent highs and the pickup in the 10-year yield to 1.24% may be aiding the reserve currency [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks gain some footing; coronavirus dejavu-jitters linger

Posted on July 20, 2021 at 2:02 pm GMT

Stocks adjust to delta trauma while dollar holds firm Markets seem to be gradually regaining consciousness from yesterday’s risk-off blow even as yields are on the back foot. That said, the US recovery is clearly ahead of other lagging economies and may start to make headways again as uncertainty and delta variant related concerns start to establish themselves elsewhere. The dollar index is flirting with the 93.00 mark and is holding up fairly well in the forex arena despite the [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar rises further after retail sales; kiwi is notably up

Posted on July 16, 2021 at 1:02 pm GMT

Dollar continues to gain momentum as retail sales rise The US dollar is attempting to move higher against a basket of major currencies with US stock futures recovering some of yesterday’s losses. Dollar/yen is advancing above the 110.00 round number, surpassing the 40-day simple moving average (SMA) as retail sales for June gained 0.6% from the previous month, following a revised 1.7% drop in May and significantly outperforming market estimates of a 0.4% drop. Also, the Bank of Japan did not make any policy [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks sluggish at highs and dollar returns to yesterday’s levels

Posted on July 15, 2021 at 1:15 pm GMT

Stocks ease a tad ahead of Fed Chairman Powell’s upcoming comments The poker face of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve seems to still have markets convinced that inflation is transitory, after delivering rhetoric of a cautious but dovish nature yesterday in his remarks. Nonetheless, the Fed’s goal of stronger employment is clear as are their enduring asset purchases. That said, the FOMC debate around asset-purchases will intensify moving into the year as the US economy grows stronger. It remains [..]

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US Open Note – Greenback extends pullback before Powell’s testimony

Posted on July 14, 2021 at 1:02 pm GMT

Dollar declines ahead of Powell’s testimony Fed Chair Powell will today testify in front of the House, and tomorrow, he will testify in front of the Senate. Right now, his opinions are well-known and is expected to keep QE as open-ended as possible, but if the US data continues to heat up, the expectation is that something more conclusive will come at either the August Jackson Hole Symposium or the September 21-22 FOMC meeting. Fed Governor Daly stated yesterday that it is time to talk about tapering, and [..]

Daily Market Comment – US CPI spikes again, dollar rallies; kiwi surges too after RBNZ ends QE

Posted on July 14, 2021 at 8:59 am GMT

US inflation jumps again, sending stocks spinning and dollar and yields flying RBNZ shocks by halting bond purchases, kiwi soars as August rate hike eyed Powell testimony in the spotlight as Fed’s patience put to the test Markets settle down after another CPI shock Annual inflation in the United States hit a fresh 13-year high of 5.4% in June, surpassing the top estimates and casting doubt on the Fed’s narrative that this inflationary episode will be transitory. Month-on-month, both the [..]

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