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UK100

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Technical Analysis – UK100 stock index struggles near 6 ½-month lows; risk skewed to the downside

Posted on October 15, 2018 at 8:31 am GMT

UK100 stock index (FTSE 100) has been under severe pressure over the past two weeks, tumbling to a 6 ½-month low of 6920.60 last Thursday. While the MACD and the RSI have somewhat improved in the four-hour chart, with the former gaining strength above its red signal line and the latter inching above its 30 oversold threshold, chances for downside corrections remain high as both indicators continue to hold well into the bearish territory; the MACD far below zero and [..]

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US Open Preview – Euro, pound erase gains; equities take off as risk-off recedes

Posted on October 12, 2018 at 11:45 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: Dollar/yen moved off one-month lows, trading marginally up at 112.32 (+0.13%) as US 10-year Treasury yields slightly rebounded despite US President’s criticism on monetary policy and as risk aversion eased. Trade fears also somewhat calmed down after Chinese exports in September surprised analysts, showing a double-digit growth of 14.5% y/y, the highest since February, while imports appeared weaker than expected. News that the US and the Chinese President could hold a meeting in November and headlines [..]

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US Open Preview – Dollar cautious ahead of US CPI; Europe joins in global stock sell-off

Posted on October 11, 2018 at 11:14 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: Dollar/yen was barely moving around 112.22 after dropping to 111.95 early on Thursday as US 10-year Treasury yields weakened to 3.15% from 3.24% on Wednesday. Trade worries were also weighing on investors appetite despite China’s Commerce Ministry saying Beijing is open for dialogue with Washington. US CPI figures later today could bring fresh waves of volatility to the greenback (see below). The dollar index was struggling too at 95.32 (-0.20%) on the [..]

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US Open Preview – Brexit hopes hold pound up; US PPI in focus

Posted on October 10, 2018 at 11:56 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX:  The British pound unlocked fresh two-week highs against the US dollar at 1.3184 but it soon fell to 1.3136 after GDP growth readings out of the UK missed a forecast of 1.6% y/y, showing instead an expansion of 1.5%. July’s mark, though, was revised upwards, from 1.6% to 1.7%. Separately, manufacturing and construction outputs in August disappointed as well, driving industrial production back to the negative territory. The British trade balance [..]

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US Open Preview – Euro feels more pain as Italian stress weighs; bond yields hit fresh highs

Posted on October 9, 2018 at 11:52 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX:  The euro erased earlier gains to fall as low as 1.1435 (-0.50%), the lowest since August 20, as a potential clash between Rome and the EU over Italy’s spending plans looked unavoidable – especially after bitter comments by the Deputy Prime Minister, Matteo Salvini in Brussels on Monday. Meanwhile, Italy’s finance minister reiterated today that the deficit target for 2019 will be 2.4% of GDP, but also said that the government will take action if the yield spread widens. US [..]

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US Open Preview – Yen recoups losses despite dollar strength; oil & gold on slippery road

Posted on October 8, 2018 at 12:07 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: With Japan being shut for the Health and Sports public day and risk-off sentiment strengthening amid trade uncertainties and political noises in the Eurozone, the Japanese yen managed to rebound, sending dollar/yen straight down to a 1 ½ -week low of 113.33 (-0.33%). Yesterday, the People’s Bank of China slashed the amount of cash banks must hold as reserves, stepping up efforts to set free some liquidity and thus boost growth in [..]

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US Open Preview – Dollar steady ahead of NFP; Brexit hopes support pound

Posted on October 5, 2018 at 12:12 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The US dollar held steady against the Japanese yen on Friday, as investors turned their attention to the monthly US Nonfarm payrolls report due later today. The pair was last trading around 113.87. The US dollar index, which tracks the dollar’s strength against six major currencies, was also flat around 95.76, set to complete the second consecutive green week. Turning to Brexit news, European Union Brexit negotiators see a deal with Britain in the near future, [..]

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US Open Preview – Dollar holds above 114 vs yen as US bond yields soar; US factory orders pending

Posted on October 4, 2018 at 12:08 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The US dollar retreated by 0.33% to 114.16 against the Japanese yen on Thursday after topping at 114.54 on Wednesday, the highest in 11 months. Following yesterday’s positive US data and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, US 10-year government bond yields spiked as high as 3.23% today, a level never seen since June 2011. Powell said that interest rates still have a long way to go to reach neutral levels, flagging that additional rate [..]

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US Open Preview – Pound weaker after UK PM May’s conference speech

Posted on October 3, 2018 at 12:05 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The common currency crawled up on Wednesday from six-week lows on news that the final version of Italy’s budget deficit could be less worse than originally reported. Government sources signalled possible reductions to the deficit targets in 2020, 2021, according to reports. Earlier today, retail sales in the Euro area dropped by 0.2% m/m in September from a downwardly revised 0.6% decline in the previous month, missing market expectations of a 0.2% gain. It was the second consecutive month of decrease in [..]

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US Open Preview – Euro, pound hit fresh lows; Powell’s speech awaited

Posted on October 2, 2018 at 11:58 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The US dollar index was trading bullish on Tuesday (+0.35%), posting 1-month highs at 95.70, while dollar/yen weakened to 113.76 (-0.15%) after an impressive rally towards the more than a 10-month high of 114.06 on Monday. The Canadian dollar, which surged to four-month highs yesterday in the wake of news that the US and Canada finally reached common ground over NAFTA, was slightly weaker today, with dollar/loonie inching up to 1.2834 (+0.20%). Note [..]

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