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US Open Preview – Euro on slippery road; US core PCE inflation next in focus

Posted on September 28, 2018 at 11:49 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The dollar maintained yesterday’s impressive rally against the Japanese yen, consolidating gains around 113.34 as the US confirmed a strong 4.2% q/q GDP growth in the second quarter, the highest since Q2 2016, signaling further rate hikes in the future. Monthly US durable goods orders printed a sharper increase in August than analysts thought, adding further spark to the greenback on Thursday. The dollar index head up to 95.28 (+0.41%) as the pound and [..]

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US Open Preview – Euro eyes Italian budget meeting; German CPI & central bank speeches awaited

Posted on September 27, 2018 at 11:29 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The dollar flattened around 112.72 versus the yen early in the European session, while relative to six major currencies the greenback was in a better position, gaining 0.36% on the back of a weaker euro and pound. Euro/dollar was struggling to recoup earlier losses triggered by news that the Italian budget meeting may be postponed. Following the worrying news, however, the Prime Minister’s office confirmed that discussions will be held today (see below). As for data releases [..]

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US Open Preview – Dollar spikes above 113 versus yen ahead of FOMC decision; kiwi awaits RBNZ rate announcement too

Posted on September 26, 2018 at 10:56 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: Major currencies were trading in narrow ranges as traders were waiting for the FOMC policymakers to conclude their two-day policy meeting later on Wednesday with another rate hike on the cards. But more importantly they are interested to learn what are the central bank’s new economic forecasts and whether the monetary committee continues to see three rate rises for next year amid escalated trade tensions and a strongly growing US economy. Dollar/yen managed to touch 113.02, posting [..]

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US Open Preview – Pound best performer on MPC Vlieghe’s rate forecasts

Posted on September 25, 2018 at 11:17 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The Japanese yen remained under pressure versus the US dollar as the 10-year US government bond yields reached fresh 4 ½-year highs at 3.10%. Dollar/yen returned to 112.88 (+0.08%) after peaking as high as 112.96 early today, the highest since July 19, while the dollar index stood flat at 94.16. Following somewhat dovish comments by the ECB chief economist Peter Praet, euro/dollar dropped to a low of 1.1731 before crawling up to 1.1762 (+0.12%). [..]

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US Open Preview – Pound rallies as UK’s Raab eases Brexit fears; Oil gains the most

Posted on September 24, 2018 at 11:56 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: After China canceled planned trade talks with the US on Saturday and new import tariffs took effect, Chinese officials reiterated on Monday that Beijing is ready for a new round of negotiations only if the talks are based on mutual respect. Investors, though, remained positive on the dollar as they widely expected the Fed to shrug off trade risks and deliver another 25 bps rate hike on Wednesday, with dollar/yen trading higher but only modestly [..]

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European Open Preview – Dollar modestly up; sentiment sours as China cancels trade talks

Posted on September 24, 2018 at 7:41 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The dollar index – which tracks the greenback’s performance against a basket of six major currencies – is higher on Monday (+0.12%), looking set to extend the gains it recorded in the previous session. The safe-haven yen is also a little higher while risk-sensitive currencies such as the aussie and kiwi are lower, following news that China won’t attend the trade talks it had planned with the US. In the UK, the [..]

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US Open Preview – European equities march higher as dollar consolidates losses; Canadian data in focus

Posted on September 21, 2018 at 12:12 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The dollar’s index against a basket of six major currencies traded higher by 0.1% after touching its lowest since early July of 93.81 earlier on Friday. Still, the index mostly consolidated yesterday’s considerable losses. Dollar-advancing on Friday was most evident against the yen and sterling. The former, unable to attract safe-haven flows, took a beating lately. Evidently, dollar/yen, euro/yen and pound/yen scaled two-, five- and four-month highs on Friday; the latter [..]

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US Open Preview – Pound shines after unexpected rise in retail sales

Posted on September 20, 2018 at 12:14 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: British retail sales beat expectations today rising by 0.3% m/m in August, above the -0.2% forecasted, from 0.9% m/m in the preceding month. Yearly, retail sales advanced by 3.5% instead of 2.5% predicted and versus 3.8% in July, driving pound/dollar higher by 1.10% to a fresh 2-month high of 1.3288. Also, pound/yen advanced by 0.96%, jumping above 148.00. In Brexit-related news, the Irish RTE media reported that May sees no deal before October’s EU regular [..]

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US Open Preview – Pound reverses gains on Irish border headlines despite stronger inflation; SNB rate decision pending

Posted on September 19, 2018 at 12:00 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: In the wake of upbeat UK inflation readings, sterling advanced considerably against the greenback to an 8-week high of 1.3214. The Consumer price index rose to an annual rate of 2.7% from 2.5% in the previous month and comfortably above market expectations of 2.4%. It was the highest inflation rate since February. On a monthly basis, the figure inched up by 0.7% versus 0.0% previously, while the annual core CPI ticked higher to 2.1% [..]

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US Open Preview – Dollar holds onto gains despite China’s warnings; BoJ rate decision in focus

Posted on September 18, 2018 at 11:34 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The US dollar moved higher by 0.26% against the Japanese yen but held below its intraday high of 112.27, while the US dollar index edged marginally higher by 0.09%. US President Donald Trump announced yesterday that his country will impose a 10% tariff on $200bn of Chinese goods from September 24 as was widely anticipated. As of January 1, 2019, those tariffs will be raised to 25%. Euro/dollar erased earlier gains to return to 1.1682, [..]

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