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NZDUSD

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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD builds base around SMAs; positive bias in short term

Posted on December 13, 2018 at 9:20 am GMT

NZDUSD has reversed back up again following the pullback on the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the upleg from 0.6423 to 0.6968, around the 0.6835 support level. Currently, the price is testing the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) near 0.6873, which is acting as strong resistance level for the bulls. The stochastic oscillator is approaching the overbought level, while the RSI is trying to jump above the 50 level. If the bulls continue to have control, the price could touch [..]

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European Open Preview – Pound advances as May survives; ECB meeting eyed

Posted on December 13, 2018 at 8:27 am GMT

Sterling advances as PM May survives leadership contest, but sustained rally unlikely ECB meets today; Draghi’s tone will be crucial for the euro SNB meets as well, likely to maintain a dovish stance Meanwhile, reports China may open its economy boost risk sentiment Pound soars as May survives, but odds of a sustained rally slim Sterling surged on Wednesday, as it became increasingly clear throughout the session that PM May would survive the no-confidence motion, amid a plethora of Tory [..]

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European Open Preview – Pound under pressure as Tories trigger leadership contest

Posted on December 12, 2018 at 8:52 am GMT

Sterling near 20-month lows as Conservative lawmakers trigger no-confidence vote in Theresa May; ballot to be held today Risk appetite recovers as Trump and China stoke hopes for a deal Euro remains on the back foot ahead of tomorrow’s ECB meeting US inflation data on tap Sterling crumbles as Tories trigger leadership challenge The British pound sank to a fresh 20-month low versus the dollar on Tuesday, following reports that “rebels” within Theresa May’s Conservative party nearly have the numbers [..]

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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD dives below 5-month peak; bearish correction in near term

Posted on December 6, 2018 at 9:40 am GMT

NZDUSD has been underperforming in the past days, drifting lower from the five-month high of 0.6968 and below the 20- and 40-simple moving averages in the 4-hour chart. In the short term, technical indicators point to more weakness, with the RSI dropping to bearish territory below 50 and the MACD losing further ground below the trigger line. In case of further declines, immediate support could come from the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward move from 0.6423 to 0.6968, [..]

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European Open Preview – Risk sentiment sours; OPEC summit front and center

Posted on December 6, 2018 at 8:30 am GMT

Risk appetite crumbles as US arrests Huawei CFO, generating worries of re-escalation in the trade conflict Today, all eyes are on OPEC’s meeting (1200 GMT); expectations for a production cut are elevated Loonie nosedives to a 1½-year low as BoC shifts to a more cautious stance Risk appetite falters on fears of “trade war” re-escalation After a relatively calm Wednesday, risk appetite deteriorated once more during the Asian session on Thursday, following news that the CFO of the Chinese tech [..]

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Strategy update: The trade ‘truce’, the Fed’s possible pause and May’s Brexit woes

Posted on December 5, 2018 at 3:05 pm GMT

Markets unconvinced by Trump-Xi trade rapprochement The Fed could slow rate hikes Market braces for Brexit turbulence as May struggles to convince Parliament Markets unconvinced by Trump-Xi trade rapprochement A major theme for global markets and the global economy is the uncertainty caused by the frictions between the United States and China. It was therefore an initially positive piece of news that the two countries would restart a new round of negotiations that would last for 90 days, that China would pledge to import [..]

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European Open Preview – Stocks sink amid trade woes; BoC decision eyed

Posted on December 5, 2018 at 8:46 am GMT

Trump’s trade posturing sinks stock markets Bank of Canada to stand pat (1500 GMT), but may appear a touch more cautious Dollar rebounds after Fed’s Williams reiterates “gradual hikes” Sterling remains turbulent as Parliamentary debate kicks off Equities sink on Trump’s trade posturing Wall Street plunged, with the S&P 500 falling by a whopping 3.24% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite nosediving by 3.80%. Meanwhile, defensive assets like the Japanese yen outperformed. The mood was already sour before the US markets [..]

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European Open Preview – Markets retrace as trade optimism wanes

Posted on December 4, 2018 at 8:45 am GMT

Trade optimism fades as markets digest the agreement Dollar extends recent pullback Oil continues to recover amid speculation for an OPEC cut RBA slightly more upbeat, but no policy change in sight Stocks edge higher on trade relief, but optimism wanes The boost to global risk appetite following the US-China trade “ceasefire” seems to have been short-lived. Even though US stock markets closed higher, they did surrender a decent part of their gains late in the session, and futures tracking [..]

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Week Ahead – Spotlight on US jobs report after ‘Powell Put’; RBA and BoC meet

Posted on November 30, 2018 at 1:56 pm GMT

The coming week will be significant both in terms of data releases as well as for central bank meetings. November nonfarm payrolls out of the US will likely be the most anticipated report but it’s going to be a big week for the Australian dollar too as Q3 GDP numbers are due along with an RBA meeting. The Bank of Canada will be the other central bank holding a scheduled meeting, though the Canadian dollar will probably be paying more [..]

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European Open Preview – All eyes on the Trump-Xi meeting

Posted on November 30, 2018 at 8:40 am GMT

The Trump-Xi meeting is due tomorrow; whether a “ceasefire” is agreed may determine the near-term direction of the dollar and equities Market reaction to FOMC minutes was muted. Attention turns to a speech by NY Fed President Williams today at 1400 GMT Oil rebounds after posting fresh one-year lows, eyes next week’s OPEC meeting Trump and Xi to meet, outcome may shape risk appetite Movements in the FX market were largely subdued, with investors increasingly turning their attention to the [..]

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