All Articles Tagged - NZDUSD

US Open Note – Inflation risks and the rate conundrum, dollar hangs in there

Posted on October 18, 2021 at 1:57 pm GMT

Risk evaporates but US Industrial production disappoints Market sentiment softened and the dollar remained subdued on the first trading day of week. Expectations that the Fed is preparing to taper is keeping the reserve currency afloat as well as pushing up the 10-year yield close to 1.62%. Inflation risks seem to be pushing central banks to take action, as markets are pricing in interest rate hikes in the later parts of 2022. US industrial production in September was much weaker, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Inflation and growth worries take heat off stocks rebound, dollar firms

Posted on October 18, 2021 at 8:58 am GMT

China GDP misses estimates, New Zealand CPI surges, reviving stagflation fears Stocks back in the red as doubts resurface but hopes on earnings keep optimism alive Bond yields edge up again as oil keeps climbing Kiwi erases earlier gains from rate hike bets as dollar bulls regain control China growth disappoints, dents risk appetite Economic growth in the world’s second largest economy slowed more than expected in the third quarter as China reported that GDP rose by 4.9% from a [..]

US Open Note – Yen still plunges; oil heads towards $82.00

Posted on October 15, 2021 at 1:07 pm GMT

Dollar index on mute today; US retail sales surprised The dollar index is hovering around 94.00 today, following two red days; however, dollar/yen is heading sharply higher towards a fresh three-year high around 114.20 due to a weakened Japanese yen. US retail sales unexpectedly rose 0.7% for September versus an upwardly revised 0.9% the prior month. A dovish Bank of Japan and growing 2-year U.S.-Japan rate differentials continue to be important factors. US futures are suggesting another positive day, after strong earnings releases. The single currency [..]

Week Ahead – Inflation, supply chain fears to persist as China GDP, flash PMIs eyed

Posted on October 15, 2021 at 12:44 pm GMT

Inflation data will grab the headlines for another week as more countries publish CPI numbers. But concerns about global growth will also preoccupy investors’ minds as China reports its GDP estimate for the third quarter and flash PMI figures for October are released. With the major central banks preparing to pull back their pandemic-era stimulus just as supply constraints are adding to businesses’ pain, there is heightened sensitivity in the markets about the growing threat of persistently high inflation. Will [..]

Technical Analysis – NZDUSD’s ascent falters after floating above 200-MA

Posted on October 15, 2021 at 12:32 pm GMT

NZDUSD has encountered some resistance around the 0.7056 level after buyers drove the price higher for two consecutive days from around the 0.6900 price vicinity. The slight positive inclines in the 50- and 100-period SMAs are transmitting messages that buyers are currently in control. A completed bullish crossover of the 100-period SMA by the 50-period one could fuel extra positive impetus in the pair. The short-term oscillators are emanating conflicting signals in directional forces. The MACD, above the zero threshold, [..]

Weekly Comment – Risk appetite returns but China GDP could revive slowdown fears

Posted on October 15, 2021 at 12:03 pm GMT

Stocks staged a mid-week comeback after fears about surging inflation and worsening supply shortages had pummelled risk assets. But easing concerns have put a stop to the spike in government bond yields, with USD also pulling back. However, those fears could quickly return as a raft of inflation and PMI data are on the way and China reports its GDP numbers. The highlights: China’s economy will be in the spotlight on Monday as GDP figures are expected to show growth [..]

US Open Note – Stocks buoyant, dollar flashes green and commodities resilient

Posted on October 14, 2021 at 1:55 pm GMT

Market sentiment intact after cheery jobless claims and miss in US PPI Sentiment remains upbeat as US stock futures are extending their recent buoyancy after a drop in longer-term yields. The Fed’s meeting minutes published yesterday echoed the recent hawkish rhetoric, signalling that the taper timeline is likely to begin before the end of the year and fuelling expectations of an earlier rate hike. However, investors are now eyeing a lower terminal rate as a result of earlier action by [..]

US Open Note – Dollar remains stable after CPI and before FOMC Minutes

Posted on October 13, 2021 at 1:11 pm GMT

US CPI data jumps to 13-year high; dollar still firm The main event today was the release of the US CPI data ahead of the FOMC minutes later in the session. The annual inflation rate increased to a 13-year high of 5.4%, up from 5.3% in August and beyond market estimates of 5.3%. Consumer prices increased by 0.4% monthly, slightly exceeding predictions of 0.3%. The dollar seems to be keeping its recent gains. USD/JPY is holding below the 34-month high of 113.70. However, the euro is recouping some losses, trading near $1.1565, after [..]

Technical Analysis – NZDUSD starts sideways move in descending channel

Posted on October 13, 2021 at 8:21 am GMT

NZDUSD has embarked itself on a new bearish-to-neutral phase after the bulls got defeated once again near the tough resistance of 0.6980 and the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs). The momentum indicators are currently flagging that the sell-off may came to an end for the near-term timeframe. With the MACD accelerating above its trigger line and above its zero line, and the RSI sailing northwards below its 50 neutral mark, upside corrections are more likely than downside ones. In the event of an upside reversal, the [..]

US Open Note – Yen is in vertical fall; oil surpasses $82

Posted on October 11, 2021 at 12:57 pm GMT

Yen plunges driving dollar/yen sharply higher As a new week begins, the yen continues to plunge, pushed lower by a comeback in Asian stocks despite a rise in Japanese yields. Indeed, the 10-year JGB yield, which is currently at 0.093%, is on its way to 0.1%. The pound is currently the strongest, thanks to hawkish statements from Bank of England officials over the weekend. The Australian Dollar is closely following, and it is leading other commodity currencies higher as well. The US dollar index is weakening, [..]

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