All Articles Tagged - US100cash

US Open Note – Market sentiment remains fragile as investors eye Ukraine escalation

Posted on February 17, 2022 at 1:37 pm GMT

Dollar stuck between opposing directional forces The ongoing tensions between Ukraine and Russia continue to be the main driving force behind market moves today as yesterday’s signs of de-escalation have completely evaporated. Specifically, the two sides are exchanging accusations over violations of ceasefire near the Eastern-Ukrainian borders, triggering risk-off sentiment in the markets. However, the dollar is trading flat on the day, failing to capitalize on the increasing risk aversion. Apart from this, the cautiously hawkish FOMC minutes released yesterday, alongside the retreat in US Treasury yields today seem [..]

US Open Note – Risk sentiment improves on Russia-Ukraine de-escalation signs

Posted on February 15, 2022 at 1:59 pm GMT

Dollar retreats but risk-sensitive currencies shine on geopolitics The latest geopolitical developments seem to be the main market-moving factor in today’s trading session. Specifically, Russia announced that several military drills near the Ukrainian border have ended and some troops have already returned to their military bases on the mainland. This headline relieved investors’ fears about a severe military confrontation and triggered a solid rebound in risky assets while causing a sell-off in traditional safe havens. Following that news, the dollar started [..]

US Open Note – The ‘hot’ US inflation figures rattle the markets

Posted on February 11, 2022 at 1:39 pm GMT

CPI figures drive interest rate speculation The US consumer price index (CPI) climbed to 7.5% year-over-year in January, accelerating from the previous reading of 7%. The core measure also topped consensus expectations rising to 6%, marking its largest annual gain since 1982. Commenting soon after yesterday’s inflation data release, the FOMC voting member James Bullard called for a full percentage rate hike by July, noting that he would also be open for an inter-meeting rate increase. The hotter-than-expected inflation readings fuelled speculation for a [..]

US Open Note – US inflation hits fastest pace in four decades

Posted on February 10, 2022 at 2:27 pm GMT

CPI data come in ‘hot’; dollar surges US inflation for January has reached its highest level since February 1982, with the headline CPI rate coming hotter-than-expected at 7.5%. The core CPI measure rose to 6% from 5.5% y/y, while the m/m number came in at 0.6% compared to consensus estimates of 0.5%. The elevated readings could further increase bets for more aggressive interest rate hikes, inducing more volatility into the stock and bond markets. In the aftermath of the inflation data [..]

Will the stock market crash? Maybe not – Special Report

Posted on February 10, 2022 at 12:59 pm GMT

The threat of rising interest rates has returned to haunt stock markets. With the Fed going to war against inflation, traders are worried the era of easy money is coming to an end. As a result, volatility has gone through the roof and valuation multiples have compressed, decimating the most ‘bubbly’ pockets of the market. The turbulence is likely to continue, but with the economy still in good shape and buybacks going strong, this storm could ultimately be a gift [..]

Technical Analysis – US 100 index rangebound but downside risks remain

Posted on February 8, 2022 at 10:37 am GMT

The US 100 stock index (cash) has been experiencing a minor pullback after its recent short-term rebound failed to strengthen. However, in the last few four-hour sessions, the price is moving without a clear direction, pivoting near its 50-period simple moving average (SMA). The momentum indicators suggest that near-term risks are tilted to the downside. The RSI is flatlining in the negative zone, while the MACD histogram is found below both zero and its red signal line. Should the bearish forces [..]

Weekly Comment – US inflation and GDP data from the UK in the spotlight

Posted on February 4, 2022 at 3:02 pm GMT

The European Central Bank made a hawkish shift after inflation in the monetary union surged to 5.1% in January. President Christine Lagarde refused to rule out interest rate hikes for 2022, bolstering the euro. In the upcoming week, US inflation and preliminary GDP data from the UK will take center stage, together with speeches from the governors of the BoE and BoC. Highlights: In America, inflation data for January will hit the markets on Thursday, with pricing pressures expected to [..]

US Open Note – Euro remains afloat above 1.14 after impressive NFP data; oil fires up

Posted on February 4, 2022 at 3:01 pm GMT

Euro survives NFP surprise The euro had been dancing to the ECB’s hawkish beats on Friday until the US nonfarm payroll report came to put the brakes on its dynamic rally, but the common currency managed to remain afloat. Following a bitter contraction in ADP private employment figures, analysts believed that their forecasts for a 150k growth were too optimistic for the month of January. Yet, the government’s first monthly comprehensive employment stats of 2022 revealed that the US economy is [..]

US Open Note – Euro in lively bullish party after ECB; BoE fails to boost pound after rate hike

Posted on February 3, 2022 at 2:27 pm GMT

Bank of England hikes rates Abandoning its communication fiasco of late last year, the Bank of England (BoE) delivered its first back-to-back rate increase in almost two decades, lifting interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.50% as widely expected. Consistent with its guidance, the committee also judged that it should cease reinvesting the maturing government bond purchases of its portfolio in a gradual and predictable manner, reiterating that it would initiate the process of selling (quantitative tightening) once the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Euro gets some relief, stocks rip higher

Posted on February 1, 2022 at 9:52 am GMT

Euro bounces back as markets price in more ECB tightening Stock markets power higher, has the storm passed? Aussie unscathed by RBA, earnings season continues Euro recovers Market participants are raising their bets that the European Central Bank will hike interest rates this year. A quarter-point rate increase has been fully baked into money markets after data showed that German inflationary pressures are not cooling, despite recent covid restrictions and fading effects from an increase in sales taxes last year. [..]

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