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NZDUSD

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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD retests 4-month peak, creating double top

Posted on July 8, 2020 at 1:28 pm GMT

NZDUSD touched the four-month peak of 0.6580 for the second time over the last month. The momentum indicators, though, are currently suggesting that the buying interest may have topped, and the pair may be regain positive momentum. The RSI and the MACD are pointing slightly down, and from the Ichimoku indicators, the red Tenkan-sen line has also paused its upside move. A closing price above 0.6580 could boost buying interest and confirm additional gains towards the 0.6665 resistance. Higher still, the 0.6750 barrier, registered on December 2019 [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar steadies as opposing narratives clash

Posted on July 8, 2020 at 8:16 am GMT

Markets calm down after a mild dose of risk aversion Dollar climbs and stocks pull back, though both moves retrace on Wednesday Sterling outperforms ahead of a budget update by Chancellor Sunak today Gold shines bright, touches 2011 highs amid ‘organic’ demand Markets split between narratives Doubts around the resilience of the economic recovery returned to haunt markets on Tuesday, dragging Wall Street lower and propelling the haven-like dollar higher, as investors trimmed their risk exposure ahead of what seems [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets pause to assess risks after leaping higher

Posted on July 7, 2020 at 8:27 am GMT

Currencies and equities in a more cautious mood Tuesday, as China-led euphoria peters out Dollar regains its footing but only mildly, aussie drops after Melbourne goes into full lockdown Risk/reward outlook for ‘risk trades’ seems quite unattractive from here Soaring Chinese stocks lift all boats, but enthusiasm fades Global markets staged a powerful rally to kick off the new week. Stock indices in most regions closed with solid gains while the defensive US dollar edged lower, with no real catalyst [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Nasdaq set for new records, yen and dollar hammered

Posted on July 6, 2020 at 8:33 am GMT

Investors start week in risk-taking mood, despite fading hopes of a V-shaped recovery Global stocks cruise higher, led by China, as yen and dollar crumble Positive mood could endure for now, especially if the ‘weekend effect’ of lower US cases on Monday holds Today: ISM non-manufacturing PMI, ahead of RBA meeting early on Tuesday Nasdaq set for new records as China exports optimism The bulls have taken the upper hand in financial markets to start the week, with global stocks [..]

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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD makes positive moves to retest ceiling of range

Posted on July 3, 2020 at 7:47 am GMT

NZDUSD recently overcame negative pressures jumping above the mostly flat 50- and 100-period simple moving averages (SMAs) and the neutral Ichimoku cloud to revisit the roof of the sideways market, which has held for around three weeks. Although currently stalled, this move is also reflected within the bullish Ichimoku lines. Furthermore, with positive momentum starting to pick up in the technical oscillators, the short-term picture is tilting more towards a positive outcome. The MACD, in the positive area and above [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar stumbles ahead of NFP; vaccine hopes shore up equities

Posted on July 2, 2020 at 8:30 am GMT

Dollar torn between upbeat data and US virus spike; NFP may decide fate Positive vaccine news helps breathe life into flagging stock market rally Gold retreats from highs as markets dismiss US-China tensions Dollar looks shaky as jobs report awaited Markets were mostly in risk-on mode on Thursday as the combination of positive economic indicators and potential coronavirus vaccines kept alive hopes of a strong recovery from the pandemic. But with US markets closed on Friday for Independence Day celebrations, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Gold soars on virus risks, softer dollar; US data awaited

Posted on July 1, 2020 at 8:41 am GMT

Gold extends bull run amid growing virus fears and US-China tensions; softer dollar helps too Stocks mostly positive as global recovery appears on track, but rally showing some signs of fatigue Markets await US ISM manufacturing and jobs data for direction Gold sets sights on $1800/oz as pandemic here to stay The safe-haven gold was scaling fresh 7½-year highs above $1785/oz on Wednesday even as investors maintained the view that the economic recovery from the pandemic will be a V-shaped [..]

Technical Analysis – NZDUSD capped by 20-day SMA; indicators appear mixed

Posted on July 1, 2020 at 7:17 am GMT

NZDUSD is capped by the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the red Tenkan-sen line in the short-term and has been moving sideways over the past three weeks. The momentum indicators are facing contradicting signals as the RSI is pointing marginally up in the positive region, while the MACD oscillator is standing beneath its trigger line and is losing ground. If the price continues to fall, immediate support would come from the 0.6375 barrier and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level [..]

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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD consolidates recent gains; negative risks present

Posted on June 26, 2020 at 12:57 pm GMT

NZDUSD’s positive picture appears to withstand negative pressures, glued just under the 50- and 100-period simple moving averages (SMAs) and holding just inside the Ichimoku cloud. The pair has adopted a horizontal tone over the last weeks, something also mirrored in the unclear Ichimoku lines and the mostly horizontal state of the Ichimoku cloud. Presently above the 0.6380 level, the predominant bearing is positive, something also reflected within the 100- and 200-period SMAs in spite of the failing and lagging [..]

Week Ahead – NFP in focus as US virus cases spike, recovery in doubt

Posted on June 26, 2020 at 12:10 pm GMT

As the risk rally fizzles out amid rising concerns about a second wave of virus infections in the United States, the all-important jobs report has the capacity to either calm or scare jittery markets. With very few other top tier releases on the agenda next week, it’s hard to see anything other than the virus story driving investor sentiment. Special attention will be on the escalation of Covid-19 cases in the US and whether any states begin to reverse some [..]

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