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Volatility skyrockets in FX and stock markets – Volatility Watch

Posted on June 18, 2024 at 10:16 am GMT

Euro and pound pairs are very volatile but for different reasons Volatility is extremely low in the commodity sphere US and global equities exhibit volatility jump, Bitcoin seems quiet Volatility in euro crosses has picked up as the region suffers from political instability following the EU elections and fears of a renewed debt crisis. Also, pound pairs are very volatile ahead of the May UK CPI report on Wednesday and BoE rate decision on Thursday. In commodities, gold and silver have been exhibiting low volatility amid a period of rangebound [..]

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Can stocks keep defying gravity? – Stock Markets

Posted on June 13, 2024 at 11:25 am GMT

US stock indices sail towards successive record highs Hawkish Fed doesn’t scare bulls as volatility remains inexistent Valuations are historically stretched but earnings keep growing   High after high All major US indices are having an astonishing year, recording consecutive all-time highs as the economy seems more and more likely to achieve a soft-landing. It has been more than 20 months now since the stock market experienced a sizable correction, but the bulls appear unhindered. Lately, stocks seem to have [..]

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Volatility surges across the board – Volatility Watch

Posted on June 11, 2024 at 9:46 am GMT

Forex pairs are very volatile after strong NFP report Volatility in gold and silver ticks up, oil swims in calm waters US equities exhibit volatility jump amid correction fears Volatility in dollar crosses has picked up as the stronger-than-expected NFP report dialed back rate cut expectations, while investors are bracing for the FOMC meeting and the CPI print later this week. Euro pairs are in a similar position after the EU elections sparked a wave of politically instability across major countries like France and Belgium. In commodities, gold and silver have [..]

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Technical Analysis – US 100 index again in the green

Posted on June 5, 2024 at 8:42 am GMT

US 100 index edges higher, not far from its all-time high Volatility drops ahead of some key US data Momentum indicators could be turning bearish The US 100 cash index is in the green again today, trading a tad below its recent all-time high of 18,494 and recouping a good part of last week’s losses. Monday’s weak US data prints have boosted expectations for a Fed rate cut ahead of the November elections, with the US stock indices now focusing on [..]

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Is the equity market headed for a summer rally? – Stock Markets

Posted on June 4, 2024 at 2:56 pm GMT

S&P 500 finishes May 4.8% higher in an overall solid year Rally could resume as rate cuts are just around the corner Valuations remain stretched but earnings beat estimates   Stocks defy seasonality and strive for summer rally The S&P 500 index clocked its best May performance since 2020 in an overall strong year for equity markets. All three major US indices have recorded consecutive record highs in 2024 even though US Treasury yields are significantly higher compared to the [..]

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Technical Analysis – US 100 stock index might lose more in short-term

Posted on May 31, 2024 at 1:45 pm GMT

US 100 index starts a new bearish phase, tests 20-day SMA More losses likely below 18,467; Long-term uptrend solid above 17,760 US core PCE inflation index flat at 2.8% y/y; personal spending eases    The US 100 stock index gave back last week’s gains to trade near the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at 18,465 after its record rally flatlined near the 18,880 bar. The short-term outlook looks gloomy, as the momentum indicators trend down, reflecting some skepticism among traders. [..]

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US stock markets rally but volatility plunges – Stock Markets

Posted on May 29, 2024 at 11:42 am GMT

Wall Street remains buoyant near record highs Solid Q1 earnings aid, focus shifts on inflation and Fed outlook Volatility remains historically low as bears get repeatedly burned Stock rally shows no signs of easing This year has been sensational for the US equity markets as macroeconomic data out of the US have been constantly reinforcing the soft-landing narrative. The three major US indices have stormed to consecutive record highs despite market expectations shifting from six cuts in the beginning of [..]

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Low volatility across the board besides Bitcoin – Volatility Watch

Posted on May 28, 2024 at 9:34 am GMT

Forex pairs in a relatively quiet mood Volatility in Bitcoin and silver skyrockets US equities enjoy low volatility despite rally to record highs Euro/dollar volatility has dropped aggressively over the past week as markets are bracing for inflation data both from the US and Eurozone this week. Similarly, volatility in yen crosses remains muted even though the Japanese currency is trading near historical lows against its major peers, while the latest downbeat inflation data out of Japan could ignite some volatility moving forward. In [..]

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Equities rally as US data softens – Stock Markets

Posted on May 16, 2024 at 12:53 pm GMT

US stock indices reach new highs as chances of a Fed rate cut jump Extra focus on US retailers’ earnings Utility stocks record the strongest monthly rally since 2022 Could US car manufacturers benefit from the new EV tariffs? Equity markets continue their advance boosted by the softer US data. In particular, Wednesday’s weaker US inflation report is keeping the door firmly open to a Fed rate cut during the summer, supporting the current risk appetite, despite the fact that [..]

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Technical Analysis – Is US 100 setting course for new record highs?

Posted on April 30, 2024 at 12:28 pm GMT

US 100 enters recovery mode, stays above uptrend line MACD and RSI suggest that momentum may turn positive A break above 18,350 will take the index into uncharted territory A break below 15,700 may turn the broader outlook bearish The US 100 cash index entered a recovery mode last week, after hitting support near the 16,980 zone. Overall, the index is trading above a long-term uptrend line drawn from the low of January 6, 2023, as well as above its [..]

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