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Technical Analysis – US 100 index explores bullish breakout

Posted on October 23, 2020 at 12:06 pm GMT

The US 100 stock index (cash) resumed this week’s sideways move within the 11,619 and 11,743 boundaries, represented by the 61.8% and 50% Fibonacci levels of the rally that started from 11,212, despite briefly tumbling to a two-week low of 10,743. The 100-period simple moving average (SMA) on the four-hour chart is currently keeping the price under control, and more importantly, near the surface of the descending channel, suggesting that this could be a make or break point for the market. With [..]

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street storms back, but currencies don’t play along

Posted on October 16, 2020 at 8:30 am GMT

US stocks trim losses, close almost unchanged as Trump hints at higher stimulus offer Yet, the currency arena doesn’t get the memo – dollar holds onto gains Most likely just a reflection of euro and sterling weakness Coming up: US retail sales today, New Zealand election over the weekend Equity and currency markets dance to different tunes Global markets are torn between conflicting narratives, with fears around new virus restrictions in Europe that could cripple the recovery being mostly neutralized [..]

Daily Market Comment – Sentiment sours as stimulus talks stall, virus cases surge

Posted on October 15, 2020 at 8:05 am GMT

Stocks retreat, dollar goes nowhere as Mnuchin plays down pre-election stimulus European covid cases go through the roof, but euro stands its ground UK signals it won’t abandon Brexit talks this week, pound jumps Aussie slides after RBA Governor fuels speculation for rate cut Stimulus talks stall, markets fall Global equity markets continue to correct lower, with the major US indices sliding yesterday and Asian bourses being a sea of red on Thursday, as the chances of a US relief [..]

Daily Market Comment – Lockdown fears running wild

Posted on October 14, 2020 at 8:01 am GMT

Dollar comes back to life as euro and sterling feel the lockdown blues Little progress in US stimulus talks also supports dollar, pressures stocks Overall, plenty of risks out there being ignored by investors? Lockdown blues hammer euro and pound The European virus situation is getting worse by the day, with a surge in new cases and hospitalizations across the continent forcing many nations to go back into partial lockdown so that healthcare systems are not overwhelmed. The Netherlands announced [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks and currencies tell a conflicting story

Posted on October 13, 2020 at 9:46 am GMT

Equities cruise higher, back within breathing distance of record highs But FX doesn’t play ball – yen climbs, commodity currencies underperform Euro headed for trouble amid high infections and growth worries Today: US inflation data coming up, earnings season resumes Currencies don’t play along with stock rally The US stock market rallied furiously on Monday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 gaining 3.1% to come within breathing distance of its recent record highs, propelled higher by the likes of Apple (+6.4%) [..]

Daily Market Comment – Equities recover as Trump keeps stimulus hopes alive

Posted on October 5, 2020 at 8:44 am GMT

Sentiment recovers on signs that stimulus deal is still in play Stocks rebound alongside crude oil, Japanese yen and gold retreat Markets to stay focused on ultimate game of ‘Deal or No Deal’ Coming up: ISM non-manufacturing and RBA policy decision Markets take solace from signs stimulus is coming Global markets opened on a cheerful note on Monday, emboldened by hopes that a relief package deal can still be brokered in America and that President Trump’s health is improving. The [..]

Is the stock market in a bubble? – Special Report

Posted on September 18, 2020 at 11:57 am GMT

The US stock market has staged a meteoric comeback, raising concerns about whether we are experiencing an asset bubble in the middle of a recession. While there is clearly a sharp disconnect between markets and economic reality, there are good reasons why. In short, central banks have killed bonds, and stocks are the only game in town. Even if this is a bubble, it could keep going for a long time in a world where the virus may be defeated [..]

Daily Market Comment – Investors heartbroken after Fed fires a blank, BoE next

Posted on September 17, 2020 at 8:23 am GMT

Fed commits to inflation overshooting regime, but delivers no new measures Dollar grinds higher, stocks in agony as investors expected heavier artillery Yet, this is probably not a game changer in the bigger picture Attention now turns to the Bank of England decision today Fed takes a small step back, markets throw a tantrum It was another eventful FOMC meeting. The Fed officially embraced its new inflation overshoot regime, albeit not unanimously. The vote was 8-2, with Kaplan and Kashkari [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets hold their breath ahead of Fed decision

Posted on September 16, 2020 at 8:03 am GMT

Spotlight falls on the Fed today: will it deliver new measures to boost inflation? Bank of Japan meets a few hours later, not much is expected Otherwise muted moves across markets as investors await FOMC direction Fed: Justifying the paradigm shift The main event today will be the FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT, which will be followed by the regular press conference by Chairman Powell half an hour later. The Fed is certain to use this meeting as a public [..]

Daily Market Comment – Another dose of vaccine optimism calms market nerves

Posted on September 14, 2020 at 8:35 am GMT

Positive vaccine headlines bolster global risk sentiment Suga set to become Japan’s new leader – general election imminent? Sterling recovers amid calmer market tones, looks to Parliament Vaccine news breathes life back into stocks, dollar sleepy Wall Street hit a rough patch last week, as investors finally paused to assess the utopian valuations in the tech sector. Vanishing hopes for a new relief package out of Washington D.C. and news that some coronavirus vaccines might be delayed because of safety [..]

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