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US30

Daily Market Comment – Muted jubilation as Evergrande makes debt payment

Posted on October 22, 2021 at 9:14 am GMT

Relief as Evergrande averts default but China’s property woes not over Stocks mostly up but gains are modest as tech weighs Dollar hovers in recent range, eyes Powell speech for direction Commodity dollars bounce back, flash PMIs support euro and pound Evergrande interest payment calms nerves, slightly Embattled property giant, Evergrande, has reportedly paid its overdue interest on dollar-denominated bonds amounting to $83.5 million following weeks of speculation about its finances. Markets were taken by surprise from the news as [..]

Daily Market Comment – Evergrande jitters return, yen climbs, dollar steady

Posted on October 21, 2021 at 9:10 am GMT

Evergrande shares plunge after sale of unit falls through, mood sours in equities Treasury yields ease back as Fed dampens early rate hike talk Yen bounces back, dollar edges up but commodity currencies take a tumble Stocks under pressure as Evergrande default risks grow Equity markets were feeling the strain of a fresh panic about China’s heavily indebted property sector after troubled real estate giant – Evergrande – told investors that the sale of its property services unit for $2.6 [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks buoyant, dollar slips and gold improves

Posted on October 19, 2021 at 1:55 pm GMT

Sentiment upbeat as US yields retreat; FOMC speakers to draw focus The recent climb in US stocks appears supported by gains in the technology and communication service sectors. Moreover, expectations of strong earnings and the stabilization in longer-term yields, after a drop, are not aiding the greenback. Despite the pickup in sentiment, inflationary concerns and the energy crisis seem to be risks that may drag on for a while longer. The dollar index surrendered ground from the 94.00 mark down [..]

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US Open Note – Yen still plunges; oil heads towards $82.00

Posted on October 15, 2021 at 1:07 pm GMT

Dollar index on mute today; US retail sales surprised The dollar index is hovering around 94.00 today, following two red days; however, dollar/yen is heading sharply higher towards a fresh three-year high around 114.20 due to a weakened Japanese yen. US retail sales unexpectedly rose 0.7% for September versus an upwardly revised 0.9% the prior month. A dovish Bank of Japan and growing 2-year U.S.-Japan rate differentials continue to be important factors. US futures are suggesting another positive day, after strong earnings releases. The single currency [..]

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Technical Analysis – US 30 index steers above 35,000; sentiment upbeat

Posted on October 15, 2021 at 11:44 am GMT

The US 30 stock index’s (Cash) two day aggressive rally from 34,111 is heading for the 35,113-35,200 resistance border, after piloting above all the simple moving averages (SMAs). The upturns in the 50- and 100-period SMAs are reflecting the sudden rise in intensity of positive impetus, following a period of consolidation in the index. Convincing directional drive has ceased and this is being conveyed in the short-term oscillators. The MACD is strengthening in the positive region, while the RSI has [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks buoyant, dollar flashes green and commodities resilient

Posted on October 14, 2021 at 1:55 pm GMT

Market sentiment intact after cheery jobless claims and miss in US PPI Sentiment remains upbeat as US stock futures are extending their recent buoyancy after a drop in longer-term yields. The Fed’s meeting minutes published yesterday echoed the recent hawkish rhetoric, signalling that the taper timeline is likely to begin before the end of the year and fuelling expectations of an earlier rate hike. However, investors are now eyeing a lower terminal rate as a result of earlier action by [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar remains stable after CPI and before FOMC Minutes

Posted on October 13, 2021 at 1:11 pm GMT

US CPI data jumps to 13-year high; dollar still firm The main event today was the release of the US CPI data ahead of the FOMC minutes later in the session. The annual inflation rate increased to a 13-year high of 5.4%, up from 5.3% in August and beyond market estimates of 5.3%. Consumer prices increased by 0.4% monthly, slightly exceeding predictions of 0.3%. The dollar seems to be keeping its recent gains. USD/JPY is holding below the 34-month high of 113.70. However, the euro is recouping some losses, trading near $1.1565, after [..]

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US Open Note – Sentiment hushed as durable dollar climbs with yields

Posted on October 12, 2021 at 2:29 pm GMT

Markets look for clues in JOLTS data and FOMC speeches The current market picture is one of stubborn inflation, rising yields, and expectations of a nearing Fed announcement of the taper timeline, specifically in the November FOMC meeting. Global growth has somewhat slowed as the consequences from the energy crisis hamper economies. That said, markets will try to extract clues from Fed speakers over the week especially after the disappointing NFP payrolls from Friday. Rising yields are aiding the earlier [..]

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US Open Note – Yen is in vertical fall; oil surpasses $82

Posted on October 11, 2021 at 12:57 pm GMT

Yen plunges driving dollar/yen sharply higher As a new week begins, the yen continues to plunge, pushed lower by a comeback in Asian stocks despite a rise in Japanese yields. Indeed, the 10-year JGB yield, which is currently at 0.093%, is on its way to 0.1%. The pound is currently the strongest, thanks to hawkish statements from Bank of England officials over the weekend. The Australian Dollar is closely following, and it is leading other commodity currencies higher as well. The US dollar index is weakening, [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks slip again, and greenback remains buoyant

Posted on October 6, 2021 at 1:43 pm GMT

Risk appetite absent as dollar resilient after ADP jobs data Risk sentiment remains somewhat suppressed today, while rising US yields and growing inflationary pressures have kept the advance in the reserve currency buoyant. Yesterday’s reading of 53.0 in the ISM services PMI’s employment component, may have assisted today’s upbeat ADP employment data, which showed private non-farm payrolls rising by 568K, beating the forecast of 425K. Stubbornly high inflation and a strong NFP number could provide fuel for the Fed to [..]

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