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US Open Note – Riskier currencies plummet amid dollar strength

Posted on August 19, 2021 at 12:57 pm GMT

FOMC minutes drive dollar up Following the minutes from the latest FOMC meeting, the dollar index rose to 93.4 on Thursday, the highest closing level since November 2020. Numerous market participants now believe that the Fed will disclose a tapering timeline at the Jackson Hole Symposium next week. There will be less cash poured into the system if asset purchases are reduced. US stocks slid and are headed for a negative open today, while dollar/yen is heading south around 109.60. [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Stock selloff deepens, dollar capitalizes

Posted on August 19, 2021 at 8:48 am GMT

Risk aversion pummels stocks, oil, and commodity FX US dollar shines bright as traders seek protection Fed minutes don’t reveal much, gold unable to shine Growth fears deepen A sense of nervousness has returned to haunt financial markets. Investors are increasingly slashing their exposure to riskier assets amid concerns that the Delta outbreak will kneecap global growth, at a time when central banks are trying to take their foot off the accelerator.  One by one, different charts are telling the [..]

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US Open Note – US retail sales released with minor impact on dollar; kiwi tumbles

Posted on August 17, 2021 at 1:06 pm GMT

US retail sales miss is mild hit to dollar The recovery in the US dollar after Friday’s sell-off is continuing today, with only a minor market reaction after the retail sales release. Retail sales in the US rose by 1.1% m/m in July versus -0.3% that was the forecast and from an upwardly revised 0.7% in the previous month. The US dollar index is up two days in a row and has nearly retraced half of its previous day’s loss. Dollar/yen is recouping some of the losses of the previous days, trading above 109.00. US [..]

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US Open Note – Yen surges due to risk-off factors; oil plunges

Posted on August 16, 2021 at 12:44 pm GMT

Dollar marginally up; Stocks ease The market is beginning the week on a cautious note. The US dollar index is ticking marginally up after a strong negative session, while US futures are suggesting a negative open after the S&P 500 and Dow Jones completed new record highs on Friday. Euro/dollar failed to surpass the 1.1800 psychological level on Friday and is moving lower, while pound/dollar is hovering around 1.3870. Yen shines; commodity currencies fall The yen has risen sharply because of several risk-off factors, all [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar takes some damage after soft data, gold smiles

Posted on August 16, 2021 at 8:19 am GMT

US dollar retreats after soft consumer sentiment survey Chinese data disappoints too, hitting risk sentiment in Asia Gold comes back to life, oil ignores Afghanistan tensions Dollar grapples with consumer uncertainty Currency markets closed with a bang last week after an American survey showed consumer sentiment cratering in August to reach its lowest level in a decade. The stunning loss in consumer confidence raised questions about the economy’s fortunes, and consequently about whether the Fed will be able to take [..]

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Technical Analysis – Gold heads south after rebound off 4-month low

Posted on August 16, 2021 at 8:18 am GMT

Gold prices are easing after the strong bounce off the four-month low of 1,680 in the preceding week, driving the market near 1,780. The stochastic oscillator is approaching the overbought territory, while the RSI is ticking marginally down around the neutral threshold of 50. If the buying interest persists, immediate resistance could come from the 20- and 40-day simple moving averages (SMAs) at 1,790 before touching the key level of 1,800. Slightly above this hurdle, the 200-day SMA at 1,814 [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar is marginally down; euro shines

Posted on August 13, 2021 at 12:32 pm GMT

Dollar eases before Fed releases minutes next week The dollar is dropping from four-month highs as traders are waiting next week for more clues about the Federal Reserve plans for how and when it will unravel its massive stimulus program. After scaling a high of 93.13 earlier in the week, the dollar index has been lingering around 92.95 since Wednesday, when it was driven down by CPI data. Dollar/yen is creating the third consecutive red day after the climb to 110.80. The euro rebounded against the greenback even after yesterday’s [..]

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US Open Note – FX markets swing sideways; Wall Street mildly lower

Posted on August 12, 2021 at 1:45 pm GMT

Currencies in a range as debate for bond tapering continues The FX world was on the sidelines during Thursday’s European session, suffering the summer doldrums in narrow ranges in the absence of any market movers. On Wednesday, US CPI inflation figures came almost as expected, raising hopes that the extraordinary spikes in previous months have likely reached a peak and therefore the Fed’s view of temporary inflation is probably right, making any aggressive monetary tightening actions less likely in the [..]

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Daily Market Comment – US inflation may have peaked, dollar rally cools

Posted on August 12, 2021 at 9:10 am GMT

US CPI unchanged in July as Fed hawks get louder Dollar and yields pull back slightly but remain supported by tapering bets US stocks extend record streak as Senate opens path for $3.5 trillion budget plan Inflation fears ease after CPI in line The rate of inflation in the United States remained at a 13-year high in July according to the consumer price index out yesterday. But there was good news for both consumers and policymakers as price pressures for [..]

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Will ‘king dollar’ reclaim its throne as the Fed tapers? – Special Report

Posted on August 11, 2021 at 3:05 pm GMT

One by one, Fed officials are getting behind the idea that their asset purchases should be dialed back soon. Whether this is announced in September or November doesn’t matter much. What matters is that the Fed is years ahead of the ECB and BoJ in the normalization game. The dollar held its ground recently even as US yields crumbled, so it could really shine once tapering gets rolling and Congress delivers even more fiscal juice.  Falling into line More and [..]

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